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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 1, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Cavaliers44%10899
7Celtics56%110103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.2
40
29
28
13
10
1
1
1
4
5
8
5-8
63%
7-15
5-9
47%
57%
3-6
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.0
35
32
9
13
2
0
1
0
0
6
7
1-4
25%
4-11
4-7
36%
57%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.9
32
34
28
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
2
6-6
100%
8-13
7-13
62%
50%
2-6
33%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.7
21
27
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
13
21
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
1-4
25%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
31
24
13
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
2-5
40%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.0
26
27
4
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
24
20
4
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.7
18
27
8
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
53%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.4
8
0
0-1
43%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.9
3
0
0-0
47%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.5
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.5
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.1
35
32
31
2
5
2
1
1
4
1
1
8-12
67%
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
3-9
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.7
33
31
17
10
2
1
1
0
0
0
10
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
3-5
60%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.7
32
30
9
10
10
0
1
1
2
2
8
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
54%
1-1
100%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.3
22
20
11
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.8
11
18
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
61%
1-2
50%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.0
33
30
9
2
8
0
2
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.4
23
24
8
6
0
0
1
1
3
1
5
1-1
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.9
19
16
10
2
2
0
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
55%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 30.0
19
16
3
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-1
100%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.0
10
18
0
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.1
5
7
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.5
7
0
0-1
53%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.6
3
0
0-1
52%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31.1
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.