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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Tuesday
March 14, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pistons31%10596
5Cavaliers69%112128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.1
26.6
30.3
11
45%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
5-5
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.6
26.6
29.8
8
33%
14
1
0
1
0
1
5
9
0-0
-
4-11
6-12
36%
54%
0-1
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
25.9
31.1
17
64%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
4-5
80%
5-7
5-10
71%
53%
1-4
25%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
24.3
30.9
13
66%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.9
20.4
27.8
6
23%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-12
4-9
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.8
23.7
19.7
5
23%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-6
2-3
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.8
22.1
21.0
8
58%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.0
21.4
8.8
6
47%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.7
20.6
18.8
12
50%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-12
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.3
19.4
13.1
4
33%
6
1
0
0
1
1
5
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
7.0
3.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.6
2.0
4.0
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.7
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.2
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.7
35.9
29.1
18
69%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
6-10
1-3
60%
46%
2-3
67%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.0
30.2
34.8
26
82%
1
6
0
1
0
2
1
0
4-4
100%
5-10
7-13
50%
51%
4-4
100%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.2
28.4
36.3
16
56%
11
12
0
1
0
2
0
11
4-5
80%
6-10
7-12
60%
58%
0-2
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.0
26.4
29.6
4
50%
9
2
1
1
2
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-4
4-6
50%
58%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.7
25.6
27.5
16
78%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
4-7
57%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.5
22.8
18.5
12
102%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
3-4
75%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
21.4
14.2
13
67%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
3-5
60%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
20.5
16.6
6
75%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
2-3
67%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
13.7
20.9
13
108%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
46%
1-1
100%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 29.0
7.0
3.3
2
114%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.4
6.3
4.6
2
43%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 28.3
2.0
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.0
9.2
0
0-1
49%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.0
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.