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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 23, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks26%105104
4Cavaliers74%115119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
40
36
20
5
6
0
1
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
7-17
7-14
41%
47%
2-8
25%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.4
36
34
25
6
5
1
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
7-10
3-5
70%
48%
3-5
60%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.4
32
33
13
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
6-14
7-14
43%
47%
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.7
27
26
11
11
3
0
1
2
1
4
7
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
53%
0-1
0%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.6
16
31
8
5
0
0
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
4-9
67%
47%
0-4
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
31
15
9
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.9
19
16
4
10
0
1
0
0
1
6
4
0-1
0%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.4
14
25
7
2
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
1-4
25%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.9
12
17
3
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-3
33%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.3
7
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.9
2
12
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 33.0
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
1-1
100%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.7
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.0
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.2
37
35
18
13
15
0
1
3
6
0
13
4-6
67%
7-9
7-12
78%
59%
0-2
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.0
31
34
10
12
2
0
1
4
1
6
6
0-0
-
5-7
5-8
71%
59%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.9
30
34
23
4
6
1
1
1
2
1
3
4-5
80%
8-12
7-13
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
27
24
14
3
0
0
1
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
51%
2-7
29%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.7
23
22
5
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-6
17%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.9
31
25
20
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
6-10
60%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
27
22
10
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
52%
2-5
40%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.7
23
15
14
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
1-1
100%
54%
2-3
67%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.9
3
6
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.9
3
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.4
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.9
3
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.5
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.