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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 3, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Raptors
114
10Wizards
106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.6
38
34
32
13
5
0
1
0
4
2
11
9-12
75%
7-14
9-19
50%
47%
3-3
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
33
33
14
8
1
0
1
2
3
1
7
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
52%
2-7
29%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
32
30
15
5
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
7-13
4-8
54%
48%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.6
26
29
7
5
3
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
1-5
20%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.8
13
21
2
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.0
28
18
8
7
2
0
0
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
50%
2-5
40%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
25
16
21
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
5-5
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
2-4
50%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 31.8
24
23
6
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.9
22
17
9
1
1
1
1
4
2
0
1
4-6
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.0
6
0
1-2
44%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.6
6
0
0-1
63%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.4
6
0
1-1
52%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.9
4
0
0-1
52%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.9
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
38
36
30
8
7
1
2
3
1
2
6
8-10
80%
5-16
7-14
31%
48%
4-8
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
37
30
11
8
5
1
1
1
2
2
6
2-2
100%
3-10
5-9
30%
49%
1-3
33%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.7
36
34
27
7
4
1
1
0
2
4
3
4-5
80%
7-13
5-9
54%
50%
3-8
38%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.7
36
30
18
8
3
3
1
1
1
3
5
8-9
89%
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
2-5
40%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
31
23
6
6
1
0
0
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
57%
0-1
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.9
20
24
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.3
16
17
6
3
0
2
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
12
18
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.4
10
16
0
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.3
5
12
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31.0
6
0
1-2
51%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.3
5
0
1-1
45%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
2
0
0-0
50%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.1
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.