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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 26, 2017
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Trail Blazers40%104106
16Raptors60%107112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.6
36.4
32.3
28
63%
6
8
2
1
0
4
0
6
4-5
80%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
4-7
57%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
35.9
33.8
18
84%
5
0
2
1
1
1
2
3
2-4
50%
5-6
4-7
83%
54%
2-3
67%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
35.1
34.8
17
39%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-6
67%
5-16
6-13
31%
49%
1-3
33%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.5
21.0
28.4
8
39%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
3-9
5-10
33%
48%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.5
20.5
16.6
5
64%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
31.0
24.9
9
55%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
5-5
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.4
29.4
10.5
13
75%
8
2
0
0
1
2
3
5
6-6
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.0
21.2
13.7
5
37%
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
5
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.6
9.4
21.4
3
75%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
1-2
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.7
14.6
0
2-3
56%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.0
5.4
0
0-1
49%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.1
5.1
0
0-1
46%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.3
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.4
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.6
36.4
35.5
33
72%
6
2
2
1
1
4
0
6
15-16
94%
9-14
10-19
64%
49%
0-2
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
34.5
31.3
18
60%
10
2
2
1
1
1
2
8
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
54%
2-5
40%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
33.1
32.1
14
56%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
50%
1-1
100%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.6
32.2
28.4
5
37%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-4
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.8
22.2
19.5
15
84%
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
7-8
4-7
88%
57%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 31.8
20.8
27.4
2
100%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.0
18.8
11.9
6
60%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
2-5
40%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
14.9
12.6
11
61%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
11.6
17.3
8
58%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.6
9.7
14.0
0
0%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
66%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.4
5.9
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
4.0
0
0-1
55%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.0
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.4
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.