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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 15, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hornets51%10377
15Pacers49%10298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 30.7
34.3
34.6
4
25%
6
1
1
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
0-3
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 26.9
30.0
33.7
7
31%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
0-3
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.8
28.6
25.1
8
40%
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
53%
0-1
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
26.5
32.6
7
41%
4
1
3
1
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 23.5
26.2
29.2
10
63%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.9
31.2
16.2
20
55%
4
1
1
0
0
2
0
4
5-7
71%
6-7
2-4
86%
48%
1-8
13%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.0
26.5
21.1
11
51%
1
3
2
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-6
33%
Briante Weber
G · 6'2" 165 · 24.2
19.9
4.1
8
57%
5
2
2
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
0-1
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23.4
8.8
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 31.3
4.0
11.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 21.5
4.0
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 28.2
22.1
1
2-5
48%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23.8
3.6
0
0-1
44%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.5
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 21.0
37.2
29.3
6
43%
11
2
2
1
3
1
0
11
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
53%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.7
37.0
31.0
2
17%
5
3
1
2
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
53%
0-1
0%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
33.1
36.1
39
87%
5
3
3
2
0
3
1
4
3-3
100%
9-11
5-11
82%
48%
6-10
60%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.8
29.7
30.0
8
50%
8
11
0
1
0
4
0
8
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
48%
2-5
40%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.0
18.4
26.3
9
65%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.4
26.6
23.2
16
62%
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
2-5
40%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.9
16.0
17.2
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
15.6
14.5
9
90%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27.3
11.0
5.1
6
75%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
0-0
-
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
10.8
13.9
3
54%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 32.2
2.3
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
2.3
1.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 32.2
6.4
0
2-3
50%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.7
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.