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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 11, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat
109
2676ers
117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.8
37
33
30
5
2
2
1
0
7
0
5
4-4
100%
10-17
5-11
59%
52%
2-4
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.2
36
23
16
5
2
1
1
0
4
3
2
5-5
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
46%
3-10
30%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.7
34
29
12
19
0
0
1
1
1
2
17
2-2
100%
5-11
6-11
45%
58%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.5
26
32
4
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
7
14
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.0
36
29
26
4
3
0
1
2
4
1
3
9-13
69%
7-11
4-8
64%
55%
1-4
25%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.8
32
30
17
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
47%
1-4
25%
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
18
21
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.7
14
12
2
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.2
15
0
2-5
44%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
10
0
1-2
47%
Marcus Georges-Hunt
G · 6'5" 226 · 22.9
3
0
0-1
46%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.7
3
0
0-1
47%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.9
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.9
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
32
28
11
4
10
2
2
0
1
1
3
5-6
83%
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
0-0
-
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.8
32
20
19
3
1
4
1
1
1
3
0
1-3
33%
9-11
3-6
82%
53%
0-1
0%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
31
30
19
7
0
4
2
2
2
0
7
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
48%
5-6
83%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.2
30
20
14
6
1
1
1
1
1
0
6
10-10
100%
2-9
2-5
22%
48%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
22
26
14
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
3-6
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.3
30
29
11
1
3
1
1
2
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.8
26
25
19
6
4
2
1
1
1
2
4
4-4
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
47%
1-5
20%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
16
7
6
4
1
0
0
1
1
4
0
2-3
67%
2-2
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.7
16
16
4
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.8
5
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.2
22
0
5-9
53%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
7
0
2-3
52%
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
4
0
0-1
45%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.