Final Win Prob. pScore
2933%99
116
1767%105
107
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
112.6103108.1
MIA logo Heat
104.910297.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL116
107
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)116
107
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup116
107
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 6 Short 1)116
107
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)116
107
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)115
107
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.PN) (B.Adams)114
107
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLMagic Rebound114
107
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
107
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLSUB: Green FOR Vucevic114
107
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)114
107
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)114
107
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLMagic Rebound113
107
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 1 of 2113
107
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P4.PN) (S.Wall)113
107
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)113
107
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup113
107
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:18)113
107
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Payton 12' Jump Shot113
107
Q4 - 0:53.0ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)113
107
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Dragic 12' Floating Jump Shot113
107
Q4 - 1:01ORLFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)113
107
Q4 - 1:14MIAWaiters 18' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)110
107
Q4 - 1:30ORLFournier 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)110
105
Q4 - 1:42MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)108
105
Q4 - 1:42MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)108
104
Q4 - 1:42ORL108
103
Q4 - 1:42ORLIbaka S.FOUL (P3.PN) (B.Adams)108
103
Q4 - 1:44MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)108
103
Q4 - 1:45ORLMISS Vucevic 20' Jump Shot108
103
Q4 - 2:04MIADragic 2' Cutting Layup Shot (20 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)108
103
Q4 - 2:15ORLMagic Rebound108
101
Q4 - 2:15ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)108
101
Q4 - 2:15ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 1 of 2107
101
Q4 - 2:15MIAWhiteside P.FOUL (P4.PN) (B.Adams)107
101
Q4 - 2:31MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T15)107
101
Q4 - 2:50ORLFournier 17' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)107
101
Q4 - 3:05MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Waiters 6 AST)105
101
Q4 - 3:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)105
98
Q4 - 3:11ORLFournier 2' Reverse Layup (17 PTS)105
98
Q4 - 3:18ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
98
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Dragic 10' Floating Jump Shot103
98
Q4 - 3:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)103
98
Q4 - 3:41ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 2 of 2103
98
Q4 - 3:41ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)103
98
Q4 - 3:41MIAWaiters L.B.FOUL (P4.PN) (S.Wall)102
98
Q4 - 3:42MIAWaiters Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T14)102
98
Q4 - 3:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:17)102
98
Q4 - 3:52ORLMISS Vucevic 18' Jump Shot102
98
Q4 - 4:03MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)102
98
Q4 - 4:03MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)102
97
Q4 - 4:03ORLVucevic S.FOUL (P2.PN) (B.Adams)102
96
Q4 - 4:06ORLJohnson STEAL (2 STL)102
96
Q4 - 4:08ORLMagic Rebound102
96
Q4 - 4:09ORLDragic BLOCK (1 BLK)102
96
Q4 - 4:19MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington102
96
Q4 - 4:19MIAEllington P.FOUL (P2.T4) (B.Adams)102
96
Q4 - 4:23ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)102
96
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
96
Q4 - 4:50ORLPayton 1' Cutting Layup Shot (20 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)102
96
Q4 - 5:07ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
96
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
96
Q4 - 5:27ORLIbaka 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)100
96
Q4 - 5:40ORLSUB: Gordon FOR Biyombo98
96
Q4 - 5:40ORLSUB: Vucevic FOR Augustin98
96
Q4 - 5:40ORLSUB: Fournier FOR Hezonja98
96
Q4 - 5:40MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson98
96
Q4 - 5:40ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)98
96
Q4 - 5:50MIAWhiteside 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)98
96
Q4 - 5:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
94
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot98
94
Q4 - 6:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:16)98
94
