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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 22, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks23%96101
5Jazz77%106108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
35.6
29.7
16
53%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-5
100%
4-9
4-10
44%
46%
1-4
25%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.5
35.3
26.3
12
75%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
2-3
67%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.9
32.5
21.7
4
29%
8
2
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.5
32.3
28.5
17
64%
1
6
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
7-12
5-11
58%
46%
0-0
-
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.6
31.4
29.7
24
61%
7
0
1
1
1
0
2
5
5-6
83%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.0
21.3
19.3
7
60%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 28.0
19.1
22.5
8
67%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.8
17.4
19.0
9
51%
11
1
2
1
0
2
4
7
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 27.0
8.7
9.2
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.4
5.1
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chasson Randle
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
1.5
10.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.7
11.4
0
1-2
49%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 33.0
3.3
0
0-0
38%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.8
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.0
39.1
33.8
19
45%
8
3
1
1
0
0
3
5
6-9
67%
5-10
6-11
50%
52%
1-7
14%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.7
38.1
33.9
35
86%
15
1
1
1
4
3
13
2
9-12
75%
13-15
6-9
87%
63%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.9
35.1
32.7
15
42%
7
4
1
1
0
4
0
7
0-0
-
6-14
4-8
43%
54%
1-4
25%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 24.4
20.9
12.8
3
31%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.9
13.8
15.2
5
42%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
55%
1-1
100%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 29.5
24.5
28.5
5
32%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-5
20%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 35.7
22.7
28.3
10
46%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
1-3
33%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 25.7
18.8
17.2
0
0%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 24.8
13.6
6.1
10
125%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
2-2
100%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 27.0
9.9
10.6
6
77%
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
55%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.4
3.5
6.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.7
13.5
0
1-3
53%
Joel Bolomboy
· 6'9" 235 · 23.1
2.3
0
0-1
55%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 25.7
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.