Final Win Prob. pScore
2029%104
117
371%112
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
124.59484.3
HOU logo Rockets
117.293105.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA117
109
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)117
109
Q4 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot117
109
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)117
109
Q4 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot117
109
Q4 - 0:11.0HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)117
109
Q4 - 0:13.0HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
109
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUSUB: Harden FOR Brewer117
109
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)117
109
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)117
109
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)116
109
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUAnderson P.FOUL (P3.PN) (P.Fraher)115
109
Q4 - 0:25.0MIASUB: McGruder FOR Whiteside115
109
Q4 - 0:25.0HOUSUB: Dekker FOR Harden115
109
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)115
109
Q4 - 0:25.0HOUGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harden 12 AST)115
109
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)115
106
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot115
106
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)115
106
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUAnderson 1' Putback Layup (17 PTS)115
106
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot115
104
Q4 - 1:01HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)115
104
Q4 - 1:03HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot115
104
Q4 - 1:24MIAWhiteside Dunk (23 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)115
104
Q4 - 1:34HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)113
104
Q4 - 1:44MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)113
101
Q4 - 1:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)111
101
Q4 - 1:55HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot111
101
Q4 - 2:14MIADragic 2' Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)111
101
Q4 - 2:34HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (38 PTS)109
101
Q4 - 2:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)109
99
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
99
Q4 - 2:58MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)109
99
Q4 - 2:59HOUHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)109
99
Q4 - 3:06HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)109
96
Q4 - 3:07HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot109
96
Q4 - 3:14HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)109
96
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
96
Q4 - 3:33MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)109
96
Q4 - 3:35HOUMISS Brewer 1' Layup109
96
Q4 - 3:40MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T12)109
96
Q4 - 3:40MIAWhiteside OFF.Foul (P4) (P.Fraher)109
96
Q4 - 3:52MIADragic Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)109
96
Q4 - 3:52HOUAnderson T.FOUL (P2.PN) (C.Washington)108
96
Q4 - 3:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)108
96
Q4 - 3:53HOUMISS Anderson 1' Layup108
96
Q4 - 3:54HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)108
96
Q4 - 3:56HOUMISS Anderson 1' Layup108
96
Q4 - 4:09HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)108
96
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 2108
96
Q4 - 4:09MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)108
96
Q4 - 4:09HOUSUB: Gordon FOR Dekker107
96
Q4 - 4:09HOUAnderson L.B.FOUL (P2.PN) (C.Washington)107
96
Q4 - 4:09MIAHeat Rebound107
96
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
96
Q4 - 4:27MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)107
96
Q4 - 4:29HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
96
Q4 - 4:49MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)107
96
Q4 - 4:49MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)106
96
Q4 - 4:49HOUBrewer S.FOUL (P5.PN) (P.Fraher)105
96
Q4 - 5:04HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (33 PTS)105
96
Q4 - 5:15MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T11)105
94
Q4 - 5:15MIAJohnson Offensive Charge Foul (P4.T3) (C.Washington)105
94
Q4 - 5:33HOUAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)105
94
Q4 - 5:40MIAJohnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)105
91
Q4 - 5:55HOUAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)103
91
Q4 - 6:16MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)103
88
Q4 - 6:38HOUDekker 15' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)100
88
Q4 - 7:01MIASUB: Waiters FOR Ellington100
86
Q4 - 7:01MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)100
86
Q4 - 7:21MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Reed100
86
Q4 - 7:21MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)100
86
Q4 - 7:23HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)100
86
Q4 - 7:36MIADragic 7' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)100
83
Q4 - 7:54HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)98
83
Q4 - 8:06HOUSUB: Dekker FOR Gordon98
80
Q4 - 8:06HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)98
80
Q4 - 8:08MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)98
80
Q4 - 8:18MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
80
Q4 - 8:18HOUMISS Harden Driving Layup95
80
Q4 - 8:25HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
80
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
80
Q4 - 8:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
80
Q4 - 8:40HOUMISS Gordon 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup95
80
Q4 - 8:56MIAJohnson 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)95
80
Q4 - 9:10MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
80
Q4 - 9:11HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
80
Q4 - 9:30HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
80
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 293
80
Q4 - 9:30HOUSUB: Anderson FOR Harrell93
80
Q4 - 9:30HOUSUB: Ariza FOR Dekker93
80
Q4 - 9:30MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)93
80
Q4 - 9:30HOUHarrell S.FOUL (P1.T4) (P.Fraher)92
80
Q4 - 9:46HOUHarden L.B.FOUL (P5.T3) (P.Fraher)92
80
Q4 - 9:46MIAHeat Rebound92
80
Q4 - 9:46HOUMISS Dekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
80
Q4 - 9:57HOUROCKETS Rebound92
80
Q4 - 9:58HOUMISS Harrell 2' Layup92
80
Q4 - 10:07MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
80
Q4 - 10:07MIAReed Putback Dunk (3 PTS)92
80
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot90
80
Q4 - 10:23HOUBrewer P.FOUL (P4.T2) (P.Fraher)90
80
Q4 - 10:26HOUBrewer P.FOUL (P3.T1) (P.Fraher)90
80
Q4 - 10:31HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (31 PTS)90
80
Q4 - 10:31HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (30 PTS)90
79
Q4 - 10:31HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (29 PTS)90
78
Q4 - 10:31MIA90
77
Q4 - 10:31MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T2) (C.Washington)90
77
Q4 - 10:39MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)90
77
Q4 - 10:52HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)90
77
Q4 - 10:52HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)90
76
Q4 - 10:52MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T1) (C.Washington)90
75
Q4 - 10:58HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
75
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
75
Q4 - 11:13HOUDekker Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)90
75
Q4 - 11:27MIADragic 11' Pullup Bank Shot (11 PTS)90
73
Q4 - 11:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
73
Q4 - 11:43HOUMISS Harden 11' Step Back Jump Shot88
73
Q4 - 12:0088
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA88
73
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)88
73
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)88
70
Q3 - 0:22.0MIASUB: Ellington FOR McGruder85
70
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUSUB: Harrell FOR Nene85
70
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUBrewer Violation:Kicked Ball (P.Fraher)85
70
Q3 - 0:38.0HOUGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)85
70
Q3 - 0:45.0HOUNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)85
67
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
67
Q3 - 1:09HOUDekker 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)85
67
Q3 - 1:27MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)85
65
Q3 - 1:31MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
65
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot82
65
Q3 - 1:45HOUNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
65
Q3 - 1:45HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Ariza82
64
Q3 - 1:45MIASUB: Reed FOR Whiteside82
64
Q3 - 1:45HOUROCKETS Rebound82
64
Q3 - 1:45HOUMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 282
64
Q3 - 1:45MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P3.PN) (C.Washington)82
64
Q3 - 1:46HOUNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)82
64
Q3 - 1:48HOUMISS Harden 12' Jump Shot82
64
Q3 - 1:55HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
64
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot82
64
Q3 - 2:03MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)82
64
Q3 - 2:04HOUMISS Nene 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
64
Q3 - 2:32MIAWhiteside 12' Hook Shot (20 PTS)82
64
Q3 - 2:55HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)80
64
Q3 - 3:10MIAJohnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Waiters 7 AST)80
61
Q3 - 3:22MIASUB: Johnson FOR Babbitt78
61
Q3 - 3:22MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)78
61
Q3 - 3:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)78
61
Q3 - 3:30HOUMISS Dekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
61
Q3 - 3:38MIADekker STEAL (1 STL)78
61
Q3 - 3:48HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)78
61
Q3 - 4:02MIAMcGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)78
61
Q3 - 4:13HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)75
61
Q3 - 4:13HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
60
Q3 - 4:13MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P3.PN) (P.Fraher)75
59
Q3 - 4:23HOUROCKETS Rebound75
59
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Waiters 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot75
59
Q3 - 4:37MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
59
Q3 - 4:39HOUMISS Nene 3' Layup75
59
Q3 - 4:45HOUSUB: Dekker FOR Anderson75
59
Q3 - 4:45MIAMcGruder P.FOUL (P2.T4) (C.Washington)75
59
Q3 - 4:56HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
59
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 275
59
Q3 - 4:56MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
59
Q3 - 4:56HOUNene S.FOUL (P3.T4) (P.Fraher)74
59
Q3 - 5:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)74
59
Q3 - 5:05HOUMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
59
Q3 - 5:15HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
59
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Fadeaway Jumper74
59
Q3 - 5:36HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)74
59
Q3 - 5:36HOUHarden L.B.FOUL (P4.T3) (C.Washington)74
59
Q3 - 5:36MIAHeat Rebound74
59
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
59
Q3 - 5:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
59
Q3 - 5:49HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
59
Q3 - 6:04HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
59
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 174
59
Q3 - 6:04HOUSUB: Gordon FOR Brewer74
59
Q3 - 6:04MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic74
59
Q3 - 6:04HOUSUB: Nene FOR Capela74
59
Q3 - 6:04HOUBrewer S.FOUL (P2.T2) (D.Crawford)74
59
Q3 - 6:04MIAWhiteside Dunk (18 PTS) (Waiters 6 AST)74
59
Q3 - 6:07MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
59
Q3 - 6:08HOUMISS Harden 2' Layup72
59
Q3 - 6:14HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
59
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS Whiteside Layup72
59
Q3 - 6:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
59
Q3 - 6:38HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 172
59
Q3 - 6:38MIADragic S.FOUL (P3.T3) (P.Fraher)72
59
Q3 - 6:38HOUCapela 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)72
59
Q3 - 6:55MIAWhiteside Dunk (16 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)72
57
Q3 - 7:09MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
57
Q3 - 7:10HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot70
57
Q3 - 7:37MIADragic 1' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)70
57
Q3 - 7:42MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
57
Q3 - 7:43HOUMISS Capela 4' Hook Shot68
57
Q3 - 7:54HOUROCKETS Rebound68
57
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Whiteside 13' Jump Shot68
57
Q3 - 8:16HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)68
57
Q3 - 8:33MIABabbitt 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)68
55
Q3 - 8:55HOUBrewer 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)65
55
Q3 - 9:18MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)65
53
Q3 - 9:18MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)64
53
Q3 - 9:18HOUHarden S.FOUL (P3.T1) (P.Fraher)63
53
Q3 - 9:35HOUCapela Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)63
53
Q3 - 9:52MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)63
51
Q3 - 10:09HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
51
Q3 - 10:09HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)61
50
Q3 - 10:09MIABabbitt S.FOUL (P1.T2) (C.Washington)61
49
Q3 - 10:17HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
49
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Dragic 23' Jump Shot61
49
Q3 - 10:37HOUAriza 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)61
49
Q3 - 10:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
47
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
47
Q3 - 10:58HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
47
Q3 - 10:58HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
46
Q3 - 10:58MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P2.T1) (D.Crawford)61
45
Q3 - 11:11MIAAriza STEAL (2 STL)61
45
Q3 - 11:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
45
Q3 - 11:21HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
45
Q3 - 11:38MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)61
45
Q3 - 12:0058
45
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA58
45
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
45
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
45
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
45
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Johnson 7' Floating Jump Shot58
45
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)58
45
Q2 - 0:40.0HOUNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)58
45
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
45
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)58
45
Q2 - 1:01HOUNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)58
43
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
43
Q2 - 1:23MIASUB: Reed FOR Whiteside58
43
Q2 - 1:23HOUAriza Foul Turnover (P1.T6)58
43
Q2 - 1:23HOUAriza Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN) (D.Crawford)58
43
Q2 - 1:39MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)58
43
Q2 - 2:02HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)55
43
Q2 - 2:20MIAWaiters 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)55
41
Q2 - 2:36MIASUB: Johnson FOR Ellington53
41
Q2 - 2:36MIASUB: Dragic FOR Babbitt53
41
Q2 - 2:36MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)53
41
Q2 - 2:36MIAHeat Rebound53
41
Q2 - 2:36HOUMISS Anderson 6' Jump Shot53
41
Q2 - 2:48HOUNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)53
41
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
41
Q2 - 3:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
41
Q2 - 3:07HOUMISS Nene 3' Layup53
41
Q2 - 3:12HOUNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)53
41
Q2 - 3:14HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
41
Q2 - 3:27MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)53
41
Q2 - 3:27MIASUB: McGruder FOR Johnson52
41
Q2 - 3:27HOUNene S.FOUL (P2.PN) (P.Fraher)52
41
Q2 - 3:27MIAWhiteside 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
41
Q2 - 3:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
41
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
41
Q2 - 3:41HOUHarden P.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Crawford)50
41
Q2 - 3:58HOUHarden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)50
41
Q2 - 4:12MIABabbitt 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)50
38
Q2 - 4:27MIAHeat Rebound47
38
Q2 - 4:29HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
38
Q2 - 4:32HOUNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)47
38
Q2 - 4:33HOUMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot47
38
Q2 - 4:39HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
38
Q2 - 4:40HOUMISS Gordon Layup47
38
Q2 - 4:51MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)47
38
Q2 - 4:51MIASUB: Babbitt FOR Johnson46
38
Q2 - 4:51HOUSUB: Ariza FOR Brewer46
38
Q2 - 4:51HOUBrewer S.FOUL (P1.T3) (P.Fraher)46
38
Q2 - 4:51MIAJohnson 1' Layup (8 PTS)46
38
Q2 - 4:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)44
38
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Waiters 17' Jump Shot44
38
Q2 - 5:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
38
Q2 - 5:06HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
38
Q2 - 5:20MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)44
38
Q2 - 5:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
38
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup41
38
Q2 - 5:46MIAJohnson Violation:Defensive Goaltending (D.Crawford)41
38
Q2 - 5:46HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)41
38
Q2 - 5:46MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Crawford)41
37
Q2 - 5:46HOUGordon 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)41
37
Q2 - 5:53MIASUB: Waiters FOR Dragic41
35
Q2 - 5:53HOUSUB: Anderson FOR Dekker41
35
Q2 - 5:53HOUSUB: Harden FOR Beverley41
35
Q2 - 5:53HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)41
35
Q2 - 5:57MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (4 PTS)41
35
Q2 - 6:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
35
Q2 - 6:05HOUMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
35
Q2 - 6:22MIAJohnson 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)39
35
Q2 - 6:24MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
35
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Whiteside 14' Turnaround Hook Shot37
35
Q2 - 6:44MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
35
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
35
Q2 - 6:55MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
35
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Ellington 11' Jump Shot37
35
Q2 - 7:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
35
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
35
Q2 - 7:28HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)37
35
Q2 - 7:39MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
35
Q2 - 7:39HOUSUB: Nene FOR Capela36
35
Q2 - 7:39MIAHeat Rebound36
35
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 236
35
Q2 - 7:39HOUCapela S.FOUL (P3.T2) (P.Fraher)36
35
Q2 - 8:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
35
Q2 - 8:00HOUMISS Beverley Free Throw 2 of 236
35
Q2 - 8:00HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
35
Q2 - 8:0036
34
Q2 - 8:00MIADragic S.FOUL (P2.T2) (P.Fraher)36
34
Q2 - 8:11HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
34
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
34
Q2 - 8:18MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
34
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
34
Q2 - 8:39HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
34
Q2 - 8:39HOUBrewer 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)36
34
Q2 - 8:41HOUMISS Beverley 13' Jump Shot36
32
Q2 - 9:01MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Reed36
32
Q2 - 9:01MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T6)36
32
Q2 - 9:01MIAJohnson Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1) (D.Crawford)36
32
Q2 - 9:11HOUCapela 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)36
32
Q2 - 9:25MIAReed Backcourt Turnover (P1.T5)36
30
Q2 - 9:29MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
30
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
30
Q2 - 9:48HOUGordon Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)36
30
Q2 - 10:01MIAEllington 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)36
30
Q2 - 10:17MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
30
Q2 - 10:18HOUMISS Beverley 4' Floating Jump Shot34
30
Q2 - 10:37HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
30
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
30
Q2 - 10:47MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
30
Q2 - 10:48HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
30
Q2 - 10:55HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
30
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
30
Q2 - 11:08HOUCapela L.B.FOUL (P2.T1) (C.Washington)34
30
Q2 - 11:08MIAHeat Rebound34
30
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot34
30
Q2 - 11:25HOUBeverley 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
30
Q2 - 11:35HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
28
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Johnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot34
28
Q2 - 12:00Heat Violation: Delay of game Violation34
28
Q2 - 12:0034
28
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU34
28
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)34
28
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
28
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
27
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN) (C.Washington)34
26
Q1 - 0:23.0MIASUB: Dragic FOR Waiters34
26
Q1 - 0:23.0MIASUB: Ellington FOR McGruder34
26
Q1 - 0:23.0HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Nene34
26
Q1 - 0:23.0HOUSUB: Capela FOR Ariza34
26
Q1 - 0:23.0HOUROCKETS Rebound34
26
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
26
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
26
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
26
Q1 - 0:44.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
26
Q1 - 0:45.0HOUMISS Dekker 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
26
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
26
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWaiters 2' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)34
26
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Waiters 1' Layup32
26
Q1 - 1:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
26
Q1 - 1:08HOUMISS Gordon 8' Fadeaway Jumper32
26
Q1 - 1:24MIAJohnson 14' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)32
26
Q1 - 1:45HOUNene Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)30
26
Q1 - 1:56HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
24
Q1 - 1:57HOUMISS Gordon 2' Driving Layup30
24
Q1 - 2:05HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
24
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Reed 10' Turnaround Jump Shot30
24
Q1 - 2:31HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)30
24
Q1 - 2:46HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
22
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 2 of 230
22
Q1 - 2:46MIAReed Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
22
Q1 - 2:46HOUNene P.FOUL (P1.PN) (D.Crawford)29
22
Q1 - 2:58HOUNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
22
Q1 - 2:58HOUROCKETS Rebound29
21
Q1 - 2:58HOUMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 229
21
Q1 - 2:58MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)29
21
Q1 - 2:58MIAReed Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN) (D.Crawford)29
21
Q1 - 3:14MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)29
21
Q1 - 3:30MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
21
Q1 - 3:32HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
21
Q1 - 3:36HOUSUB: Dekker FOR Anderson26
21
Q1 - 3:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)26
21
Q1 - 4:03HOUGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)26
21
Q1 - 4:14MIAWaiters 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)26
18
Q1 - 4:19MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
18
Q1 - 4:19HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup24
18
Q1 - 4:25MIANene STEAL (1 STL)24
18
Q1 - 4:29HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)24
18
Q1 - 4:43MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
18
Q1 - 4:43MIAHeat Rebound23
18
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 223
18
Q1 - 4:43HOUGordon P.FOUL (P1.PN) (D.Crawford)23
18
Q1 - 4:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
18
Q1 - 4:58HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
18
Q1 - 5:11MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
18
Q1 - 5:24HOUNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
18
Q1 - 5:24HOUROCKETS Rebound20
17
Q1 - 5:24HOUMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 220
17
Q1 - 5:24MIASUB: Johnson FOR Whiteside20
17
Q1 - 5:24MIASUB: Reed FOR Babbitt20
17
Q1 - 5:24HOUSUB: Gordon FOR Beverley20
17
Q1 - 5:24HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
17
Q1 - 5:24MIAWhiteside Shooting Block Foul (P2.PN) (P.Fraher)20
17
Q1 - 5:35HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
17
Q1 - 5:36HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
17
Q1 - 5:50MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
17
Q1 - 6:04HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
17
Q1 - 6:04MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic18
16
Q1 - 6:04HOUROCKETS Rebound18
16
Q1 - 6:04HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 218
16
Q1 - 6:04MIAWaiters S.FOUL (P1.T4) (D.Crawford)18
16
Q1 - 6:11MIAWhiteside 5' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)18
16
Q1 - 6:36HOUNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)16
16
Q1 - 6:36MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P1.T3) (P.Fraher)16
15
Q1 - 6:36HOUNene 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)16
15
Q1 - 6:44MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
13
Q1 - 6:44MIAHeat Rebound15
13
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 215
13
Q1 - 6:44HOUBeverley S.FOUL (P1.T4) (P.Fraher)15
13
Q1 - 6:52HOUSUB: Nene FOR Capela15
13
Q1 - 6:52HOUAnderson P.FOUL (P1.T3) (D.Crawford)15
13
Q1 - 7:01MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
13
Q1 - 7:01HOUMISS Anderson 1' Tip Layup Shot15
13
Q1 - 7:02HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
13
Q1 - 7:04HOUMISS Beverley 1' Layup15
13
Q1 - 7:20MIADragic 2' Layup (6 PTS)15
13
Q1 - 7:34HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
13
Q1 - 7:34HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 7:34MIADragic Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2) (C.Washington)13
11
Q1 - 7:48MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)13
11
Q1 - 7:55HOUCapela P.FOUL (P1.T2) (P.Fraher)11
11
Q1 - 8:07HOUHarden 14' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
11
Q1 - 8:20MIAMcGruder 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)11
9
Q1 - 8:44HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)9
9
Q1 - 8:52MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)9
7
Q1 - 9:07HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (2 PTS)9
7
Q1 - 9:07HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (1 PTS)9
6
Q1 - 9:07HOUROCKETS Rebound9
5
Q1 - 9:07HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 39
5
Q1 - 9:07MIAMcGruder S.FOUL (P1.T1) (P.Fraher)9
5
Q1 - 9:15MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)9
5
Q1 - 9:37HOUAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)7
5
Q1 - 9:46MIADragic 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)7
2
Q1 - 10:01HOUBeverley 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
2
Q1 - 10:21MIAWhiteside 11' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
0
Q1 - 10:40HOUHarden P.FOUL (P1.T1) (C.Washington)3
0
Q1 - 10:41HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)3
0
Q1 - 10:45HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS McGruder 13' Jump Shot3
0
Q1 - 11:01MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
0
Q1 - 11:05HOUMISS Ariza 1' Layup3
0
Q1 - 11:10HOUROCKETS Rebound3
0
Q1 - 11:10MIAHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)3
0
Q1 - 11:17MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
0
Q1 - 11:18HOUMISS Capela 3' Jump Shot3
0
Q1 - 11:30MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)3
0
Q1 - 11:47HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Whiteside: Tip to Anderson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.7%
HOU
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
23
83%
HOU
18
36
50%
Midrange
MIA
12
26
46%
HOU
5
11
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
HOU
13
19.5
40
33%
49%
Free Throws
MIA
16
24
67%
HOU
24
31
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2361%11.5 / 19
H. Whiteside2372%11.5 / 16
G. Dragic2162%10.5 / 17
T. Johnson1667%8.0 / 12
R. McGruder1169%5.5 / 8
L. Babbitt9113%4.5 / 4
J. Johnson630%3.0 / 10
W. Ellington550%2.5 / 5
W. Reed350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3868%19.0 / 28
R. Anderson1753%8.5 / 16
C. Capela1275%6.0 / 8
E. Gordon1240%6.0 / 15
Nene850%4.0 / 8
P. Beverley750%3.5 / 7
S. Dekker650%3.0 / 6
T. Ariza536%2.5 / 7
C. Brewer450%2.0 / 4
M. Harrell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+15
-11
98
HOU
85
+16
-8
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.7%
HOU
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
114.9
MIA 124.5 +7.3
HOU 117.2
Pace
95.0
100.0
MIA 84.3
HOU 105.1 +20.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
13.8
MIA 17.1
HOU 13.7 −3.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
54.5%
MIA 60.1% +11.2%
HOU 48.9%
TO %
13.2%
14.4%
MIA 11.3%
HOU 7.4% −3.9%
ORB %
24.2%
24.6%
MIA 31.6% +1.0%
HOU 30.6%
FTrt
25.1
30.4
MIA 28.6
HOU 35.6 +7.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
62.6%
MIA 61.4% +0.3%
HOU 61.1%
STL %
7.5%
8.1%
MIA 3.2%
HOU 6.5% +3.3%
BLK %
9.3%
7.2%
MIA 14.9% +12.9%
HOU 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
57.2%
MIA 59.7% +5.7%
HOU 54.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
61.6%
MIA 82.6% +32.6%
HOU 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.5%
MIA 46.2% +0.7%
HOU 45.5%
3P %
36.5%
35.7%
MIA 37.1% +4.6%
HOU 32.5%
FT %
70.6%
76.6%
MIA 66.7%
HOU 77.4% +10.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
37.6%
MIA 27.4%
HOU 41.4% +14.0%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
16.1%
MIA 31.0%
HOU 12.6% −18.3%
3P Att. %
31.4%
46.2%
MIA 41.7%
HOU 46.0% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.04 and 3.04.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes26.821.2
Points117109
Rebounds4641
Assists2722
Steals36
Blocks71
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)26 (4)
Field Goals44-8436-87
At-the-Rim FG19-2318-36
Midrange FG12-265-11
2-Point FG31-4923-47
3-Point FG13-3513-40
Free Throws16-2424-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
36.5
23
61%
10
7
0
0
1
3
1
9
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
4-9
44%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
33.0
21
62%
1
5
0
0
1
3
0
1
5-7
71%
8-9
89%
0-5
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
31.4
23
72%
14
1
0
5
1
4
3
11
5-8
63%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'4" 200 · 26
27.1
11
69%
1
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
17.5
9
113%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-4
75%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
32.7
16
67%
7
4
0
0
2
2
4
3
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
30.5
6
30%
6
5
1
0
4
4
0
6
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
16.2
3
50%
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
15.2
5
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
G · 6'5" 226 · 23
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
60%
46
27
3
7
11
0
12
34
16-24
67%
31-49
63%
13-35
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.