Q4 - 6:06ORLMISS Ibaka 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot98
94
Q4 - 6:22MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
94
Q4 - 6:22ORLSUB: Ibaka FOR Green98
93
Q4 - 6:22MIAHEAT Rebound98
93
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 298
93
Q4 - 6:22ORLGreen S.FOUL (P4.T4) (S.Wall)98
93
Q4 - 6:44ORLHezonja 1' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)98
93
Q4 - 6:50ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
93
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup96
93
Q4 - 7:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)96
93
Q4 - 7:01ORLMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot96
93
Q4 - 7:09MIAWaiters P.FOUL (P3.T3) (B.Adams)96
93
Q4 - 7:17MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)96
93
Q4 - 7:31MIASUB: Johnson FOR White96
93
Q4 - 7:31MIASUB: Waiters FOR Dragic96
93
Q4 - 7:31ORLGreen P.FOUL (P3.T3) (B.Adams)96
93
Q4 - 7:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)96
93
Q4 - 7:44ORLMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
93
Q4 - 8:05ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)96
93
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot96
93
Q4 - 8:22MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Reed96
93
Q4 - 8:22MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)96
93
Q4 - 8:22ORLPayton 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)96
93
Q4 - 8:27ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
93
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS Reed 4' Hook Shot94
93
Q4 - 8:51ORLPayton 2' Running Layup (16 PTS)94
93
Q4 - 8:55ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
93
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS White 9' Jump Shot92
93
Q4 - 9:21ORLHezonja 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)92
93
Q4 - 9:33MIAJohnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)89
93
Q4 - 9:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
91
Q4 - 9:46ORLMISS Payton 15' Jump Shot89
91
Q4 - 9:57MIAEllington P.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Guthrie)89
91
Q4 - 10:04MIASUB: White FOR Johnson89
91
Q4 - 10:04MIADragic P.FOUL (P3.T1) (D.Guthrie)89
91
Q4 - 10:10ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)89
91
Q4 - 10:11MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
91
Q4 - 10:30ORLBiyombo L.B.FOUL (P3.T2) (S.Wall)89
91
Q4 - 10:30MIAHEAT Rebound89
91
Q4 - 10:31ORLJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)89
91
Q4 - 10:48MIAJohnson 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)89
91
Q4 - 10:58MIAJohnson Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
89
Q4 - 10:58MIAJohnson Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
88
Q4 - 10:58ORL89
87
Q4 - 10:58ORLAugustin Foul Turnover (P1.T13)89
87
Q4 - 10:58ORLAugustin FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.T1) (B.Adams)89
87
Q4 - 11:08ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
87
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup89
87
Q4 - 11:20ORLBiyombo Dunk (2 PTS)89
87
Q4 - 11:23ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)87
87
Q4 - 11:24ORLMISS Augustin 18' Jump Shot87
87
Q4 - 11:40ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
87
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
87
Q4 - 12:0087
87
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL87
87
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound87
87
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Payton 3' Driving Layup87
87
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAJohnson 19' Step Back Bank Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
87
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
85
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot87
85
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)87
85
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLGreen S.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Wall)87
84
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAJohnson 1' Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)87
84
Q3 - 0:45.0ORLHezonja 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)87
82
Q3 - 1:05MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
82
Q3 - 1:05MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
81
Q3 - 1:05ORLBiyombo S.FOUL (P2.T3) (S.Wall)84
80
Q3 - 1:14ORLGreen 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hezonja 1 AST)84
80
Q3 - 1:35MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)82
80
Q3 - 1:47ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
78
Q3 - 1:47MIASUB: Dragic FOR Waiters81
78
Q3 - 1:47ORLSUB: Augustin FOR Vucevic81
78
Q3 - 1:47ORLSUB: Biyombo FOR Fournier81
78
Q3 - 1:47ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)81
78
Q3 - 1:47MIAReed L.B.FOUL (P2.PN) (D.Guthrie)80
78
Q3 - 1:47ORLMagic Rebound80
78
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
78
Q3 - 1:59MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
78
Q3 - 2:00ORLMISS Fournier 10' Jump Shot80
78
Q3 - 2:13MIAReed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)80
78
Q3 - 2:14MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
78
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Ellington 20' Jump Shot80
78
Q3 - 2:32ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
78
Q3 - 2:32ORLMagic Rebound79
78
Q3 - 2:32ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 279
78
Q3 - 2:32ORLSUB: Hezonja FOR Ibaka79
78
Q3 - 2:32ORLSUB: Green FOR Gordon79
78
Q3 - 2:32MIASUB: Reed FOR Whiteside79
78
Q3 - 2:32MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)79
78
Q3 - 2:32MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T4) (D.Guthrie)79
78
Q3 - 2:42ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)79
78
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot79
78
Q3 - 2:49ORLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)79
78
Q3 - 3:01MIAJohnson 6' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)79
78
Q3 - 3:19ORLVucevic 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)79
76
Q3 - 3:38MIAWaiters 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
76
Q3 - 3:59ORLPayton 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
74
Q3 - 4:14MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)75
74
Q3 - 4:31MIASUB: Ellington FOR McGruder75
71
Q3 - 4:31ORLVucevic P.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wall)75
71
Q3 - 4:44ORLIbaka Dunk (13 PTS)75
71
Q3 - 4:47ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)73
71
Q3 - 4:48ORLMISS Vucevic 12' Jump Shot73
71
Q3 - 5:14MIAMcGruder 2' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)73
71
Q3 - 5:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)73
69
Q3 - 5:19ORLMISS Vucevic 19' Jump Shot73
69
Q3 - 5:30ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
69
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
69
Q3 - 5:42MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
69
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Waiters 2' Layup73
69
Q3 - 6:00ORLGordon 2' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Vucevic 3 AST)73
69
Q3 - 6:10MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic71
69
Q3 - 6:10ORLSUB: Payton FOR Watson71
69
Q3 - 6:10ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)71
69
Q3 - 6:10MIAWaiters Running Dunk (19 PTS)71
69
Q3 - 6:16ORLWaiters STEAL (2 STL)71
67
Q3 - 6:31MIAWhiteside 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)71
67
Q3 - 6:43MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
65
Q3 - 6:44ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw 2 of 271
65
Q3 - 6:44ORLMagic Rebound71
65
Q3 - 6:44ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw 1 of 271
65
Q3 - 6:44MIAMcGruder S.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Guthrie)71
65
Q3 - 6:55MIAMcGruder 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)71
65
Q3 - 7:07MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
63
Q3 - 7:08ORLMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 271
63
Q3 - 7:08MIASUB: Johnson FOR Babbitt71
63
Q3 - 7:08ORLGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
63
Q3 - 7:08MIADragic S.FOUL (P2.T2) (B.Adams)70
63
Q3 - 7:11ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)70
63
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Waiters 9' Floating Jump Shot70
63
Q3 - 7:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
63
Q3 - 7:27ORLMISS Vucevic 20' Jump Shot70
63
Q3 - 7:49ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)70
63
Q3 - 7:50ORLMISS Vucevic 16' Jump Shot70
63
Q3 - 8:00ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
63
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS Dragic 4' Floating Jump Shot70
63
Q3 - 8:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)70
63
Q3 - 8:14ORLMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
63
Q3 - 8:20MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)70
63
Q3 - 8:35ORLFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)70
63
Q3 - 8:46MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)67
63
Q3 - 8:55ORLIbaka P.FOUL (P2.T1) (S.Wall)67
63
Q3 - 9:09ORLGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
63
Q3 - 9:09ORLMagic Rebound66
63
Q3 - 9:09ORLMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 266
63
Q3 - 9:09MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P3.T1) (B.Adams)66
63
Q3 - 9:19MIADragic 4' Driving Bank Shot (18 PTS)66
63
Q3 - 9:29ORLVucevic 6' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS)66
61
Q3 - 9:47MIADragic 3' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)64
61
Q3 - 9:48MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
59
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot64
59
Q3 - 10:06MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
59
Q3 - 10:07ORLMISS Fournier 10' Jump Shot64
59
Q3 - 10:26MIAWaiters 16' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
59
Q3 - 10:41ORLGordon Foul Turnover (P2.T10)64
57
Q3 - 10:41ORLGordon OFF.Foul (P3) (S.Wall)64
57
Q3 - 10:44MIAMcGruder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)64
57
Q3 - 11:02ORLIbaka 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)64
57
Q3 - 11:10ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)62
57
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Whiteside 15' Jump Shot62
57
Q3 - 11:21MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
57
Q3 - 11:22ORLMISS Gordon 2' Running Layup62
57
Q3 - 11:28MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)62
57
Q3 - 11:47ORLVucevic 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fournier 4 AST)62
57
Q3 - 12:0060
57
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL60
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA60
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADragic 1' Running Layup (14 PTS)60
57
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)60
55
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Fournier 6' Jump Shot60
55
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAWhiteside 2' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)60
55
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)60
53
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot60
53
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLIbaka 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)60
53
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
53
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
53
Q2 - 1:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)57
53
Q2 - 1:05ORLMISS Vucevic 7' Floating Jump Shot57
53
Q2 - 1:24MIAWaiters 17' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)57
53
Q2 - 1:32ORLWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)57
51
Q2 - 1:45MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)57
51
Q2 - 1:45ORLIbaka S.FOUL (P1.PN) (D.Guthrie)57
50
Q2 - 1:45MIAWhiteside 2' Dunk (5 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)57
50
Q2 - 1:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
48
Q2 - 1:57ORLMISS Watson 3' Driving Layup57
48
Q2 - 2:10MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
48
Q2 - 2:10MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
47
Q2 - 2:10ORLFournier P.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Wall)57
46
Q2 - 2:11MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
46
Q2 - 2:12ORLMISS Vucevic 10' Turnaround Jump Shot57
46
Q2 - 2:21MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)57
46
Q2 - 2:40ORLVucevic Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)57
46
Q2 - 2:41ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)57
46
Q2 - 2:42ORLMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
46
Q2 - 2:51MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)57
46
Q2 - 2:51ORLFournier Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN) (B.Adams)57
45
Q2 - 2:51MIAWaiters 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
45
Q2 - 2:53ORLWaiters STEAL (1 STL)57
43
Q2 - 3:07MIASUB: Dragic FOR McGruder57
43
Q2 - 3:07ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)57
43
Q2 - 3:09ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)57
43
Q2 - 3:10ORLMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
43
Q2 - 3:16ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)57
43
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Alley Oop Layup57
43
Q2 - 3:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)57
43
Q2 - 3:36ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw 1 of 157
43
Q2 - 3:36ORLSUB: Watson FOR Payton57
43
Q2 - 3:36ORLSUB: Ibaka FOR Green57
43
Q2 - 3:36MIAMcGruder Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN) (B.Adams)57
43
Q2 - 3:36ORLFournier 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
43
Q2 - 3:51MIAWaiters 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
43
Q2 - 4:10ORLPayton 15' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
41
Q2 - 4:20ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)53
41
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
41
Q2 - 4:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
41
Q2 - 4:38ORLMISS Green 9' Jump Shot53
41
Q2 - 4:57ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
41
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
41
Q2 - 5:13ORLGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)53
41
Q2 - 5:13ORLSUB: Vucevic FOR Biyombo52
41
Q2 - 5:13MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P2.T4) (S.Wall)52
41
Q2 - 5:13ORLGreen 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)52
41
Q2 - 5:29MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T6)50
41
Q2 - 5:46ORLGreen 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)50
41
Q2 - 5:53ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)48
41
Q2 - 5:54MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot48
