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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 14, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Raptors64%10694
25Bulls36%101105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.6
39.9
31.4
4
41%
5
1
3
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-3
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.5
37.8
36.1
18
39%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
8-9
89%
5-18
9-19
28%
48%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.9
37.7
35.8
22
62%
3
4
1
1
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
4-11
36%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.8
21.5
30.1
12
55%
9
0
0
1
0
1
5
4
0-0
-
6-11
6-11
55%
56%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.3
17.9
14.9
4
100%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
27.6
18.5
10
56%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
49%
1-1
100%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.6
25.2
26.8
7
66%
3
0
1
1
0
4
0
3
1-3
33%
3-4
2-4
75%
64%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.7
18.3
13.5
13
61%
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
5-6
83%
4-5
2-3
80%
50%
0-3
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
9.6
2.3
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
4.5
9.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.9
8.9
0
0-1
51%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.0
4.5
0
1-1
45%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.9
4.4
0
1-1
46%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.4
37.9
15.6
19
52%
2
12
5
1
0
4
1
1
15-19
79%
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
0-3
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.3
29.5
22.1
8
86%
5
3
1
1
1
1
0
5
4-6
67%
2-2
3-7
100%
46%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
27.0
22.0
14
71%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
6-8
4-7
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.9
21.1
24.6
8
33%
6
0
0
0
2
3
2
4
0-0
-
4-12
4-8
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.4
14.7
21.0
2
20%
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 25.1
32.5
22.1
20
72%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.6
26.9
20.2
10
73%
6
1
2
0
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 31.0
24.1
21.5
12
75%
3
4
0
1
0
5
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.2
15.3
17.1
6
100%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
2-3
67%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.0
10.7
16.0
6
44%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
3-4
75%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.7
0.4
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.1
17.7
1
4-9
48%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.0
12.2
0
1-2
48%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.