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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 11, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks39%101116
13Pacers61%105100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 22.2
34.4
37.2
20
66%
8
10
1
2
2
2
2
6
12-14
86%
4-8
8-14
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 26.4
32.7
19.1
9
58%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.1
25.8
17.2
7
44%
6
3
0
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
1-1
100%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 20.0
21.7
10.8
12
68%
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
3-5
60%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 25.3
21.4
25.2
13
111%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
4-5
80%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
36.2
27.5
17
51%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
2-6
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 26.7
26.3
19.7
17
80%
8
4
2
1
2
2
1
7
5-6
83%
6-8
4-8
75%
52%
0-0
-
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 20.5
24.6
4.0
2
20%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
40%
0-1
0%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 31.4
17.0
15.8
19
84%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
5-9
56%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 26.1
19.9
0
3-5
53%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 39.4
15.7
1
0-1
46%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 30.2
9.7
0
1-2
45%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28.8
8.6
0
1-2
46%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.5
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.8
37.5
34.8
13
53%
8
3
0
2
0
5
1
7
3-3
100%
2-8
6-12
25%
49%
2-3
67%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.9
32.9
24.7
23
70%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
6-11
55%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.7
32.3
31.5
2
50%
3
6
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.9
31.0
32.4
18
53%
4
6
0
1
1
2
1
3
10-11
91%
4-9
5-9
44%
55%
0-3
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 28.0
18.8
23.3
4
52%
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-2
0%
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.3
31.8
24.4
18
77%
4
1
0
1
2
5
0
4
3-4
75%
6-7
2-5
86%
49%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 32.1
17.0
12.4
8
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.8
15.7
15.0
6
56%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
14.7
16.5
2
25%
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27.2
8.3
15.5
6
60%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 32.1
5.1
0
0-1
46%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
1.6
0
0-1
47%
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
1.6
0
0-0
53%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.