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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 22, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hornets61%107109
25Magic39%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 30.8
33.4
33.3
7
50%
10
2
0
1
0
0
1
9
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 26.9
32.9
30.7
22
47%
3
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
7-14
4-9
50%
48%
1-7
14%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 28.3
31.6
26.1
10
36%
2
6
2
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
29.5
26.8
15
72%
6
2
3
1
0
2
4
2
1-1
100%
7-10
4-7
70%
55%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 23.5
27.0
24.5
9
83%
4
0
2
1
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
50%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 24.0
33.2
29.8
18
65%
5
1
0
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
4-7
57%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.0
21.5
22.5
20
80%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
7-8
88%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.8
15.9
19.2
4
25%
8
3
0
1
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
53%
0-1
0%
Briante Weber
G · 6'2" 165 · 24.2
15.1
14.6
4
67%
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 31.3
5.1
0
0-1
44%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23.4
4.3
0
0-1
46%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 21.5
4.2
0
0-1
51%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 23.8
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.9
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.1
33.5
27.3
15
76%
5
5
0
1
0
3
3
2
2-2
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
50%
1-1
100%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26.1
31.1
28.6
19
63%
2
1
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
50%
3-9
33%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.4
30.4
30.5
15
56%
5
3
1
1
0
3
2
3
2-3
67%
2-3
4-7
67%
51%
3-9
33%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.4
29.9
29.1
14
54%
12
8
1
1
3
1
2
10
2-2
100%
6-10
7-14
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
28.6
27.7
7
44%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22.1
23.1
18.0
8
33%
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
47%
2-5
40%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.6
18.1
16.9
4
50%
5
2
1
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
15.5
17.1
10
73%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
3-4
75%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.9
15.3
10.6
4
40%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-3
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.4
14.5
16.2
6
55%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.5
5.1
0
1-1
51%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.2
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.8
3.1
0
0-0
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.