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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 3, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies
100
22Mavericks
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.1
36
32
13
6
4
0
1
0
4
1
5
1-4
25%
6-15
5-11
40%
49%
0-3
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.4
36
35
30
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
9-10
90%
6-9
4-9
67%
48%
3-6
50%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.7
26
23
5
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
1-1
100%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.4
24
21
7
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
52%
1-4
25%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.1
22
26
7
2
0
1
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
29
26
24
10
2
1
1
0
0
5
5
2-4
50%
11-13
5-11
85%
48%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.1
27
13
10
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
3-6
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
20
20
4
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
15
14
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-4
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
5
13
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
11
0
2-3
62%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.3
3
0
0-0
43%
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.2
3
0
0-1
52%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.8
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.8
37
35
18
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
5-5
100%
5-11
7-13
45%
50%
1-4
25%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
37
33
24
5
2
2
1
0
2
0
5
6-6
100%
6-8
3-7
75%
51%
2-7
29%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.9
35
19
15
17
2
1
1
2
0
4
13
3-6
50%
6-10
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.7
29
26
10
7
2
0
1
0
1
0
7
1-1
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 23.8
29
29
17
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.8
28
20
5
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-3
0%
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 23.9
15
14
5
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
1-4
25%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.0
15
16
6
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
0-3
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.7
10
10
4
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
61%
0-0
-
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 24.0
4
6
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.6
9
0
1-2
54%
Ben Bentil
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
4
0
0-1
48%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.5
2
0
0-0
48%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.