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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 1, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2676ers31%9998
12Heat69%106125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.9
32.0
25.3
14
80%
5
5
2
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
0-0
-
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.9
28.2
33.5
10
42%
6
2
0
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
2-9
5-10
22%
48%
2-3
67%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
26.4
34.7
19
65%
5
0
1
2
1
1
0
5
6-8
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.2
22.5
20.9
6
27%
7
2
0
0
1
5
2
5
0-0
-
3-11
4-8
27%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.2
11.3
26.5
2
33%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
26.1
6.5
6
75%
4
2
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
26.1
23.4
9
34%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-9
2-3
22%
46%
1-3
33%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
25.5
22.3
15
72%
6
0
1
1
1
2
1
5
1-1
100%
7-9
3-6
78%
55%
0-1
0%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.8
24.3
15.3
7
46%
4
1
1
0
1
2
0
4
5-6
83%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.7
17.7
20.9
10
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-10
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.2
6.4
0
1-2
52%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.6
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.2
24.3
30.5
15
58%
4
2
0
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
7-11
4-10
64%
46%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.8
22.9
31.6
15
52%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
5-10
6-11
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
22.8
14.7
9
90%
4
1
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
3-5
60%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.7
22.1
33.2
15
70%
11
3
1
1
4
3
3
8
3-4
75%
6-9
7-12
67%
59%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.6
19.4
22.2
4
40%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.8
27.9
26.1
24
77%
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
6-8
75%
6-9
3-7
67%
50%
2-3
67%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.0
25.6
26.3
14
55%
4
3
1
1
2
0
1
3
2-4
50%
6-8
4-7
75%
56%
0-3
0%
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.5
25.5
11.0
4
33%
3
2
1
0
3
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.3
25.3
19.1
18
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
6-9
67%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.5
24.2
13.8
7
44%
6
5
1
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.8
9.7
0
2-3
57%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.7
2.7
0
0-1
48%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.9
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.9
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.