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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 16, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Grizzlies45%101103
18Hawks55%10291
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.1
36
34
18
10
10
0
1
0
2
1
9
2-2
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
48%
2-5
40%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.4
33
35
22
4
12
1
1
0
1
2
2
5-6
83%
7-15
4-8
47%
48%
1-5
20%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.1
29
26
3
0
1
1
1
2
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.2
28
24
10
6
1
2
2
0
1
4
2
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
1-2
50%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.7
26
24
14
12
0
2
1
2
2
3
9
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
2-4
50%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
20
18
7
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
19
17
6
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
2-5
40%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
18
23
8
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-12
5-11
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.4
15
14
5
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
14
12
10
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
61%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.0
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.4
9
0
1-2
51%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.8
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.0
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.3
32
29
10
11
1
0
1
3
3
3
8
4-6
67%
3-5
4-7
60%
62%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.1
31
35
10
3
3
1
1
1
4
0
3
2-4
50%
1-6
5-10
17%
51%
2-3
67%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.7
31
27
16
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
8-10
80%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.5
26
33
10
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-10
6-12
30%
51%
1-6
17%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.9
14
26
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
30
28
18
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-5
80%
4-5
3-6
80%
53%
2-9
22%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.0
29
15
16
6
1
0
1
4
3
1
5
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.5
18
12
0
4
4
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
14
21
6
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
1-1
100%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
9
7
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-1
0%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.0
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 25.9
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
7
0
1-2
49%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.7
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.