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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 13, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Hawks41%107109
13Trail Blazers59%110104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.9
43.2
32.6
25
59%
7
4
1
1
0
1
0
7
5-5
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
4-9
44%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.4
42.0
30.9
22
46%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
8-18
6-11
44%
50%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.0
41.1
34.5
21
61%
9
5
2
2
5
1
1
8
12-12
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.2
38.4
27.5
19
68%
16
1
2
1
3
2
4
12
9-16
56%
5-6
4-7
83%
61%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.6
37.0
27.7
8
40%
6
6
1
1
3
3
1
5
4-7
57%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
25.3
2.8
5
51%
5
0
3
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
13.1
15.8
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
12.9
18.1
2
17%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.4
7.9
12.3
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
1-4
25%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.6
4.1
17.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
10.9
0
1-2
49%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.6
5.2
0
0-1
52%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 25.5
2.6
0
0-0
48%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.1
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.6
41.3
37.0
21
44%
6
4
1
1
0
3
1
5
6-6
100%
3-12
6-12
25%
49%
3-9
33%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
41.2
34.9
26
49%
7
5
0
1
0
1
2
5
5-6
83%
6-16
6-12
38%
51%
3-8
38%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
31.8
22.0
17
55%
9
2
1
1
2
2
6
3
0-1
0%
4-11
3-5
36%
55%
3-4
75%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.0
23.7
13.9
2
13%
6
3
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-6
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.5
14.3
16.7
1
27%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.4
38.8
29.6
14
50%
15
2
1
1
0
3
3
12
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
4-9
44%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
30.6
26.2
6
51%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.7
27.3
8.3
11
52%
13
3
0
0
1
1
6
7
1-6
17%
5-8
1-1
63%
57%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.1
9.8
8.3
3
25%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.6
6.4
1.7
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.9
2.7
0
0-0
50%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.3
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.5
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.3
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.