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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 11, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Nuggets23%108109
4Cavaliers77%119125
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
38
31
27
13
4
0
1
2
5
6
7
8-10
80%
8-16
7-12
50%
58%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.0
37
30
12
8
8
2
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
2-5
40%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
34
34
13
6
1
0
1
0
3
3
3
1-1
100%
6-9
4-9
67%
49%
0-6
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
29
32
16
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
3-5
60%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
20
20
3
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
1-5
20%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
23
31
12
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
47%
2-4
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.0
17
19
16
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
17
15
4
5
0
2
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.0
12
2
0
2
4
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-2
0%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23.7
11
2
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
42%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
15
0
1-4
40%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.5
10
0
2-4
48%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.2
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.9
36
33
13
13
1
1
1
1
0
4
9
3-6
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
59%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.9
35
32
27
4
5
1
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
5-13
7-13
38%
52%
5-11
45%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.4
34
31
16
9
5
0
1
0
2
3
6
3-4
75%
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
3-5
60%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.1
33
38
27
5
12
2
2
0
6
0
5
4-4
100%
10-15
8-13
67%
59%
1-1
100%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.9
22
7
9
5
5
3
0
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.9
27
25
14
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
21
17
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.6
18
15
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-3
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.7
11
13
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
2-3
67%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.9
1
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.9
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.4
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.6
14
1
1-1
48%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.4
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.