| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 Hornets | 88.5 | 87 | 86.4 |
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Scoring Opportunities
CHA
77
+9
-10
86
IND
74
+6
-14
80
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CHA
0.90 44.8%
IND
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | CHA | IND |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | IND | 77 | 98 | |
| Q4 - 0:03.0 | CHA | Weber 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 77 | 98 |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | CHA | Weber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 75 | 98 |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | CHA | MISS Kaminsky 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 75 | 98 |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | IND | Young Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15) | 75 | 98 |
| Q4 - 0:41.0 | CHA | Roberts 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 75 | 98 |
| Q4 - 0:55.0 | IND | Seraphin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14) | 73 | 98 |
| Q4 - 1:12 | IND | Christmas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 73 | 98 |
| Q4 - 1:13 | CHA | MISS Weber 17' Pullup Jump Shot | 73 | 98 |
| Q4 - 1:20 | CHA | Weber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 73 | 98 |
| Q4 - 1:20 | IND | MISS Seraphin 9' Driving Bank Hook Shot | 73 | 98 |
| Q4 - 1:39 | CHA | Roberts Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T10) | 73 | 98 |
| Q4 - 1:57 | IND | Seraphin 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Young 1 AST) | 73 | 98 |
| Q4 - 2:20 | IND | SUB: Seraphin FOR Ellis | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 2:20 | IND | SUB: Young FOR Teague | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 2:20 | IND | SUB: Christmas FOR Turner | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 2:20 | IND | SUB: Brooks FOR Young | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 2:20 | IND | PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0) | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 2:21 | IND | Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 2:21 | CHA | MISS Roberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 2:36 | CHA | Weber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 2:37 | IND | MISS Teague 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 2:47 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11) | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 2:47 | CHA | MISS Graham 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 3:01 | IND | SUB: Robinson III FOR George | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 3:01 | IND | George Foul Turnover (P3.T13) | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 3:01 | IND | George Offensive Charge Foul (P3.PN) (T.Maddox) | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 3:17 | CHA | Kaminsky 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (20 PTS) | 73 | 96 |
| Q4 - 3:30 | IND | Ellis P.FOUL (P3.T4) (T.Maddox) | 71 | 96 |
| Q4 - 3:45 | CHA | Graham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 71 | 96 |
| Q4 - 3:46 | CHA | MISS Graham 7' Jump Shot | 71 | 96 |
| Q4 - 4:01 | CHA | SUB: Wood FOR Belinelli | 71 | 96 |
| Q4 - 4:01 | CHA | SUB: Weber FOR Walker | 71 | 96 |
| Q4 - 4:01 | CHA | SUB: Graham FOR Lamb | 71 | 96 |
| Q4 - 4:01 | CHA | SUB: Roberts FOR Williams | 71 | 96 |
| Q4 - 4:01 | CHA | Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1) | 71 | 96 |
| Q4 - 4:02 | IND | Ellis 21' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Teague 11 AST) | 71 | 96 |
| Q4 - 4:18 | CHA | Turner STEAL (2 STL) | 71 | 94 |
| Q4 - 4:33 | IND | George 26' 3PT Jump Shot (39 PTS) (Teague 10 AST) | 71 | 94 |
| Q4 - 4:38 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10) | 71 | 91 |
| Q4 - 4:39 | CHA | Ellis BLOCK (2 BLK) | 71 | 91 |
| Q4 - 5:01 | CHA | Kaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 71 | 91 |
| Q4 - 5:02 | IND | MISS Turner 10' Jump Shot | 71 | 91 |
| Q4 - 5:18 | CHA | Kaminsky 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) | 71 | 91 |
| Q4 - 5:35 | CHA | Lamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 69 | 91 |
| Q4 - 5:37 | IND | MISS Teague 38' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 | 91 |
| Q4 - 6:02 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 69 | 91 |
| Q4 - 6:03 | CHA | MISS Walker 19' Step Back Jump Shot | 69 | 91 |
| Q4 - 6:12 | CHA | SUB: Williams FOR Zeller | 69 | 91 |
| Q4 - 6:12 | CHA | Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1) | 69 | 91 |
| Q4 - 6:12 | IND | Ellis 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (George 3 AST) | 69 | 91 |
| Q4 - 6:27 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9) | 69 | 88 |
| Q4 - 6:28 | CHA | MISS Kaminsky 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 | 88 |
| Q4 - 6:41 | IND | Ellis P.FOUL (P2.T3) (E.Lewis) | 69 | 88 |
| Q4 - 6:51 | IND | George Free Throw 1 of 1 (36 PTS) | 69 | 88 |
| Q4 - 6:51 | CHA | 69 | 87 | |
| Q4 - 6:51 | CHA | Lamb S.FOUL (P2.T4) (B.Kennedy) | 69 | 87 |
| Q4 - 6:51 | IND | George 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Teague 9 AST) | 69 | 87 |
| Q4 - 6:57 | CHA | SUB: Zeller FOR Williams | 69 | 84 |
| Q4 - 6:57 | CHA | SUB: Belinelli FOR Weber | 69 | 84 |
| Q4 - 6:57 | CHA | Weber P.FOUL (P4.T3) (T.Maddox) | 69 | 84 |
| Q4 - 7:09 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 69 | 84 |
| Q4 - 7:09 | CHA | MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 | 84 |
| Q4 - 7:30 | IND | George 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Teague 8 AST) | 69 | 84 |
| Q4 - 7:42 | IND | Young REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 69 | 81 |
| Q4 - 7:42 | CHA | MISS Lamb 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 | 81 |
| Q4 - 8:05 | IND | George 19' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Teague 7 AST) | 69 | 81 |
| Q4 - 8:12 | CHA | Weber P.FOUL (P3.T2) (T.Maddox) | 69 | 79 |
| Q4 - 8:23 | CHA | Lamb Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 69 | 79 |
| Q4 - 8:23 | CHA | Lamb Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 68 | 79 |
| Q4 - 8:23 | IND | Turner S.FOUL (P3.T2) (E.Lewis) | 67 | 79 |
| Q4 - 8:24 | CHA | Lamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 67 | 79 |
| Q4 - 8:25 | CHA | MISS Kaminsky 28' 3PT Jump Shot | 67 | 79 |
| Q4 - 8:35 | CHA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 67 | 79 |
| Q4 - 8:36 | IND | MISS Turner 20' Jump Shot | 67 | 79 |
| Q4 - 8:50 | CHA | SUB: Walker FOR Belinelli | 67 | 79 |
| Q4 - 8:55 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 67 | 79 |
| Q4 - 8:55 | CHA | MISS Lamb 18' Jump Shot | 67 | 79 |
| Q4 - 9:09 | IND | Ellis 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) | 67 | 79 |
| Q4 - 9:24 | IND | SUB: Teague FOR Christmas | 67 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:24 | IND | SUB: Turner FOR Robinson III | 67 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:24 | IND | SUB: George FOR Stuckey | 67 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:24 | IND | PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0) | 67 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:25 | CHA | Belinelli 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Weber 2 AST) | 67 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:37 | CHA | Hornets Rebound | 64 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:37 | IND | MISS Stuckey 37' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 | 77 |
| Q4 - 9:53 | CHA | Weber P.FOUL (P2.T1) (B.Kennedy) | 64 | 77 |
| Q4 - 10:04 | CHA | Kaminsky 3' Alley Oop Layup (16 PTS) (Lamb 2 AST) | 64 | 77 |
| Q4 - 10:14 | CHA | Lamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 62 | 77 |
| Q4 - 10:15 | IND | MISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 | 77 |
| Q4 - 10:39 | CHA | Christmas STEAL (1 STL) | 62 | 77 |
| Q4 - 10:59 | IND | Robinson III 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 62 | 77 |
| Q4 - 11:15 | IND | Robinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 62 | 75 |
| Q4 - 11:17 | CHA | MISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 | 75 |
| Q4 - 11:23 | CHA | Kaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 62 | 75 |
| Q4 - 11:24 | IND | MISS Ellis 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot | 62 | 75 |
| Q4 - 11:35 | CHA | Weber 1' Running Layup (6 PTS) | 62 | 75 |
| Q4 - 11:39 | IND | Stuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12) | 60 | 75 |
| Q4 - 11:51 | CHA | Kaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 60 | 75 |
| Q4 - 11:51 | CHA | Kaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 59 | 75 |
| Q4 - 11:51 | IND | Stuckey Shooting Block Foul (P2.T1) (E.Lewis) | 58 | 75 |
| Q4 - 12:00 | 58 | 75 | ||
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHA | 58 | 75 | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHA | Hornets Rebound | 58 | 75 |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | CHA | MISS Belinelli 30' 3PT Jump Shot | 58 | 75 |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | IND | Christmas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 58 | 75 |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | IND | SUB: Young FOR Seraphin | 58 | 74 |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 58 | 74 |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | IND | MISS Christmas Free Throw 1 of 2 | 58 | 74 |
| Q3 - 0:12.0 | CHA | Weber S.FOUL (P1.T4) (B.Kennedy) | 58 | 74 |
| Q3 - 0:28.0 | CHA | Belinelli 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 58 | 74 |
| Q3 - 0:39.0 | IND | Seraphin 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST) | 56 | 74 |
| Q3 - 0:50.0 | CHA | Kaminsky 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST) | 56 | 72 |
| Q3 - 1:00 | IND | SUB: Robinson III FOR George | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 1:02 | CHA | Weber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 1:03 | IND | MISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 1:25 | CHA | George STEAL (3 STL) | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 1:38 | IND | Christmas P.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Maddox) | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 1:55 | CHA | Kaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 1:56 | IND | MISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 2:09 | IND | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 2:10 | CHA | MISS Belinelli 18' Pullup Jump Shot | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 2:26 | IND | Stuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11) | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 2:42 | IND | Seraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 2:43 | CHA | MISS Weber 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 2:58 | IND | SUB: Ellis FOR Miles | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 2:58 | CHA | SUB: Lamb FOR Kidd-Gilchrist | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 2:58 | IND | Miles P.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Kennedy) | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 3:12 | IND | George 18' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST) | 53 | 72 |
| Q3 - 3:25 | IND | SUB: Stuckey FOR Teague | 53 | 70 |
| Q3 - 3:25 | CHA | SUB: Williams FOR Zeller | 53 | 70 |
| Q3 - 3:25 | CHA | SUB: Weber FOR Walker | 53 | 70 |
| Q3 - 3:25 | CHA | Zeller Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 53 | 70 |
| Q3 - 3:25 | CHA | Zeller OFF.Foul (P2) (T.Maddox) | 53 | 70 |
| Q3 - 3:31 | IND | George Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 53 | 70 |
| Q3 - 3:42 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 53 | 70 |
| Q3 - 3:42 | CHA | MISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 | 70 |
| Q3 - 3:49 | CHA | Hornets Rebound | 53 | 70 |
| Q3 - 3:49 | CHA | Seraphin BLOCK (1 BLK) | 53 | 70 |
| Q3 - 4:03 | IND | Christmas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 53 | 70 |
| Q3 - 4:03 | IND | Christmas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 53 | 69 |
| Q3 - 4:03 | CHA | Kidd-Gilchrist S.FOUL (P3.T3) (E.Lewis) | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 4:03 | IND | Christmas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 4:03 | IND | MISS Christmas 9' Jump Shot | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 4:14 | IND | SUB: Christmas FOR Turner | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 4:14 | IND | SUB: Seraphin FOR Young | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 4:14 | IND | PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0) | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 4:20 | IND | Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 4:21 | CHA | MISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 4:27 | IND | Teague Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9) | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 4:50 | IND | Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 4:51 | CHA | MISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 5:08 | CHA | Belinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 5:08 | IND | MISS George 16' Step Back Jump Shot | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 5:16 | CHA | Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 53 | 68 |
| Q3 - 5:37 | IND | Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 51 | 68 |
| Q3 - 5:59 | CHA | Kaminsky 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST) | 51 | 65 |
| Q3 - 6:16 | CHA | SUB: Kaminsky FOR Williams | 49 | 65 |
| Q3 - 6:17 | IND | Jump Ball Teague vs. Williams: Tip to | 49 | 65 |
| Q3 - 6:17 | CHA | SUB: Belinelli FOR Lamb | 49 | 65 |
| Q3 - 6:21 | IND | Teague Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8) | 49 | 65 |
| Q3 - 6:35 | CHA | Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 4 AST) | 49 | 65 |
| Q3 - 6:41 | IND | Turner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7) | 47 | 65 |
| Q3 - 6:54 | CHA | George STEAL (2 STL) | 47 | 65 |
| Q3 - 7:09 | IND | George 19' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Young 3 AST) | 47 | 65 |
| Q3 - 7:14 | CHA | Young STEAL (1 STL) | 47 | 63 |
| Q3 - 7:30 | CHA | Hornets Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1) | 47 | 63 |
| Q3 - 7:30 | IND | Miles 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (George 2 AST) | 47 | 63 |
| Q3 - 7:34 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 47 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:35 | IND | MISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 47 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:45 | IND | Miles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 47 | 60 |
| Q3 - 7:46 | CHA | MISS Walker 19' Step Back Jump Shot | 47 | 60 |
| Q3 - 8:11 | IND | George 6' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 47 | 60 |
| Q3 - 8:21 | IND | Young REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 47 | 58 |
| Q3 - 8:24 | CHA | MISS Lamb 17' Jump Shot | 47 | 58 |
| Q3 - 8:43 | IND | George 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Young 2 AST) | 47 | 58 |
| Q3 - 8:57 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 47 | 55 |
| Q3 - 8:58 | CHA | MISS Zeller 2' Driving Layup | 47 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:12 | CHA | Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0) | 47 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:13 | IND | Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turner 2 AST) | 47 | 55 |
| Q3 - 9:29 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 47 | 52 |
| Q3 - 9:29 | CHA | MISS Lamb 15' Turnaround Jump Shot | 47 | 52 |
| Q3 - 9:46 | IND | Miles Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 47 | 52 |
| Q3 - 9:46 | IND | Miles Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 47 | 51 |
| Q3 - 9:46 | CHA | Zeller S.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Kennedy) | 47 | 50 |
| Q3 - 9:59 | CHA | Walker 20' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 47 | 50 |
| Q3 - 10:06 | CHA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 45 | 50 |
| Q3 - 10:07 | IND | MISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 | 50 |
| Q3 - 10:16 | IND | Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 45 | 50 |
| Q3 - 10:17 | CHA | MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot | 45 | 50 |
| Q3 - 10:20 | CHA | Hornets Rebound | 45 | 50 |
| Q3 - 10:20 | CHA | Turner BLOCK (3 BLK) | 45 | 50 |
| Q3 - 10:42 | IND | George 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Teague 6 AST) | 45 | 50 |
| Q3 - 10:51 | CHA | Walker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 45 | 47 |
| Q3 - 10:51 | IND | Turner S.FOUL (P2.T1) (T.Maddox) | 44 | 47 |
| Q3 - 10:51 | CHA | Walker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) | 44 | 47 |
| Q3 - 11:17 | IND | Miles 21' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 42 | 47 |
| Q3 - 11:34 | CHA | George STEAL (1 STL) | 42 | 45 |
| Q3 - 11:49 | IND | George Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS) | 42 | 45 |
| Q3 - 11:49 | CHA | Kidd-Gilchrist S.FOUL (P2.T1) (B.Kennedy) | 42 | 44 |
| Q3 - 11:49 | IND | George 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Teague 5 AST) | 42 | 44 |
| Q3 - 12:00 | 42 | 42 | ||
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | 42 | 42 | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | MISS Young 2' Putback Layup | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | IND | Young REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | IND | MISS Teague 31' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | IND | Robinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 0:05.0 | CHA | MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | CHA | Zeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 0:28.0 | IND | MISS Young 2' Reverse Layup | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 0:45.0 | CHA | MISS Walker 1' Driving Layup | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 0:54.0 | IND | Teague Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T6) | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 1:16 | CHA | Zeller Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS) | 42 | 42 |
| Q2 - 1:16 | IND | Young S.FOUL (P1.T4) (B.Kennedy) | 41 | 42 |
| Q2 - 1:16 | CHA | Zeller 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 3 AST) | 41 | 42 |
| Q2 - 1:31 | IND | Teague 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 39 | 42 |
| Q2 - 1:44 | IND | Robinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 39 | 40 |
| Q2 - 1:44 | CHA | MISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 | 40 |
| Q2 - 1:58 | IND | SUB: Miles FOR George | 39 | 40 |
| Q2 - 1:58 | IND | PACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 39 | 40 |
| Q2 - 2:24 | CHA | Williams 16' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST) | 39 | 40 |
| Q2 - 2:37 | IND | SUB: Robinson III FOR Ellis | 37 | 40 |
| Q2 - 2:37 | IND | PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0) | 37 | 40 |
| Q2 - 2:37 | CHA | Hornets Rebound | 37 | 40 |
| Q2 - 2:37 | CHA | Turner BLOCK (2 BLK) | 37 | 40 |
| Q2 - 2:44 | CHA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 37 | 40 |
| Q2 - 2:46 | IND | MISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 | 40 |
| Q2 - 3:00 | CHA | Kidd-Gilchrist Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST) | 37 | 40 |
| Q2 - 3:18 | IND | Teague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 35 | 40 |
| Q2 - 3:38 | CHA | Walker Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) | 35 | 40 |
| Q2 - 3:44 | CHA | SUB: Williams FOR Kaminsky | 33 | 40 |
| Q2 - 3:44 | CHA | SUB: Belinelli FOR Lamb | 33 | 40 |
| Q2 - 4:03 | IND | George 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Young 1 AST) | 33 | 40 |
| Q2 - 4:23 | CHA | Kaminsky 6' Driving Bank Shot (7 PTS) | 33 | 38 |
| Q2 - 4:40 | CHA | Zeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 31 | 38 |
| Q2 - 4:40 | IND | MISS Young 5' Hook Shot | 31 | 38 |
| Q2 - 4:55 | IND | Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 31 | 38 |
| Q2 - 4:55 | CHA | MISS Kaminsky 2' Layup | 31 | 38 |
| Q2 - 5:18 | IND | George 20' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 31 | 38 |
| Q2 - 5:28 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 31 | 36 |
| Q2 - 5:29 | CHA | Ellis BLOCK (1 BLK) | 31 | 36 |
| Q2 - 5:39 | IND | SUB: Teague FOR Stuckey | 31 | 36 |
| Q2 - 5:39 | 31 | 36 | ||
| Q2 - 5:39 | IND | George L.B.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Maddox) | 31 | 36 |
| Q2 - 5:39 | CHA | Hornets Rebound | 31 | 36 |
| Q2 - 5:39 | CHA | MISS Lamb 10' Step Back Jump Shot | 31 | 36 |
| Q2 - 5:49 | CHA | Lamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 31 | 36 |
| Q2 - 5:50 | IND | MISS Young 4' Jump Shot | 31 | 36 |
| Q2 - 6:09 | IND | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 | 36 |
| Q2 - 6:09 | CHA | MISS Kaminsky 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 | 36 |
| Q2 - 6:26 | IND | Ellis 17' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) | 31 | 36 |
| Q2 - 6:41 | CHA | Lamb 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 31 | 34 |
| Q2 - 6:51 | CHA | Lamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 29 | 34 |
| Q2 - 6:52 | IND | MISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 | 34 |
| Q2 - 7:04 | CHA | Zeller 6' Driving Bank Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 29 | 34 |
| Q2 - 7:23 | IND | Ellis 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (George 1 AST) | 27 | 34 |
| Q2 - 7:43 | CHA | Zeller 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST) | 27 | 31 |
| Q2 - 8:00 | CHA | Lamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 25 | 31 |
| Q2 - 8:01 | IND | MISS Turner 16' Jump Shot | 25 | 31 |
| Q2 - 8:19 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 25 | 31 |
| Q2 - 8:20 | CHA | MISS Zeller 2' Cutting Layup Shot | 25 | 31 |
| Q2 - 8:27 | IND | SUB: George FOR Robinson III | 25 | 31 |
| Q2 - 8:27 | CHA | SUB: Walker FOR Weber | 25 | 31 |
| Q2 - 8:27 | CHA | SUB: Zeller FOR Belinelli | 25 | 31 |
| Q2 - 8:27 | CHA | SUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Williams | 25 | 31 |
| Q2 - 8:27 | CHA | Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0) | 25 | 31 |
| Q2 - 8:35 | IND | Robinson III 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST) | 25 | 31 |
