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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 15, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs81%108107
29Magic19%9679
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.5
28.9
25.1
10
78%
11
1
0
1
1
1
2
9
0-1
0%
5-6
3-5
83%
60%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
28.1
33.4
23
78%
3
3
2
1
1
2
1
2
3-4
75%
10-13
7-15
77%
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.6
27.1
34.0
22
56%
5
1
2
2
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
6-13
7-14
46%
55%
2-5
40%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.8
23.4
28.2
5
23%
0
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
0-3
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.7
17.5
31.2
3
38%
6
0
3
1
2
3
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.4
20.9
14.7
8
46%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-4
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.5
18.1
18.4
13
59%
2
6
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
3-7
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
17.6
19.7
6
87%
4
2
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-1
0%
3-3
3-6
100%
55%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.3
15.8
9.6
5
32%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
56%
1-6
17%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.6
15.8
14.1
2
50%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
14.7
8.8
8
62%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.4
6.4
2.5
2
50%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
5.7
2.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
34.7
16.9
11
45%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
0-4
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.3
33.8
33.0
9
37%
5
5
1
1
0
4
0
5
2-3
67%
2-6
5-9
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.4
32.7
19.5
11
49%
6
2
0
1
1
2
2
4
5-5
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
0-2
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
28.4
29.1
16
47%
10
0
0
1
1
3
1
9
2-2
100%
7-16
6-11
44%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.8
12.0
22.0
7
88%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.0
30.1
26.5
7
44%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22.0
24.7
19.6
8
40%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-3
44%
45%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.3
20.1
19.4
6
56%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-3
33%
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.5
15.6
17.4
4
60%
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
2
2-3
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.7
4.0
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.4
4.0
2.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26.0
18.7
1
1-3
46%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.