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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 6, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Rockets38%107110
1Spurs62%111112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.5
36.0
34.8
39
83%
3
12
0
1
0
7
1
2
7-8
88%
7-11
4-7
64%
49%
6-9
67%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.7
35.3
29.9
13
57%
8
1
0
1
0
0
0
8
1-1
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
2-8
25%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.6
32.9
30.3
11
61%
10
1
1
1
1
1
0
10
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
3-5
60%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
25.2
24.4
7
58%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.8
24.9
25.9
12
55%
8
0
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
6-11
5-9
55%
59%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.2
34.4
30.0
12
55%
4
3
1
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
2-7
29%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.5
19.1
17.3
9
61%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
1-3
33%
4-6
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.4
18.5
21.7
5
22%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-7
2-5
14%
45%
0-3
0%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.8
13.8
15.9
2
20%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-3
0%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
4.0
0
1-1
59%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.4
1.1
0
0-0
30%
Isaiah Taylor
G · 6'3" 170 · 22.7
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.4
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
39.0
34.9
39
85%
6
5
1
2
2
1
0
6
11-11
100%
8-13
8-15
62%
54%
4-5
80%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
37.4
33.9
15
55%
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
7-8
88%
4-10
8-16
40%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.7
33.3
30.5
5
31%
4
5
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.8
27.7
18.9
19
64%
5
3
0
0
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
9.2
16.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
61%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
23.1
13.5
6
50%
8
0
2
0
1
1
5
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.6
20.4
19.3
9
50%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
1-4
25%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
19.0
25.8
5
36%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.7
17.1
25.0
8
31%
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
6
1-2
50%
2-10
3-7
20%
50%
1-2
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.5
13.7
13.0
6
75%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.5
6.8
0
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
6.1
0
1-1
47%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.3
3.9
0
0-0
56%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.