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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 1, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Wizards
105
8Raptors
96
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
34
37
12
4
13
0
2
1
3
1
3
4-4
100%
4-10
7-15
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
33
30
13
8
5
0
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
48%
1-3
33%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.7
32
36
23
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
8-11
5-9
73%
49%
1-6
17%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.7
19
36
0
3
0
1
2
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
55%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
18
27
12
8
1
0
0
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
56%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.9
25
25
27
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
6-7
86%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
24
15
7
3
2
0
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
1-4
25%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.3
21
14
1
5
3
1
0
3
0
2
3
1-2
50%
0-4
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.3
18
9
1
5
3
1
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31.0
10
4
8
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.1
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.3
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
36
32
22
13
0
1
1
2
4
4
9
2-2
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
53%
4-6
67%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.6
34
36
24
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
10-11
91%
7-20
9-19
35%
49%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.6
30
29
0
4
1
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
28
32
11
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.8
21
20
7
11
1
0
0
0
1
7
4
1-1
100%
3-12
4-7
25%
57%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 31.8
21
24
4
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.0
21
16
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
0-4
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.8
20
14
6
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
16
16
17
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
6-8
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.4
7
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.0
5
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.6
8
0
1-1
66%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.9
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.