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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 22, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons45%10195
21Bulls55%102117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
32
34
14
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
4-5
80%
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
0-4
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
31
32
14
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
53%
1-3
33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.1
30
33
5
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.6
26
29
8
17
0
0
1
1
1
8
9
0-4
0%
4-12
6-11
33%
54%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.7
25
24
9
1
7
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.9
20
23
6
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.9
17
23
13
6
1
0
0
0
0
4
2
2-3
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
1-1
100%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.8
16
9
12
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.0
15
11
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.3
14
17
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.6
8
3
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-3
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.7
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.2
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.1
39
23
28
5
2
3
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
8-9
2-3
89%
50%
4-6
67%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.5
34
37
16
5
12
2
2
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
6-6
6-12
100%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.1
29
27
15
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
1-2
50%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
28
8
17
7
3
1
0
0
1
1
6
2-4
50%
6-10
1-2
60%
52%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 31.1
28
30
5
2
9
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.1
23
21
12
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-5
40%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.3
22
28
8
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
2-4
50%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.4
17
15
6
2
3
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.4
15
5
7
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.8
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.5
3
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 29.0
25
0
5-9
52%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.6
15
1
2-4
44%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.7
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.