Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Magic	33%	99	116	112.6	103	108.1
	17	Heat	67%	105	107	104.9	102	97.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Evan Fournier G · 6'7" 205 · 24	35.7	24	63%	2	4	1	0	3	2	0	2	2-5	40%	8-13	62%	2-4	50%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 26	31.5	13	36%	17	3	3	0	1	2	4	13	5-8	63%	4-14	29%	0-0	-
Aaron Gordon F · 6'8" 235 · 21	29.4	8	50%	6	3	2	1	5	3	1	5	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 27	28.2	17	85%	8	0	1	1	0	3	5	3	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	1-1	100%
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 33	16.7	5	42%	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Elfrid Payton G · 6'4" 185 · 23	31.3	20	56%	5	4	0	0	0	2	0	5	6-7	86%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Jeff Green F · 6'8" 235 · 30	20.2	13	54%	2	0	1	0	0	4	0	2	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Mario Hezonja F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22	16.1	11	92%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-3	100%
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'8" 255 · 24	16.1	2	50%	10	1	0	1	1	3	5	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 29	14.8	3	38%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Damjan Rudez F · 6'10" 228 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Stephen Zimmerman C · 7'0" 240 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ Wilcox #23 · G · 6'5" 195 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jodie Meeks #20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	54%	52	18	9	3	14	0	15	37	20-29	69%	36-76	47%	8-14	57%

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29 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Evan Fournier G · 6'7" 205 · 24	35.7	24	63%	2	4	1	0	3	2	0	2	2-5	40%	8-13	62%	2-4	50%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 26	31.5	13	36%	17	3	3	0	1	2	4	13	5-8	63%	4-14	29%	0-0	-
Aaron Gordon F · 6'8" 235 · 21	29.4	8	50%	6	3	2	1	5	3	1	5	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 27	28.2	17	85%	8	0	1	1	0	3	5	3	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	1-1	100%
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 33	16.7	5	42%	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Elfrid Payton G · 6'4" 185 · 23	31.3	20	56%	5	4	0	0	0	2	0	5	6-7	86%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Jeff Green F · 6'8" 235 · 30	20.2	13	54%	2	0	1	0	0	4	0	2	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Mario Hezonja F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22	16.1	11	92%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-3	100%
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'8" 255 · 24	16.1	2	50%	10	1	0	1	1	3	5	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 29	14.8	3	38%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Damjan Rudez F · 6'10" 228 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Stephen Zimmerman C · 7'0" 240 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ Wilcox #23 · G · 6'5" 195 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jodie Meeks #20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	54%	52	18	9	3	14	0	15	37	20-29	69%	36-76	47%	8-14	57%

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17 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	35.7	22	58%	3	1	1	1	2	3	1	2	10-10	100%	6-14	43%	0-1	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	35.5	12	75%	19	1	2	2	3	4	1	18	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	34.2	23	57%	2	6	2	0	6	4	0	2	2-3	67%	9-14	64%	1-5	20%
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 26	22.1	11	55%	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-4	25%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	12.2	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	31.4	13	59%	3	2	2	1	0	1	0	3	5-6	83%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	28.4	15	68%	3	3	0	3	1	4	1	2	4-5	80%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	20.6	6	43%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	12.4	2	25%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 25	7.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DND - Left Foot Sprain
Marcus Georges-Hunt G · 6'5" 226 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Justise Winslow #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	37	14	7	7	14	0	6	31	23-27	85%	33-61	54%	6-22	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.08 54.2%

MIA

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

19

27

70%

MIA

18

28

64%

Midrange

ORL

17

49

35%

MIA

15

33

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

8

12.0

14

57%

86%

MIA

6

9.0

22

27%

41%

Free Throws

ORL

20

29

69%

MIA

23

27

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Fournier	24	63%	12.0 / 19
E. Payton	20	56%	10.0 / 18
S. Ibaka	17	85%	8.5 / 10
N. Vučević	13	36%	6.5 / 18
J. Green	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Hezonja	11	92%	5.5 / 6
A. Gordon	8	50%	4.0 / 8
C. Watson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Augustin	3	38%	1.5 / 4
B. Biyombo	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Waiters	23	57%	11.5 / 20
G. Dragic	22	58%	11.0 / 19
J. Johnson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
T. Johnson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
H. Whiteside	12	75%	6.0 / 8
R. McGruder	11	55%	5.5 / 10
W. Ellington	6	43%	3.0 / 7
L. Babbitt	3	150%	1.5 / 1
W. Reed	2	25%	1.0 / 4
O. White	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 104.5 18 108.1	ORL 112.6 +7.7 MIA 104.9
Pace	13 96.2 21 95.0	ORL 108.1 +10.7 MIA 97.4
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.7 5 15.7	ORL 13.3 −1.5 MIA 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 48.9% 15 51.2%	ORL 53.3% +2.7% MIA 50.6%
TO %	9 13.3% 8 13.2%	ORL 12.0% −1.7% MIA 13.7%
ORB %	22 21.6% 11 24.2%	ORL 32.6% +18.6% MIA 14.0%
FTrt	27 24.6 26 25.1	ORL 32.2 MIA 32.5 +0.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 58.0% 24 54.4%	ORL 40.9% +5.0% MIA 35.9%
STL %	25 7.3% 21 7.5%	ORL 8.7% +1.8% MIA 6.9%
BLK %	17 8.0% 6 9.3%	ORL 4.9% MIA 9.2% +4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 51.2% 20 52.8%	ORL 54.2% MIA 56.9% +2.7%
Rim FG%	24 58.1% 12 59.2%	ORL 70.4% +6.1% MIA 64.3%
Mid FG%	14 40.8% 26 39.4%	ORL 34.7% MIA 45.5% +10.8%
3P %	29 32.8% 12 36.5%	ORL 57.1% +29.8% MIA 27.3%
FT %	25 74.7% 30 70.6%	ORL 69.0% MIA 85.2% +16.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 32.4% 15 35.4%	ORL 30.0% MIA 33.7% +3.7%
Mid Att. %	24 37.7% 15 33.1%	ORL 54.4% MIA 39.8% −14.7%
3P Att. %	17 30.0% 14 31.4%	ORL 15.6% MIA 26.5% +11.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	ORL	MIA
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	116	107
Rebounds	52	37
Assists	18	14
Steals	9	7
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (2)	6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (3)	31 (2)
Field Goals	44-90	39-83
At-the-Rim FG	19-27	18-28
Midrange FG	17-49	15-33
2-Point FG	36-76	33-61
3-Point FG	8-14	6-22
Free Throws	20-29	23-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg