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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 15, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings12%10186
1Warriors88%117109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.0
33.0
30.1
9
45%
4
2
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
3-6
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
27.8
37.6
14
65%
1
3
0
1
1
4
0
1
3-4
75%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
1-2
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.5
22.6
32.6
13
45%
4
6
0
1
1
3
0
4
0-1
0%
5-11
6-13
45%
46%
1-3
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
15.7
31.7
4
45%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.0
11.1
20.8
1
17%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.9
31.7
27.8
15
55%
14
3
1
1
0
1
3
11
4-4
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
1-5
20%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
29.5
23.0
3
19%
7
3
1
0
0
2
4
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-5
0%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.1
27.1
8.3
10
46%
7
2
1
0
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
4-9
1-2
44%
44%
0-1
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
24.3
16.4
13
40%
7
1
1
1
1
4
3
4
1-1
100%
6-16
3-6
38%
53%
0-0
-
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 20.9
9.6
2.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.6
7.5
1.3
4
67%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
46%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.3
8.6
0
1-2
45%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.8
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.4
32.1
29.1
21
70%
7
7
1
1
4
1
0
7
0-0
-
9-11
6-10
82%
59%
1-4
25%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
30.8
22.7
35
83%
5
4
2
1
0
0
2
3
4-7
57%
5-6
3-6
83%
53%
7-12
58%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
30.1
30.2
13
41%
6
9
0
1
2
3
0
6
3-4
75%
2-6
4-7
33%
56%
2-8
25%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
17.8
16.3
8
80%
10
1
0
0
0
0
1
9
0-0
-
4-5
4-6
80%
62%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.0
15.2
29.7
2
26%
2
3
1
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
55%
0-2
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.1
22.4
23.4
5
63%
6
3
1
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
59%
1-2
50%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.3
17.7
18.2
4
41%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-3
0%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.9
17.3
17.5
8
67%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
55%
2-3
67%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.0
16.2
13.5
5
51%
2
1
4
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
59%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.4
15.5
15.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.1
13.9
12.9
7
51%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
2-3
50%
58%
0-0
-
Briante Weber
G · 6'2" 165 · 24.1
5.5
11.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.6
5.5
6.4
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.5
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.