Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Hawks	35%	102	100	99.0	101	98.9
	12	Wizards	65%	108	104	102.0	102	104.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 25	36.4	29	73%	2	3	2	1	0	4	2	0	8-9	89%	6-8	75%	3-8	38%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 31	36.0	14	50%	15	2	2	1	2	1	3	12	4-6	67%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 24	34.4	18	50%	2	6	0	1	10	4	0	2	8-8	100%	5-13	38%	0-3	0%
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 33	30.8	10	63%	5	2	3	0	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 30	26.3	5	31%	8	2	1	1	1	5	1	7	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-3	0%

Taurean Prince F · 6'6" 218 · 23	27.9	7	44%	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 37	14.8	9	56%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Malcolm Delaney G · 6'3" 190 · 28	13.7	2	17%	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-2	0%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 32	11.9	6	60%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 26	7.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Kelly F · 6'11" 230 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeAndre' Bembry F-G · 6'6" 210 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Paul Millsap #4 · F · 6'8" 246 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kent Bazemore #24 · G · 6'5" 201 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	51%	44	20	11	5	16	0	11	33	24-29	83%	26-61	43%	8-25	32%

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23 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 25	36.4	29	73%	2	3	2	1	0	4	2	0	8-9	89%	6-8	75%	3-8	38%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 31	36.0	14	50%	15	2	2	1	2	1	3	12	4-6	67%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 24	34.4	18	50%	2	6	0	1	10	4	0	2	8-8	100%	5-13	38%	0-3	0%
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 33	30.8	10	63%	5	2	3	0	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-2	100%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 30	26.3	5	31%	8	2	1	1	1	5	1	7	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	0-3	0%

Taurean Prince F · 6'6" 218 · 23	27.9	7	44%	4	2	1	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 37	14.8	9	56%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Malcolm Delaney G · 6'3" 190 · 28	13.7	2	17%	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-2	0%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 32	11.9	6	60%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 26	7.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Kelly F · 6'11" 230 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeAndre' Bembry F-G · 6'6" 210 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Paul Millsap #4 · F · 6'8" 246 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kent Bazemore #24 · G · 6'5" 201 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	51%	44	20	11	5	16	0	11	33	24-29	83%	26-61	43%	8-25	32%

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12 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 24	35.3	28	61%	9	2	4	1	3	2	3	6	4-7	57%	6-12	50%	4-9	44%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 27	34.2	22	42%	2	10	4	2	4	3	0	2	9-12	75%	5-15	33%	1-6	17%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 28	32.6	13	54%	7	2	1	1	1	3	1	6	1-1	100%	6-10	60%	0-2	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	27.6	4	50%	6	1	0	0	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	27.3	10	50%	8	0	0	0	1	4	6	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%

Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 30	20.2	4	67%	10	0	0	0	3	4	5	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	18.7	5	36%	5	1	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	15.4	8	57%	3	1	0	2	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Bojan Bogdanović F · 6'8" 230 · 28	14.9	5	42%	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 27	13.8	5	50%	2	6	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris McCullough #1 · F · 6'9" 215 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sheldon Mac #9 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Daniel Ochefu #32 · F · 6'11" 245 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	49%	54	23	9	6	19	0	17	37	17-23	74%	27-61	44%	11-34	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.01 50.5%

WAS

0.97 48.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

18

33

55%

WAS

12

26

46%

Midrange

ATL

8

28

29%

WAS

15

35

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

8

12.0

25

32%

48%

WAS

11

16.5

34

32%

49%

Free Throws

ATL

24

29

83%

WAS

17

23

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Hardaway	29	73%	14.5 / 20
D. Schröder	18	50%	9.0 / 18
D. Howard	14	50%	7.0 / 14
T. Sefolosha	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Dunleavy	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. Prince	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Humphries	6	60%	3.0 / 5
E. Ilyasova	5	31%	2.5 / 8
M. Delaney	2	17%	1.0 / 6
M. Muscala	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	28	61%	14.0 / 23
J. Wall	22	42%	11.0 / 26
M. Morris	13	54%	6.5 / 12
O. Porter Jr.	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Smith	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Oubre	5	36%	2.5 / 7
B. Bogdanovic	5	42%	2.5 / 6
B. Jennings	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Gortat	4	50%	2.0 / 4
I. Mahinmi	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 105.4 9 111.0	ATL 99.0 WAS 102.0 +3.0
Pace	11 97.0 9 97.5	ATL 98.9 WAS 104.2 +5.4
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.6 25 14.4	ATL 14.6 WAS 13.8 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 50.4% 6 52.8%	ATL 44.2% WAS 45.8% +1.6%
TO %	28 15.6% 16 13.7%	ATL 13.9% −1.4% WAS 15.3%
ORB %	15 23.6% 13 24.1%	ATL 22.9% WAS 34.0% +11.1%
FTrt	5 29.5 25 25.4	ATL 33.7 +9.5 WAS 24.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 62.1% 16 57.7%	ATL 58.8% WAS 60.5% +1.7%
STL %	9 8.4% 3 8.6%	ATL 10.9% +2.1% WAS 8.8%
BLK %	10 8.5% 24 7.1%	ATL 8.2% WAS 9.8% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 52.8% 8 55.0%	ATL 50.5% +1.9% WAS 48.6%
Rim FG%	22 58.1% 10 59.5%	ATL 54.5% +8.3% WAS 46.2%
Mid FG%	16 40.5% 2 44.0%	ATL 28.6% WAS 42.9% +14.3%
3P %	23 34.1% 8 37.2%	ATL 32.0% WAS 32.4% +0.4%
FT %	28 72.8% 12 78.5%	ATL 82.8% +8.9% WAS 73.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 37.6% 18 34.8%	ATL 38.4% +11.0% WAS 27.4%
Mid Att. %	11 31.5% 21 36.8%	ATL 32.6% −4.3% WAS 36.8%
3P Att. %	15 30.9% 23 28.4%	ATL 29.1% WAS 35.8% +6.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	WAS
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	100	104
Rebounds	44	54
Assists	20	23
Steals	11	9
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	17 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	37 (3)
Field Goals	34-86	38-95
At-the-Rim FG	18-33	12-26
Midrange FG	8-28	15-35
2-Point FG	26-61	27-61
3-Point FG	8-25	11-34
Free Throws	24-29	17-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg