Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Raptors	38%	101	101	107.4	94	102.0
	13	Heat	62%	105	84	90.3	93	86.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 28	36.1	40	65%	6	3	1	0	1	0	1	5	12-13	92%	14-23	61%	0-2	0%
P.J. Tucker F · 6'6" 245 · 32	33.1	9	56%	7	3	1	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-5	60%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 26	28.9	7	44%	4	1	1	0	4	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 31	20.9	7	50%	0	0	3	0	1	2	0	0	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 25	20.6	2	25%	8	0	0	2	3	5	0	8	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Norman Powell G · 6'4" 215 · 24	26.5	14	64%	3	0	1	1	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Delon Wright G · 6'4" 185 · 25	23.8	13	65%	7	3	2	0	2	1	1	6	5-7	71%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jakob Poeltl C · 7'0" 253 · 21	23.5	4	50%	6	0	0	0	2	4	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 28	21.5	5	28%	10	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Fred VanVleet G · 6'0" 197 · 23	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 28	\| NWT - NBA Suspension
Pascal Siakam F · 6'8" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lucas Nogueira C · 7'0" 220 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bruno Caboclo #20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kyle Lowry #7 · G · 6'0" 196 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	51	10	9	3	17	0	11	40	25-32	78%	29-56	52%	6-23	26%

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20 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 28	36.1	40	65%	6	3	1	0	1	0	1	5	12-13	92%	14-23	61%	0-2	0%
P.J. Tucker F · 6'6" 245 · 32	33.1	9	56%	7	3	1	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-5	60%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 26	28.9	7	44%	4	1	1	0	4	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 31	20.9	7	50%	0	0	3	0	1	2	0	0	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 25	20.6	2	25%	8	0	0	2	3	5	0	8	2-4	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Norman Powell G · 6'4" 215 · 24	26.5	14	64%	3	0	1	1	3	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Delon Wright G · 6'4" 185 · 25	23.8	13	65%	7	3	2	0	2	1	1	6	5-7	71%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Jakob Poeltl C · 7'0" 253 · 21	23.5	4	50%	6	0	0	0	2	4	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 28	21.5	5	28%	10	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Fred VanVleet G · 6'0" 197 · 23	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 28	\| NWT - NBA Suspension
Pascal Siakam F · 6'8" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Lucas Nogueira C · 7'0" 220 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bruno Caboclo #20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kyle Lowry #7 · G · 6'0" 196 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	51	10	9	3	17	0	11	40	25-32	78%	29-56	52%	6-23	26%

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13 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 26	35.9	13	65%	4	3	0	1	1	1	2	2	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 24	35.1	12	46%	2	3	0	2	0	4	0	2	1-3	33%	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	33.3	13	34%	7	7	4	0	3	0	2	5	2-2	100%	4-15	27%	1-3	33%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	30.3	16	67%	14	2	0	2	3	4	6	8	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	14.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%

James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	30.8	10	31%	4	3	2	4	3	1	0	4	3-6	50%	2-8	25%	1-6	17%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	26.3	11	55%	1	1	1	1	4	4	0	1	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	17.8	9	75%	1	1	1	1	1	4	0	1	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	13.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 25	2.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	\| DND - Sprained Left Ankle
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Justise Winslow #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	46%	36	20	8	11	16	0	10	26	14-23	61%	26-59	44%	6-23	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.02 51.0%

MIA

0.91 45.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

12

26

46%

MIA

19

32

59%

Midrange

TOR

17

30

57%

MIA

7

27

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

6

9.0

23

26%

39%

MIA

6

9.0

23

26%

39%

Free Throws

TOR

25

32

78%

MIA

14

23

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	40	65%	20.0 / 31
N. Powell	14	64%	7.0 / 11
D. Wright	13	65%	6.5 / 10
P. Tucker	9	56%	4.5 / 8
C. Joseph	7	44%	3.5 / 8
D. Carroll	7	50%	3.5 / 7
P. Patterson	5	28%	2.5 / 9
J. Poeltl	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Valančiūnas	2	25%	1.0 / 4
F. VanVleet	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside	16	67%	8.0 / 12
R. McGruder	13	65%	6.5 / 10
G. Dragic	13	34%	6.5 / 19
J. Richardson	12	46%	6.0 / 13
T. Johnson	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Johnson	10	31%	5.0 / 16
W. Reed	9	75%	4.5 / 6
L. Babbitt	0	-	0.0 / 2
W. Ellington	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 112.2 18 108.1	TOR 107.4 +17.1 MIA 90.3
Pace	24 94.8 21 95.0	TOR 102.0 +15.8 MIA 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time	9 15.3 5 15.7	TOR 14.1 −2.6 MIA 16.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 51.7% 15 51.2%	TOR 48.1% +5.4% MIA 42.7%
TO %	4 12.4% 8 13.2%	TOR 16.2% MIA 15.6% −0.6%
ORB %	8 24.9% 11 24.2%	TOR 29.7% +9.7% MIA 20.0%
FTrt	6 29.3 26 25.1	TOR 40.5 +12.5 MIA 28.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 47.2% 24 54.4%	TOR 28.6% MIA 62.5% +33.9%
STL %	2 8.7% 21 7.5%	TOR 9.6% +1.0% MIA 8.6%
BLK %	8 8.8% 6 9.3%	TOR 5.1% MIA 19.6% +14.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 54.4% 20 52.8%	TOR 51.0% +5.3% MIA 45.7%
Rim FG%	15 58.9% 12 59.2%	TOR 46.2% MIA 59.4% +13.2%
Mid FG%	5 42.6% 26 39.4%	TOR 56.7% +30.8% MIA 25.9%
3P %	13 36.3% 12 36.5%	TOR 26.1% MIA 26.1%
FT %	8 79.6% 30 70.6%	TOR 78.1% +17.2% MIA 60.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 34.6% 15 35.4%	TOR 32.9% MIA 39.0% +6.1%
Mid Att. %	20 36.5% 15 33.1%	TOR 38.0% MIA 32.9% −5.0%
3P Att. %	22 28.9% 14 31.4%	TOR 29.1% +1.1% MIA 28.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	TOR	MIA
Possessions	94	93
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	101	84
Rebounds	51	36
Assists	10	20
Steals	9	8
Blocks	3	11
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (9)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (3)	26 (2)
Field Goals	35-79	32-82
At-the-Rim FG	12-26	19-32
Midrange FG	17-30	7-27
2-Point FG	29-56	26-59
3-Point FG	6-23	6-23
Free Throws	25-32	14-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg