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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 13, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Celtics
111
15Mavericks
98
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.9
35
33
19
3
3
2
2
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
44%
3-7
43%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.0
34
34
29
1
8
0
1
0
1
0
1
7-9
78%
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
4-10
40%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
32
32
11
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-10
4-7
40%
54%
1-2
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.6
29
32
10
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-3
67%
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.8
21
17
7
7
5
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
60%
1-1
100%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.8
29
22
15
7
2
0
1
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
54%
1-3
33%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.9
19
20
2
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31.1
14
17
10
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
2-3
67%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 30.0
13
15
3
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-2
50%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.5
12
9
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.6
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.1
5
0
1-2
50%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.4
1
0
0-0
45%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.2
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.7
35
33
19
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
3-5
60%
5-12
6-13
42%
51%
2-4
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
35
30
18
7
3
0
1
0
0
0
7
7-10
70%
4-7
3-5
57%
47%
1-5
20%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
33
30
8
5
5
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.7
29
24
18
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
13
12
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 23.8
33
29
20
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-7
2-5
86%
46%
2-4
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.0
19
18
9
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
17
14
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.7
14
15
2
10
0
1
0
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
63%
0-0
-
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.8
10
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.2
1
11
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 24.0
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.6
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.5
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.