41
Q2 - 6:04ORLFournier Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T6)48
41
Q2 - 6:17MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
41
Q2 - 6:17MIAHEAT Rebound48
40
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 248
40
Q2 - 6:17ORLGordon P.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Wall)48
40
Q2 - 6:33MIASUB: Johnson FOR White48
40
Q2 - 6:33MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington48
40
Q2 - 6:33ORLSUB: Gordon FOR Augustin48
40
Q2 - 6:33MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)48
40
Q2 - 6:33ORLPayton Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)48
40
Q2 - 6:38MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)46
40
Q2 - 6:51ORLFournier 18' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
40
Q2 - 7:03ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
40
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS White 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
40
Q2 - 7:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
40
Q2 - 7:15ORLMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
40
Q2 - 7:28MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
40
Q2 - 7:28MIASUB: Waiters FOR Dragic44
39
Q2 - 7:28MIAHEAT Rebound44
39
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 244
39
Q2 - 7:28ORLBiyombo S.FOUL (P1.T4) (D.Guthrie)44
39
Q2 - 7:45ORLGreen 2' Layup (6 PTS)44
39
Q2 - 8:12MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)42
39
Q2 - 8:25ORLAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)42
36
Q2 - 8:39MIASUB: McGruder FOR Johnson39
36
Q2 - 8:3939
36
Q2 - 8:39MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T4)39
36
Q2 - 8:39MIAWhiteside OFF.Foul (P1) (S.Wall)39
36
Q2 - 8:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
36
Q2 - 8:45ORLMISS Green 1' Layup39
36
Q2 - 8:58ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
36
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 239
36
Q2 - 9:01ORLSUB: Fournier FOR Hezonja39
36
Q2 - 9:01MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
36
Q2 - 9:01ORLHezonja S.FOUL (P1.T3) (B.Adams)39
35
Q2 - 9:04MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
35
Q2 - 9:05ORLWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)39
35
Q2 - 9:11ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
35
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot39
35
Q2 - 9:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
35
Q2 - 9:18ORLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)39
35
Q2 - 9:30ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)39
35
Q2 - 9:31ORLMISS Hezonja 20' Jump Shot39
35
Q2 - 9:48MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)39
35
Q2 - 9:48MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)39
34
Q2 - 9:48MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)39
33
Q2 - 9:48ORL39
32
Q2 - 9:48ORLGreen S.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Guthrie)39
32
Q2 - 9:52ORLWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)39
32
Q2 - 9:53ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)39
32
Q2 - 9:54ORLWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)39
32
Q2 - 10:01MIAWhite P.FOUL (P2.T3) (B.Adams)39
32
Q2 - 10:10MIAJohnson 9' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
32
Q2 - 10:21ORLAugustin P.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)39
30
Q2 - 10:35ORLHezonja 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)39
30
Q2 - 10:45MIAWhite P.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Guthrie)36
30
Q2 - 11:03MIAJohnson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
30
Q2 - 11:23MIASUB: White FOR Johnson36
28
Q2 - 11:23ORLHezonja Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)36
28
Q2 - 11:25ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
28
Q2 - 11:26ORLMISS Augustin 17' Jump Shot36
28
Q2 - 11:38MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T1) (S.Wall)36
28
Q2 - 11:42ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
28
Q2 - 11:43ORLJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)36
28
Q2 - 12:0036
28
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL36
28
Q1 - 0:06.0MIADragic 8' Pullup Bank Shot (7 PTS)36
28
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
26
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
26
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.PN) (D.Guthrie)34
26
Q1 - 0:36.0ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
26
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot34
26
Q1 - 1:02ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)34
26
Q1 - 1:02MIADragic S.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Wall)33
26
Q1 - 1:02ORLPayton 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
26
Q1 - 1:12ORLSUB: Augustin FOR Fournier31
26
Q1 - 1:12ORLSUB: Biyombo FOR Vucevic31
26
Q1 - 1:12ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)31
26
Q1 - 1:12MIAWhiteside 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
26
Q1 - 1:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
24
Q1 - 1:32ORLMISS Payton 10' Jump Shot31
24
Q1 - 1:46MIADragic 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)31
24
Q1 - 1:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
22
Q1 - 1:53ORLMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
22
Q1 - 2:05ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
22
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
22
Q1 - 2:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
22
Q1 - 2:17ORLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)31
22
Q1 - 2:29MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)31
22
Q1 - 2:29MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)31
21
Q1 - 2:29MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)31
20
Q1 - 2:29ORLPayton S.FOUL (P2.T3) (S.Wall)31
19
Q1 - 2:32ORLPayton P.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wall)31
19
Q1 - 2:40ORLGreen 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)31
19
Q1 - 2:45MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
19
Q1 - 2:58ORLGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
19
Q1 - 2:58ORLGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
19
Q1 - 2:58MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Reed27
19
Q1 - 2:58MIASUB: Ellington FOR Waiters27
19
Q1 - 2:58MIASUB: Dragic FOR McGruder27
19
Q1 - 2:58ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)27
19
Q1 - 2:58MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P2.T4) (S.Wall)27
19
Q1 - 3:00ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
19
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Reed 8' Jump Shot27
19
Q1 - 3:15ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
19
Q1 - 3:15ORLSUB: Green FOR Ibaka26
19
Q1 - 3:15ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
19
Q1 - 3:15MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P1.T3) (B.Adams)25
19
Q1 - 3:22MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)25
19
Q1 - 3:39ORLIbaka 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)25
19
Q1 - 3:58MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
19
Q1 - 4:15ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
16
Q1 - 4:15ORLSUB: Hezonja FOR Gordon22
16
Q1 - 4:15ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
16
Q1 - 4:15MIAReed S.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Adams)21
16
Q1 - 4:28MIAWaiters Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)21
16
Q1 - 4:42ORLSUB: Payton FOR Watson21
16
Q1 - 4:42MIASUB: Johnson FOR Babbitt21
16
Q1 - 4:42MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic21
16
Q1 - 4:42ORLGordon L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wall)21
16
Q1 - 4:43MIAHEAT Rebound21
16
Q1 - 4:44ORLMISS Ibaka 16' Jump Shot21
16
Q1 - 4:59MIAWaiters 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)21
16
Q1 - 5:13ORLWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)21
14
Q1 - 5:22ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
14
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS McGruder 9' Jump Shot18
14
Q1 - 5:37ORLFournier 8' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
14
Q1 - 5:52MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)16
14
Q1 - 6:05ORLIbaka 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
11
Q1 - 6:09ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)14
11
Q1 - 6:10ORLMISS Watson 8' Jump Shot14
11
Q1 - 6:24ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
11
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot14
11
Q1 - 6:37ORLWatson Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
11
Q1 - 6:49MIAMcGruder 2' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)14
11
Q1 - 6:51MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
9
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Reed 9' Jump Shot14
9
Q1 - 7:15ORLWatson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
9
Q1 - 7:23MIABabbitt P.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Adams)12
9
Q1 - 7:25ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
9
Q1 - 7:26ORLMISS Fournier 10' Jump Shot12
9
Q1 - 7:45ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
9
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Dragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot12
9
Q1 - 7:56ORLFournier Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)12
9
Q1 - 8:07MIAReed Dunk (2 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)12
9
Q1 - 8:13ORLDragic STEAL (1 STL)12
7
Q1 - 8:28MIAMcGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)12
7
Q1 - 8:41ORLFournier 13' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
4
Q1 - 9:00MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
4
Q1 - 9:15MIASUB: Reed FOR Whiteside10
2
Q1 - 9:15MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
2
Q1 - 9:16ORLGordon 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)10
