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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 8, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings19%93104
2Spurs81%105114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.5
29
16
26
2
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
5-7
71%
6-9
2-5
67%
44%
3-4
75%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
27
24
8
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
27
23
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.0
25
26
12
10
0
0
1
0
1
0
10
0-0
-
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
24
29
5
5
4
0
1
1
3
1
4
1-1
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-2
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.6
27
29
8
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
52%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.8
25
15
6
7
3
4
1
0
1
0
7
2-3
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-4
0%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.3
24
31
8
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 23.2
18
21
11
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
3-5
60%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 21.0
15
13
15
6
1
0
0
1
3
2
4
1-1
100%
7-10
2-4
70%
47%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.1
13
0
1-2
45%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.2
5
0
0-1
37%
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.7
2
0
0-0
48%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.2
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
31
17
18
10
0
0
0
2
2
2
8
2-5
40%
8-9
3-5
89%
56%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.7
27
31
14
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
4-8
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.5
25
13
14
4
4
0
0
1
2
1
3
3-3
100%
4-11
2-3
36%
52%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.8
16
22
2
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
14
13
2
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
62%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
27
23
17
1
10
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
4-6
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.6
25
19
19
4
5
3
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
24
5
9
4
4
3
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.3
19
3
8
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
2-3
0-0
67%
59%
1-4
25%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.7
16
22
7
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.5
13
5
4
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
1-3
1-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.