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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 13, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors80%121110
18Nuggets20%110132
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.3
35.5
7.6
19
68%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
7-8
0-1
88%
51%
1-5
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
26.7
32.7
11
29%
2
5
1
2
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
55%
1-11
9%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.4
26.7
31.4
25
72%
4
5
1
1
1
3
1
3
3-3
100%
8-11
6-10
73%
58%
2-5
40%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.9
24.4
33.4
5
37%
2
6
3
2
2
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
15.6
17.1
8
67%
7
0
0
0
1
2
0
7
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
61%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.9
26.7
12.0
18
60%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-12
1-2
50%
54%
2-3
67%
Briante Weber
G · 6'2" 165 · 24.1
24.2
3.9
2
33%
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.0
18.2
26.9
15
76%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-5
2-3
100%
57%
1-4
25%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
16.3
11.9
3
50%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
59%
1-1
100%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.1
13.7
12.3
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.6
12.0
2.8
4
67%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
57%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
33.3
1
5-9
52%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.0
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.5
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
43.1
15.3
27
72%
10
2
1
0
0
1
3
7
3-4
75%
3-7
1-2
43%
48%
6-10
60%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
41.0
28.0
24
60%
10
7
1
1
0
2
2
8
2-2
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
47%
4-8
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
36.0
32.6
17
58%
21
12
2
1
0
6
6
15
3-4
75%
7-13
8-13
54%
58%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.0
34.5
31.4
23
82%
3
7
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
5-7
71%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
31.7
30.4
16
62%
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-2
0%
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
4-7
57%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.0
23.4
17.9
14
71%
1
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
2-5
40%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23.7
12.0
5.2
5
133%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
41%
1-1
100%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.0
10.9
5.3
6
150%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
2-2
100%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
7.4
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
33.6
1
4-9
49%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
19.6
1
2-4
45%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.9
11.9
0
1-3
40%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.2
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.