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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 22, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers
113
8Nuggets
126
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.2
34
28
18
6
5
0
1
0
4
2
4
2-4
50%
8-10
6-10
80%
58%
0-2
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.0
27
28
6
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
58%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.0
27
27
33
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
7-7
100%
7-17
5-11
41%
51%
4-5
80%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.5
22
26
9
7
1
2
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
3-7
43%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.5
21
25
3
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
1-6
17%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
22
18
4
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
20
20
19
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
6-6
2-4
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.0
19
8
9
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
3-8
38%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.7
17
27
5
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.8
16
27
0
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
55%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
7
12
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 29.0
4
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.5
3
8
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.0
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 28.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.9
41
31
18
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
52%
1-4
25%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
32
37
21
3
4
0
2
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
55%
3-6
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
29
30
16
10
7
0
1
0
3
2
8
0-0
-
8-10
7-11
80%
61%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 35.1
28
31
3
1
9
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 27.0
26
26
12
7
4
1
1
0
1
3
4
4-4
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
54%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.2
33
29
20
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
49%
3-6
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 20.1
20
23
15
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.3
19
16
17
9
1
2
0
0
0
4
5
1-1
100%
8-15
3-5
53%
56%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
12
26
4
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
1
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.0
8
0
1-2
43%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 30.3
2
0
0-0
47%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37.1
2
0
0-0
40%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.3
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.