Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Trail Blazers	30%	101	115	126.4	91	91.3
	8	Heat	70%	108	104	113.0	92	93.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum G · 6'3" 190 · 25	36.8	18	53%	4	5	1	0	3	1	0	4	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	2-5	40%
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 200 · 27	36.4	49	98%	1	5	0	1	3	1	0	1	12-12	100%	5-9	56%	9-12	75%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 24	29.5	2	25%	5	1	0	2	2	5	3	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 23	29.1	21	58%	13	0	0	3	0	3	6	7	3-8	38%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Noah Vonleh F · 6'9" 245 · 22	28.6	11	69%	7	1	1	0	1	2	2	5	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Allen Crabbe G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25	29.6	5	28%	5	0	1	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 26	23.3	3	150%	5	0	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Evan Turner F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28	20.4	6	38%	3	1	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Meyers Leonard C · 7'1" 255 · 25	6.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton G · 6'5" 209 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jake Layman F · 6'9" 210 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ed Davis #17 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Festus Ezeli #31 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tim Quarterman #55 · G · 6'6" 190 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	61%	43	13	4	6	11	0	13	30	18-24	75%	29-57	51%	13-26	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum G · 6'3" 190 · 25	36.8	18	53%	4	5	1	0	3	1	0	4	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	2-5	40%
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 200 · 27	36.4	49	98%	1	5	0	1	3	1	0	1	12-12	100%	5-9	56%	9-12	75%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 24	29.5	2	25%	5	1	0	2	2	5	3	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 23	29.1	21	58%	13	0	0	3	0	3	6	7	3-8	38%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Noah Vonleh F · 6'9" 245 · 22	28.6	11	69%	7	1	1	0	1	2	2	5	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Allen Crabbe G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25	29.6	5	28%	5	0	1	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-4	25%
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 26	23.3	3	150%	5	0	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Evan Turner F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28	20.4	6	38%	3	1	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Meyers Leonard C · 7'1" 255 · 25	6.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Pat Connaughton G · 6'5" 209 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jake Layman F · 6'9" 210 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ed Davis #17 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Festus Ezeli #31 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tim Quarterman #55 · G · 6'6" 190 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	61%	43	13	4	6	11	0	13	30	18-24	75%	29-57	51%	13-26	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	38.4	17	35%	4	3	3	0	2	3	2	2	4-6	67%	5-15	33%	1-6	17%
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 24	32.6	10	56%	1	2	1	1	1	4	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	30.8	17	53%	10	2	0	3	1	5	5	5	1-2	50%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 26	19.3	6	60%	4	1	0	1	1	1	2	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	17.2	3	75%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	30.8	14	54%	3	3	1	0	2	2	0	3	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-3	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	30.8	24	80%	7	5	2	2	0	2	1	6	4-5	80%	7-10	70%	2-3	67%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	23.0	9	45%	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-10	30%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	17.2	4	67%	2	0	1	1	2	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	\| DND - Sprained Left Ankle
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Justise Winslow #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	39	18	8	8	9	0	13	26	13-20	65%	32-58	55%	9-30	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.21 60.5%

MIA

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

19

34

56%

MIA

21

33

64%

Midrange

POR

10

23

43%

MIA

11

25

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

13

19.5

26

50%

75%

MIA

9

13.5

30

30%

45%

Free Throws

POR

18

24

75%

MIA

13

20

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	49	98%	24.5 / 25
J. Nurkić	21	58%	10.5 / 18
C. McCollum	18	53%	9.0 / 17
N. Vonleh	11	69%	5.5 / 8
E. Turner	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Crabbe	5	28%	2.5 / 9
A. Aminu	3	150%	1.5 / 1
M. Harkless	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Leonard	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	24	80%	12.0 / 15
G. Dragic	17	35%	8.5 / 24
H. Whiteside	17	53%	8.5 / 16
T. Johnson	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Richardson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
W. Ellington	9	45%	4.5 / 10
R. McGruder	6	60%	3.0 / 5
W. Reed	4	67%	2.0 / 3
L. Babbitt	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 110.9 18 108.1	POR 126.4 +13.3 MIA 113.0
Pace	14 96.1 21 95.0	POR 91.3 MIA 93.5 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time	15 15.1 5 15.7	POR 15.8 MIA 15.4 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 52.0% 15 51.2%	POR 58.4% +6.7% MIA 51.7%
TO %	11 13.5% 8 13.2%	POR 11.4% MIA 8.5% −2.9%
ORB %	17 23.0% 11 24.2%	POR 33.3% +3.1% MIA 30.2%
FTrt	14 27.5 26 25.1	POR 28.9 +6.2 MIA 22.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 53.4% 24 54.4%	POR 31.0% MIA 43.9% +12.9%
STL %	27 7.2% 21 7.5%	POR 4.4% MIA 8.7% +4.3%
BLK %	15 8.1% 6 9.3%	POR 10.3% MIA 14.0% +3.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 54.7% 20 52.8%	POR 60.5% +8.0% MIA 52.5%
Rim FG%	28 56.2% 12 59.2%	POR 55.9% MIA 63.6% +7.7%
Mid FG%	4 42.8% 26 39.4%	POR 43.5% MIA 44.0% +0.5%
3P %	6 37.5% 12 36.5%	POR 50.0% +20.0% MIA 30.0%
FT %	14 78.0% 30 70.6%	POR 75.0% +10.0% MIA 65.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 36.2% 15 35.4%	POR 41.0% +3.5% MIA 37.5%
Mid Att. %	12 31.7% 15 33.1%	POR 27.7% −0.7% MIA 28.4%
3P Att. %	12 32.2% 14 31.4%	POR 31.3% MIA 34.1% +2.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	POR	MIA
Possessions	91	92
Possession Minutes	23.9	23.6
Points	115	104
Rebounds	43	39
Assists	13	18
Steals	4	8
Blocks	6	8
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (2)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	26 (3)
Field Goals	42-83	41-88
At-the-Rim FG	19-34	21-33
Midrange FG	10-23	11-25
2-Point FG	29-57	32-58
3-Point FG	13-26	9-30
Free Throws	18-24	13-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg