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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 5, 2017
1:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Pacers46%10197
17Hawks54%10396
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.8
38
30
34
5
4
1
1
0
5
0
5
4-5
80%
6-10
4-10
60%
47%
6-9
67%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.0
33
24
13
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
3-10
30%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.7
32
31
16
4
6
1
1
1
2
0
4
5-5
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.9
30
30
5
5
1
0
1
2
1
3
2
1-1
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.7
24
19
4
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
23
16
11
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
3-5
60%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.4
22
26
3
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-2
0%
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.9
16
18
3
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
0-4
2-5
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 32.2
13
5
4
8
2
0
0
0
1
1
7
0-2
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27.2
5
9
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
4
14
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 32.1
3
0
0-0
45%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
2
0
0-1
45%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 28.1
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.1
37
33
23
10
2
2
1
0
4
3
7
7-12
58%
8-14
5-10
57%
51%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.5
36
31
18
1
7
3
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-11
6-11
45%
51%
2-5
40%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.8
36
27
12
6
4
2
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
53%
2-6
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.2
35
27
9
14
3
2
1
1
4
4
10
5-11
45%
2-3
4-7
67%
62%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.7
19
30
2
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-4
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
35
29
24
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
53%
4-7
57%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
21
21
5
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.0
11
12
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.0
9
16
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
5
0
0-1
57%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
4
0
0-1
49%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.7
3
0
0-1
53%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.4
3
0
0-0
47%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.5
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.