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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 11, 2017
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Clippers44%106107
11Hornets56%108102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
38.3
34.4
18
70%
3
5
0
1
0
5
0
3
0-2
0%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 27.9
34.5
34.3
20
47%
12
8
0
1
1
1
4
8
4-5
80%
8-17
8-16
47%
51%
0-2
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.6
28.2
28.2
4
40%
16
1
0
1
1
5
3
13
0-0
-
2-5
4-6
40%
68%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 32.6
24.1
29.9
10
42%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
2-8
25%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.4
22.4
17.8
8
57%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 32.6
27.6
25.8
9
64%
7
5
0
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
1-3
33%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 36.9
26.8
29.0
22
74%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
5-9
56%
1-3
3-8
33%
45%
5-8
63%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
14.9
14.7
8
57%
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 34.3
13.4
5.1
6
77%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.6
9.7
8.8
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 31.8
7.6
0
1-2
53%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 39.3
3.5
0
0-0
46%
Diamond Stone
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.0
2.8
0
0-1
51%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.8
Brice Johnson
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 26.8
41.9
33.8
10
28%
4
4
2
1
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-8
5-11
38%
47%
1-9
11%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 28.2
36.6
33.5
25
76%
6
8
0
1
1
2
1
5
7-8
88%
3-6
4-7
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.9
36.0
24.7
20
56%
8
5
1
1
2
0
1
7
3-4
75%
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
3-6
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 30.7
33.5
32.6
9
75%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 23.4
31.7
30.1
8
50%
7
1
2
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.9
26.6
22.5
17
59%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
49%
2-8
25%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.7
15.6
14.5
13
58%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-5
60%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
2-4
50%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.4
12.0
13.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 31.2
6.1
11.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
5.4
0
1-1
44%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 21.4
2.4
0
0-1
50%
Mike Tobey
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
2.2
0
0-0
51%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23.3
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.