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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 12, 2017
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs74%10990
24Knicks26%10094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
37.0
31.5
15
40%
10
1
0
1
0
0
6
4
5-6
83%
5-15
7-13
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.6
35.7
29.8
36
57%
9
4
4
2
0
3
2
7
9-11
82%
12-20
6-11
60%
54%
1-7
14%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.6
33.9
27.6
6
23%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
2-10
20%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.7
31.4
28.0
0
0%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
5-9
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
23.8
25.5
3
52%
7
0
2
1
1
2
1
6
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
21.0
18.1
10
63%
7
1
1
0
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
55%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.5
19.8
17.0
8
50%
1
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.5
17.1
16.2
4
22%
3
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-4
0%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.3
13.7
14.6
3
75%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
1-1
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
6.7
8.4
5
58%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.4
0.1
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
3.5
0
0-0
54%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
2.7
0
0-0
49%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.4
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
39.8
34.0
25
53%
7
2
0
1
0
4
1
6
4-6
67%
6-16
6-14
38%
46%
3-5
60%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.5
36.9
29.0
16
66%
7
2
1
1
4
2
0
7
5-5
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
3-5
60%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.4
34.7
29.0
9
50%
5
5
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.4
30.4
29.6
18
62%
4
2
0
1
1
3
0
4
6-8
75%
6-11
6-13
55%
46%
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
29.0
16.6
12
75%
9
1
3
0
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.9
21.4
19.5
4
52%
7
2
0
1
3
2
0
7
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.4
17.6
30.4
2
100%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
42%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
16.9
13.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.9
13.3
20.9
6
100%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.3
11.9
0
1-2
49%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.9
10.6
0
1-2
43%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.9
2.8
0
0-0
38%
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
2.3
0
0-0
52%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.0
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.