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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 15, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2676ers25%101108
5Celtics75%110116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.9
30.9
25.3
16
74%
7
3
3
2
0
4
3
4
2-2
100%
7-10
4-7
70%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
29.1
29.9
18
75%
9
2
3
2
1
0
3
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
4-6
67%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
28.1
31.2
12
67%
3
8
5
2
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.2
25.0
24.6
11
51%
0
0
2
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
14.8
22.2
5
26%
3
0
1
1
0
2
3
0
1-1
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.9
33.2
26.8
20
54%
11
0
1
1
1
3
1
10
1-1
100%
8-10
3-7
80%
46%
1-8
13%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
27.9
27.1
11
52%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
4-6
67%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
1-6
17%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.7
19.9
14.3
8
57%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
2-3
67%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.2
17.1
11.5
4
34%
4
2
0
0
3
1
1
3
0-2
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.8
13.9
10.2
3
22%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
14.3
0
2-4
54%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
7.6
0
2-3
51%
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
3.2
0
0-0
45%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.6
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.6
35.1
30.4
18
53%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
7-9
78%
4-8
2-4
50%
54%
1-5
20%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.9
34.3
33.3
21
75%
5
5
8
2
1
6
0
5
4-7
57%
4-4
3-6
100%
45%
3-7
43%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.0
34.0
33.6
33
67%
4
3
0
1
0
4
1
3
11-13
85%
5-12
5-10
42%
52%
4-7
57%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
29.4
31.1
12
64%
5
2
2
1
0
4
0
5
2-3
67%
2-5
4-8
40%
55%
2-3
67%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.8
15.3
18.5
2
25%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
62%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.8
25.8
24.8
16
86%
7
3
1
1
0
3
1
6
2-3
67%
4-6
3-5
67%
56%
2-2
100%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.5
22.1
10.1
10
67%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
1-1
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
53%
1-2
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.9
19.0
19.5
2
17%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 30.0
9.8
14.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.1
8.8
4.3
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31.1
6.5
15.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.6
2.4
0
0-1
52%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.4
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.2
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.