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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 7, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Trail Blazers42%107126
19Thunder58%110121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.5
37.1
35.1
21
48%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
7-17
6-13
41%
49%
1-3
33%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.6
36.3
35.1
22
57%
3
8
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
6-11
6-13
55%
47%
2-6
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
28.9
31.3
6
51%
4
2
2
1
2
0
3
1
0-2
0%
3-4
3-6
75%
54%
0-1
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.5
24.8
29.5
17
55%
9
4
1
1
0
4
2
7
7-8
88%
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.5
21.6
16.6
11
80%
5
2
0
0
0
1
4
1
1-2
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.5
29.9
28.7
12
87%
7
0
1
1
3
2
1
6
1-2
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
1-1
100%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
28.3
23.4
23
98%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
5-7
71%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.0
19.7
16.4
12
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
2-4
50%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.6
13.3
12.0
2
100%
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.2
6.5
0
0-1
45%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.8
5.2
0
1-1
56%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.0
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.4
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.4
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
35.9
34.8
58
63%
3
9
3
2
1
4
1
2
13-16
81%
18-30
8-16
60%
49%
3-9
33%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.3
35.1
27.0
9
64%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
61%
1-4
25%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.6
28.5
26.3
4
63%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-5
40%
1-1
5-8
100%
60%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.8
25.4
10.9
16
81%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
51%
4-5
80%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 20.8
20.8
15.3
8
51%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
23.4
22.0
3
52%
8
1
0
0
0
2
5
3
1-2
50%
1-2
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.8
17.9
21.9
11
85%
7
1
0
0
0
4
2
5
1-1
100%
5-6
6-10
83%
58%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 25.2
13.7
31.0
2
53%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Alex Abrines
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.6
12.5
18.4
5
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
11.1
17.2
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Semaj Christon
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
9.7
5.3
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.4
6.0
17.5
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 36.4
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 25.2
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.