2
Q1 - 9:22ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 9:23ORLMISS Fournier 19' Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 9:31ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 9:44ORLFournier 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)8
2
Q1 - 9:50ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
2
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 10:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
2
Q1 - 10:05ORLMISS Vucevic 7' Hook Shot6
2
Q1 - 10:08ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
2
Q1 - 10:09ORLMISS Watson 18' Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 10:20ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
2
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
2
Q1 - 10:34ORLGordon Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)6
2
Q1 - 10:35ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:36ORLMISS Gordon 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup4
2
Q1 - 10:46ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS McGruder 9' Floating Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:58ORLVucevic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 11:05ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup2
2
Q1 - 11:21ORLIbaka 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:25ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 11:26ORLMISS Vucevic 15' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:42MIAMcGruder 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Vucevic: Tip to Babbitt0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
19
27
70%
MIA
18
28
64%
Midrange
ORL
17
49
35%
MIA
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
MIA
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
Free Throws
ORL
20
29
69%
MIA
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Fournier2463%12.0 / 19
E. Payton2056%10.0 / 18
S. Ibaka1785%8.5 / 10
N. Vučević1336%6.5 / 18
J. Green1354%6.5 / 12
M. Hezonja1192%5.5 / 6
A. Gordon850%4.0 / 8
C. Watson542%2.5 / 6
D. Augustin338%1.5 / 4
B. Biyombo250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2357%11.5 / 20
G. Dragic2258%11.0 / 19
J. Johnson1568%7.5 / 11
T. Johnson1359%6.5 / 11
H. Whiteside1275%6.0 / 8
R. McGruder1155%5.5 / 10
W. Ellington643%3.0 / 7
L. Babbitt3150%1.5 / 1
W. Reed225%1.0 / 4
O. White0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
89
+17
-14
106
MIA
88
+6
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
108.1
ORL 112.6 +7.7
MIA 104.9
Pace
96.2
95.0
ORL 108.1 +10.7
MIA 97.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.7
ORL 13.3 −1.5
MIA 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
51.2%
ORL 53.3% +2.7%
MIA 50.6%
TO %
13.3%
13.2%
ORL 12.0% −1.7%
MIA 13.7%
ORB %
21.6%
24.2%
ORL 32.6% +18.6%
MIA 14.0%
FTrt
24.6
25.1
ORL 32.2
MIA 32.5 +0.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
54.4%
ORL 40.9% +5.0%
MIA 35.9%
STL %
7.3%
7.5%
ORL 8.7% +1.8%
MIA 6.9%
BLK %
8.0%
9.3%
ORL 4.9%
MIA 9.2% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
52.8%
ORL 54.2%
MIA 56.9% +2.7%
Rim FG%
58.1%
59.2%
ORL 70.4% +6.1%
MIA 64.3%
Mid FG%
40.8%
39.4%
ORL 34.7%
MIA 45.5% +10.8%
3P %
32.8%
36.5%
ORL 57.1% +29.8%
MIA 27.3%
FT %
74.7%
70.6%
ORL 69.0%
MIA 85.2% +16.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
35.4%
ORL 30.0%
MIA 33.7% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
37.7%
33.1%
ORL 54.4%
MIA 39.8% −14.7%
3P Att. %
30.0%
31.4%
ORL 15.6%
MIA 26.5% +11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions103102
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points116107
Rebounds5237
Assists1814
Steals97
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)31 (2)
Field Goals44-9039-83
At-the-Rim FG19-2718-28
Midrange FG17-4915-33
2-Point FG36-7633-61
3-Point FG8-146-22
Free Throws20-2923-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 205 · 24
35.7
24
63%
2
4
1
0
3
2
0
2
2-5
40%
8-13
62%
2-4
50%
C · 6'9" 260 · 26
31.5
13
36%
17
3
3
0
1
2
4
13
5-8
63%
4-14
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 21
29.4
8
50%
6
3
2
1
5
3
1
5
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 27
28.2
17
85%
8
0
1
1
0
3
5
3
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
16.7
5
42%
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 185 · 23
31.3
20
56%
5
4
0
0
0
2
0
5
6-7
86%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
20.2
13
54%
2
0
1
0
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22
16.1
11
92%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-3
100%
C · 6'8" 255 · 24
16.1
2
50%
10
1
0
1
1
3
5
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 183 · 29
14.8
3
38%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 228 · 31
C · 7'0" 240 · 20
#23 · G · 6'5" 195 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
54%
52
18
9
3
14
0
15
37
20-29
69%
36-76
47%
8-14
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.