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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 10, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Celtics
99
11Nuggets
119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.1
34
32
21
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
6-8
5-10
75%
51%
1-6
17%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.8
33
30
15
6
2
1
1
0
5
1
5
0-0
-
6-9
4-7
67%
54%
1-2
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.7
33
30
8
3
4
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
54%
2-5
40%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.3
29
27
16
2
2
3
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
51%
4-8
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.9
13
21
3
4
0
0
1
2
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-4
25%
61%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.0
25
27
13
7
2
1
1
0
2
4
3
4-4
100%
3-13
2-5
23%
46%
1-2
50%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.4
22
21
14
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
3-3
2-5
100%
52%
2-5
40%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31.1
15
6
6
3
0
2
0
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 30.0
13
16
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.9
11
22
0
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.0
8
16
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.1
2
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.7
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.5
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
36
32
9
3
1
3
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
1-4
25%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
34
20
20
5
1
2
0
0
2
2
3
5-5
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
3-5
60%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.8
34
33
23
9
1
0
1
1
1
0
9
4-6
67%
5-8
4-9
63%
52%
3-8
38%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.1
31
25
8
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-1
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
27
30
21
10
7
4
1
1
7
3
7
4-6
67%
7-8
6-11
88%
60%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.2
20
26
7
3
4
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.0
20
26
8
5
4
0
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-4
4-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.0
17
22
13
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
47%
1-4
25%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
13
18
5
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
7
20
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 30.2
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
8
0
1-2
42%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.1
2
0
0-0
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.3
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.