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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 14, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2976ers16%99104
1Warriors84%113106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.9
37
33
25
9
6
2
1
2
6
1
8
1-2
50%
9-14
5-10
64%
46%
2-6
33%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.2
32
22
7
9
3
2
1
2
1
2
7
4-4
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
1-4
25%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.0
31
28
7
7
10
2
2
0
4
0
7
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.2
23
22
22
6
1
1
0
4
3
2
4
6-7
86%
8-16
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.8
23
25
10
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.4
26
25
7
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
21
23
14
8
1
1
1
2
3
3
5
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
54%
1-2
50%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.3
20
17
9
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-5
40%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.8
17
19
3
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
39%
1-6
17%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
7
18
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Shawn Long
F · 6'9" 255 · 24.1
4
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.2
5
0
1-1
50%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.0
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.6
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.0
38
34
20
9
8
3
2
6
1
3
6
11-14
79%
3-9
3-6
33%
54%
1-4
25%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
38
25
28
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
5-13
4-7
38%
53%
5-9
56%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.0
37
25
29
6
5
3
1
0
5
2
4
8-8
100%
3-10
4-7
30%
56%
5-13
38%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.4
14
30
2
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.1
12
20
2
5
1
2
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
0-5
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.1
33
30
7
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-3
29%
60%
1-1
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 37.0
22
21
10
9
2
1
1
1
2
3
6
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.5
12
17
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.0
12
18
0
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
55%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.5
11
13
2
3
1
0
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.2
8
11
0
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0-2
0%
0-2
2-3
0%
57%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
3
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
61%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.1
8
0
1-2
57%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.7
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.