| Q2 - 8:43 | IND | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 | 28 |
| Q2 - 8:43 | CHA | MISS Belinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 25 | 28 |
| Q2 - 9:07 | IND | Young Dunk (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST) | 25 | 28 |
| Q2 - 9:20 | CHA | Kaminsky 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST) | 25 | 26 |
| Q2 - 9:31 | CHA | Lamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 | 26 |
| Q2 - 9:31 | IND | MISS Stuckey 20' Pullup Jump Shot | 23 | 26 |
| Q2 - 9:45 | IND | Robinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 | 26 |
| Q2 - 9:46 | CHA | MISS Kaminsky 3PT Jump Shot | 23 | 26 |
| Q2 - 10:05 | IND | Ellis 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 23 | 26 |
| Q2 - 10:11 | IND | Ellis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 | 24 |
| Q2 - 10:12 | CHA | MISS Weber 3' Finger Roll Layup | 23 | 24 |
| Q2 - 10:26 | IND | SUB: Turner FOR Christmas | 23 | 24 |
| Q2 - 10:26 | CHA | SUB: Lamb FOR Graham | 23 | 24 |
| Q2 - 10:26 | IND | Stuckey P.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Maddox) | 23 | 24 |
| Q2 - 10:28 | IND | Stuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 23 | 24 |
| Q2 - 10:44 | IND | Robinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 | 24 |
| Q2 - 10:45 | CHA | MISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 | 24 |
| Q2 - 10:55 | CHA | Weber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 | 24 |
| Q2 - 10:55 | IND | MISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 | 24 |
| Q2 - 11:16 | CHA | Kaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 23 | 24 |
| Q2 - 11:16 | CHA | Hornets Rebound | 22 | 24 |
| Q2 - 11:16 | CHA | MISS Kaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 | 22 | 24 |
| Q2 - 11:16 | IND | Christmas S.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Kennedy) | 22 | 24 |
| Q2 - 11:35 | CHA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 22 | 24 |
| Q2 - 11:35 | IND | MISS Ellis 21' Pullup Jump Shot | 22 | 24 |
| Q2 - 11:47 | CHA | Kaminsky P.FOUL (P1.T1) (E.Lewis) | 22 | 24 |
| Q2 - 12:00 | 22 | 24 | ||
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | 22 | 24 | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 22 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | IND | MISS Robinson III 33' 3PT Jump Shot | 22 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | CHA | Kaminsky Free Throw 3 of 3 (2 PTS) | 22 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | IND | SUB: Christmas FOR Turner | 21 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | CHA | Hornets Rebound | 21 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | CHA | MISS Kaminsky Free Throw 2 of 3 | 21 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | CHA | Kaminsky Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS) | 21 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | 20 | 24 | ||
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | IND | 20 | 24 | |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | IND | Turner S.FOUL (P1.T3) (E.Lewis) | 20 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | CHA | Kaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 20 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:26.0 | IND | MISS Turner 7' Driving Hook Shot | 20 | 24 |
| Q1 - 0:43.0 | CHA | Turner STEAL (1 STL) | 20 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:02 | IND | Robinson III Dunk (4 PTS) | 20 | 24 |
| Q1 - 1:06 | CHA | Ellis STEAL (1 STL) | 20 | 22 |
| Q1 - 1:21 | IND | Seraphin Dunk (2 PTS) (Turner 1 AST) | 20 | 22 |
| Q1 - 1:40 | CHA | Weber 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 20 | 20 |
| Q1 - 1:56 | IND | Robinson III 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Seraphin 1 AST) | 18 | 20 |
| Q1 - 2:19 | CHA | Weber 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 18 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:37 | IND | Turner 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST) | 16 | 18 |
| Q1 - 2:48 | IND | SUB: Robinson III FOR George | 16 | 16 |
| Q1 - 2:48 | CHA | 16 | 16 | |
| Q1 - 2:48 | CHA | Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0) | 16 | 16 |
| Q1 - 2:48 | CHA | Graham P.FOUL (P1.T3) (T.Maddox) | 16 | 16 |
| Q1 - 3:00 | CHA | Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Weber 1 AST) | 16 | 16 |
| Q1 - 3:16 | IND | George Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 13 | 16 |
