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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 21, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies47%10282
13Pelicans53%10395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.1
37.1
35.2
10
37%
8
4
2
1
0
3
0
8
0-1
0%
5-10
6-12
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.1
34.1
27.1
4
22%
2
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
0-6
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.4
31.2
33.9
16
54%
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
2-6
33%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.7
18.5
23.7
12
82%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
1-2
50%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 22.5
16.3
9.6
4
33%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
24.3
18.4
12
75%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
4-8
50%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.4
23.8
13.6
10
69%
4
0
0
0
1
5
1
3
3-5
60%
2-4
1-2
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
20.1
10.4
7
90%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
62%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
19.2
22.8
4
18%
9
1
0
1
0
3
3
6
0-0
-
2-9
5-11
22%
48%
0-2
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
15.4
16.5
3
38%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.2
26.9
2
4-8
48%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.4
8.1
0
1-2
51%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.8
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.0
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.8
40.9
30.7
11
32%
3
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-11
4-9
36%
49%
1-6
17%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 24.0
40.3
33.4
19
50%
13
0
0
1
0
2
3
10
1-2
50%
9-16
8-16
56%
53%
0-2
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.6
36.8
23.8
41
66%
16
2
2
1
2
2
4
12
8-9
89%
9-18
4-9
50%
48%
5-9
56%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 26.0
33.7
31.6
5
29%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.4
27.6
20.6
2
26%
2
5
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 28.1
25.5
26.9
7
50%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 28.4
16.0
19.9
10
85%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 28.9
14.1
6.5
0
0%
10
0
0
0
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 26.5
4.8
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 24.0
0.4
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.9
25.9
1
2-3
53%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.7
2.9
0
0-0
51%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.0
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.