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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 26, 2017
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies51%109105
13Nuggets49%10898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.1
38.0
31.8
23
64%
5
6
0
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
6-11
6-11
55%
50%
3-6
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.4
35.5
31.7
31
74%
4
5
2
1
0
1
0
4
8-11
73%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
5-9
56%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.7
27.9
29.4
9
80%
10
0
1
1
0
2
2
8
6-6
100%
0-0
3-5
-
53%
1-3
33%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.1
27.9
24.3
8
45%
7
0
5
2
1
4
4
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.3
20.9
19.2
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.1
26.2
22.5
6
44%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
26.1
25.0
20
53%
11
2
0
1
0
1
4
7
2-2
100%
9-16
6-11
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
19.6
17.7
2
25%
4
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
17.8
14.2
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
2-5
40%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
12.4
0
1-2
53%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
5.6
0
1-2
63%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.3
4.7
0
0-1
43%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.2
3.4
0
0-1
54%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.8
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
35.7
28.0
14
44%
9
6
1
1
0
4
6
3
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
2-7
29%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
34.8
28.8
24
58%
4
1
2
1
0
1
0
4
10-11
91%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
2-7
29%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
34.0
29.8
19
59%
3
3
1
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
52%
3-8
38%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
33.3
21.0
10
45%
11
6
1
1
1
2
2
9
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
58%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.0
32.0
25.2
12
75%
2
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
2-4
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.1
24.9
30.0
6
51%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
4-8
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.0
17.4
22.6
2
26%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.0
16.0
21.7
11
61%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
11.9
10.4
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
8.5
0
1-1
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
7.4
0
1-2
41%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 30.2
6.7
0
1-1
45%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.0
3.1
0
0-0
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.3
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.