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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 21, 2017
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs65%105100
17Timberwolves35%10093
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.7
38.5
27.8
26
52%
4
3
2
0
2
2
3
1
2-2
100%
12-24
6-13
50%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.7
32.2
24.1
10
71%
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
2-5
40%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
30.8
31.3
22
63%
3
4
3
2
1
3
0
3
8-10
80%
7-8
6-12
88%
54%
0-5
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.8
27.0
16.9
2
15%
1
5
2
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-5
2-5
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
20.8
16.3
2
36%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
62%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.7
24.4
20.8
11
70%
7
2
0
0
1
3
0
7
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
20.6
23.4
8
80%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.6
19.5
18.0
11
70%
3
2
3
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.5
15.7
18.7
8
67%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.4
6.2
12.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
4.4
13.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
8.5
0
1-1
48%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
5.0
0
0-1
53%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 21.3
39.4
36.5
25
60%
15
1
1
1
2
2
6
9
8-9
89%
7-15
8-15
47%
56%
1-2
50%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 22.1
36.1
35.5
22
52%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
12-14
86%
5-13
8-16
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 27.2
33.0
30.3
9
75%
4
2
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
51%
1-2
50%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.4
30.1
32.5
9
41%
6
7
2
2
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
2-8
3-8
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.7
18.0
31.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.0
24.4
13.8
5
83%
2
0
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 24.4
23.6
24.0
18
60%
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
6-12
4-7
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
21.5
14.2
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 20.9
11.9
12.1
0
0%
2
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 28.4
2.1
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
10.6
0
1-2
52%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 29.7
2.5
0
0-1
48%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 26.1
2.4
0
0-1
44%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 31.2
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.