| Q1 - 3:16 | CHA | SUB: Graham FOR Kidd-Gilchrist | 13 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:16 | CHA | SUB: Williams FOR Zeller | 13 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:16 | CHA | Kidd-Gilchrist S.FOUL (P1.T2) (E.Lewis) | 13 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:16 | IND | George 1' Layup (7 PTS) | 13 | 15 |
| Q1 - 3:38 | CHA | Belinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 13 | 13 |
| Q1 - 3:38 | IND | SUB: Stuckey FOR Teague | 12 | 13 |
| Q1 - 3:38 | CHA | Hornets Rebound | 12 | 13 |
| Q1 - 3:38 | CHA | MISS Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 | 12 | 13 |
| Q1 - 3:38 | IND | Ellis S.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Kennedy) | 12 | 13 |
| Q1 - 3:53 | CHA | SUB: Weber FOR Walker | 12 | 13 |
| Q1 - 3:53 | IND | George Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2) | 12 | 13 |
| Q1 - 4:02 | IND | George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 | 13 |
| Q1 - 4:03 | CHA | MISS Belinelli 20' Fadeaway Jumper | 12 | 13 |
| Q1 - 4:21 | IND | Ellis 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 12 | 13 |
| Q1 - 4:38 | IND | SUB: Seraphin FOR Miles | 12 | 11 |
| Q1 - 4:38 | IND | SUB: Ellis FOR Young | 12 | 11 |
| Q1 - 4:38 | CHA | SUB: Kaminsky FOR Williams | 12 | 11 |
| Q1 - 4:38 | IND | PACERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0) | 12 | 11 |
| Q1 - 4:42 | IND | Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 12 | 11 |
| Q1 - 4:42 | CHA | MISS Walker 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 12 | 11 |
| Q1 - 4:49 | CHA | Zeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 | 11 |
| Q1 - 4:50 | IND | MISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 | 11 |
| Q1 - 4:59 | IND | Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 | 11 |
| Q1 - 5:00 | CHA | MISS Walker 10' Step Back Jump Shot | 12 | 11 |
| Q1 - 5:26 | IND | Miles 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) | 12 | 11 |
| Q1 - 5:36 | CHA | Williams 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST) | 12 | 9 |
| Q1 - 5:54 | IND | George 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 4 AST) | 10 | 9 |
| Q1 - 6:15 | CHA | Belinelli 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST) | 10 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:23 | IND | Young Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:36 | IND | Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:37 | CHA | MISS Kidd-Gilchrist 20' Pullup Jump Shot | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:49 | CHA | SUB: Belinelli FOR Lamb | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 6:49 | IND | George P.FOUL (P1.T1) (E.Lewis) | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 7:01 | CHA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 7:02 | IND | MISS Young 3PT Jump Shot | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 7:26 | CHA | Lamb 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) | 8 | 6 |
| Q1 - 7:45 | CHA | Zeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 | 6 |
| Q1 - 7:45 | IND | MISS George 18' Jump Shot | 6 | 6 |
| Q1 - 7:54 | CHA | Lamb Personal Block Foul (P1.T1) (T.Maddox) | 6 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:06 | CHA | Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 6 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:14 | CHA | Kidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:15 | IND | MISS Teague 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot | 4 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:21 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:22 | CHA | MISS Williams 3' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot | 4 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:34 | CHA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:35 | IND | MISS Miles 29' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 | 6 |
| Q1 - 8:49 | CHA | Lamb 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 | 6 |
| Q1 - 9:08 | IND | Turner 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 3 AST) | 2 | 6 |
| Q1 - 9:28 | IND | Young REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:29 | CHA | MISS Lamb 14' Jump Shot | 2 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:43 | IND | George 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST) | 2 | 4 |
| Q1 - 9:54 | IND | PACERS Rebound | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 9:55 | IND | MISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:17 | IND | Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:18 | CHA | Turner BLOCK (1 BLK) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:23 | CHA | Hornets Rebound | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:25 | CHA | MISS Kidd-Gilchrist 18' Jump Shot | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:41 | CHA | Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 10:42 | IND | MISS Miles 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 11:00 | CHA | Kidd-Gilchrist 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST) | 2 | 2 |
| Q1 - 11:27 | IND | Turner 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST) | 0 | 2 |
| Q1 - 11:42 | IND | Teague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 11:42 | CHA | MISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | IND | Jump Ball Turner vs. Zeller: Tip to Zeller | 0 | 0 |
| Q1 - 12:00 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Clock | Team | Event | CHA | IND |
Score / WinProb | ||||
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SHOOTING
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Scoring Efficiency
CHA
0.90 44.8%
IND
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
16
28
57%
IND
7
13
54%
Midrange
CHA
13
29
45%
IND
20
32
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
3
4.5
23
13%
20%
IND
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
Free Throws
CHA
10
13
77%
IND
8
9
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Hornets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Kaminsky | 20 | 56% | 10.0 / 18 | |
| M. Belinelli | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| M. Kidd-Gilchrist | 10 | 63% | 5.0 / 8 | |
| J. Lamb | 8 | 40% | 4.0 / 10 | |
| B. Weber | 8 | 57% | 4.0 / 7 | |
| K. Walker | 7 | 32% | 3.5 / 11 | |
| C. Zeller | 7 | 44% | 3.5 / 8 | |
| M. Williams | 4 | 25% | 2.0 / 8 | |
| B. Roberts | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| T. Graham | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Pacers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. George | 39 | 93% | 19.5 / 21 | |
| M. Ellis | 16 | 62% | 8.0 / 13 | |
| C. Miles | 9 | 64% | 4.5 / 7 | |
| G. Robinson III | 9 | 90% | 4.5 / 5 | |
| J. Teague | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| M. Turner | 6 | 43% | 3.0 / 7 | |
| K. Seraphin | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| R. Christmas | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| T. Young | 2 | 17% | 1.0 / 6 | |
| R. Stuckey | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
CHA
77
+9
-10
86
IND
74
+6
-14
80
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
CHA
0.90 44.8%
IND
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 109.3 108.8 | CHA 88.5 IND 111.4 +22.9 |
| Pace | 95.3 95.9 | CHA 86.4 IND 88.6 +2.2 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.3 15.1 | CHA 16.7 IND 16.2 −0.4 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.1% 51.6% | CHA 41.9% IND 61.6% +19.7% |
| TO % | 11.4% 13.7% | CHA 10.4% −5.9% IND 16.3% |
| ORB % | 20.0% 21.3% | CHA 7.1% IND 10.0% +2.9% |
| FTrt | 27.9 26.1 | CHA 16.3 +4.0 IND 12.3 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 61.1% 57.2% | CHA 46.9% IND 66.7% +19.8% |
| STL % | 7.3% 8.4% | CHA 10.3% +1.2% IND 9.1% |
| BLK % | 8.6% 9.0% | CHA 8.9% IND 10.5% +1.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 53.4% 54.5% | CHA 44.8% IND 61.3% +16.5% |
| Rim FG% | 58.4% 59.1% | CHA 57.1% +3.3% IND 53.8% |
| Mid FG% | 39.7% 42.1% | CHA 44.8% IND 62.5% +17.7% |
| 3P % | 35.1% 37.6% | CHA 13.0% IND 42.9% +29.9% |
| FT % | 81.5% 81.0% | CHA 76.9% IND 88.9% +12.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 32.3% 32.9% | CHA 35.0% +17.2% IND 17.8% |
| Mid Att. % | 34.2% 39.9% | CHA 36.3% −7.6% IND 43.8% |
| 3P Att. % | 33.5% 27.2% | CHA 28.7% IND 38.4% +9.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | CHA | IND |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 87 | 88 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.2 | 23.8 |
| Points | 77 | 98 |
| Rebounds | 30 | 42 |
| Assists | 15 | 26 |
| Steals | 9 | 8 |
| Blocks | 4 | 6 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 10 (0) | 14 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 3 (6) | 3 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 27 (1) | 39 (0) |
| Field Goals | 32-80 | 39-73 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 16-28 | 7-13 |
| Midrange FG | 13-29 | 20-32 |
| 2-Point FG | 29-57 | 27-45 |
| 3-Point FG | 3-23 | 12-28 |
| Free Throws | 10-13 | 8-9 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.