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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 9, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets56%111107
9Hornets44%10995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.6
41.5
33.8
11
50%
7
3
2
2
2
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
3-10
30%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.5
39.5
35.3
30
57%
11
8
1
2
1
9
1
10
10-12
83%
4-12
5-10
33%
51%
4-9
44%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
35.0
28.2
14
59%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
2-6
33%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.6
31.9
29.2
17
57%
2
3
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
3-8
38%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
26.0
26.5
11
59%
8
2
3
1
1
3
4
4
1-3
33%
5-8
6-9
63%
61%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.9
24.7
12.5
5
51%
4
2
3
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-4
25%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
22.0
9.5
15
72%
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
7-10
2-3
70%
61%
0-0
-
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.8
19.5
17.6
4
29%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
56%
0-3
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.1
28.1
1
2-4
47%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.4
14.5
1
2-4
55%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.0
2.4
0
0-0
47%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.5
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.4
1.6
0
0-0
31%
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.3
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 26.8
35.7
33.2
14
50%
5
5
1
1
2
6
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
5-11
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 30.6
34.9
32.1
12
56%
7
0
2
1
0
1
1
6
5-6
83%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 23.4
34.8
27.0
8
44%
9
4
1
1
2
0
4
5
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 28.2
34.6
33.9
15
66%
8
10
1
1
0
3
1
7
3-3
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
21.5
29.8
9
53%
4
1
2
1
0
3
2
2
1-1
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.9
21.2
24.4
10
38%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.9
20.4
28.9
9
44%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.4
13.3
13.8
4
100%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 31.2
12.3
11.3
6
75%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.7
11.3
17.0
8
47%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
1-3
33%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
5.3
0
1-1
43%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 21.4
2.8
0
0-1
50%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23.3
2.5
0
0-0
47%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.8
Mike Tobey
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.