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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 23, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Nuggets64%113100
27Kings36%108116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
35
33
23
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
5-11
45%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
30
32
15
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
47%
0-3
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.0
29
32
12
4
6
5
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
26
33
4
11
2
0
1
0
1
2
9
0-0
-
2-5
8-13
40%
59%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.3
14
14
2
4
1
0
0
1
3
3
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
55%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
32
34
16
2
5
0
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
5-10
4-9
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
29
17
18
10
1
0
0
0
2
2
8
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
51%
3-7
43%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.0
22
31
10
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
4-7
57%
3-3
4-8
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.0
19
21
0
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
2
27
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.0
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
10
0
1-2
46%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
8
0
1-2
42%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
32
34
15
4
10
2
1
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
3-10
5-9
30%
53%
2-3
67%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
31
25
3
7
3
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
56%
1-2
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.3
31
8
8
4
6
2
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
4-9
1-2
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.0
23
30
10
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.0
21
17
8
6
0
0
0
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-4
57%
57%
0-0
-
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
35
19
29
10
0
0
1
1
3
3
7
1-1
100%
14-22
4-7
64%
58%
0-0
-
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 23.2
26
19
16
6
1
1
0
0
1
0
6
3-3
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
45%
1-3
33%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
26
20
15
4
3
1
1
0
4
0
4
6-8
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 20.9
14
5
12
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
5-7
1-1
71%
55%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
26
0
2-4
49%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.2
17
1
1-2
41%
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.6
4
0
0-1
56%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.5
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.8
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.