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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 8, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Wizards49%111123
22Nuggets51%112113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
35.1
36.1
30
71%
3
10
1
2
0
4
1
2
4-5
80%
10-13
7-14
77%
47%
2-6
33%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.8
33.6
28.2
22
73%
3
1
4
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
8-12
2-4
67%
55%
2-3
67%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.7
33.6
34.5
23
77%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
5-11
50%
50%
5-7
71%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
32.6
22.2
11
47%
15
2
0
0
0
3
3
12
1-4
25%
5-10
4-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
26.4
28.6
11
116%
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
4-4
100%
2-2
4-9
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.9
21.6
25.7
10
46%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
19.5
10.5
2
25%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.5
17.6
10.4
4
25%
2
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-4
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.3
15.3
20.8
7
90%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-3
3-5
100%
55%
0-0
-
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.4
4.7
8.6
3
75%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31.0
12.4
0
2-3
51%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.3
4.3
0
1-1
45%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.2
1.8
0
0-0
52%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.1
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
36.6
30.2
26
87%
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
6-9
67%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
34.4
33.0
21
64%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
9-11
4-9
82%
52%
1-5
20%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.0
31.0
22.9
19
59%
10
5
1
1
0
4
6
4
5-7
71%
7-13
3-6
54%
54%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
28.9
10.0
7
66%
10
1
2
0
1
2
1
9
1-3
33%
3-4
1-1
75%
52%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.1
23.9
26.3
5
36%
3
6
0
1
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
27.7
14.3
6
68%
5
1
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-1
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.2
25.6
26.6
8
39%
2
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-3
33%
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.0
24.1
20.8
17
57%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
2-5
40%
48%
3-5
60%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
7.7
6.8
4
40%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
31.0
1
3-7
48%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 30.2
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.3
1.9
0
0-0
49%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.0
1.6
0
0-0
40%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.3
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.