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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 24, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons
87
26Magic
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
26
31
11
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
54%
1-3
33%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
22
32
4
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
49%
0-2
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.1
21
31
8
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
0-4
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.6
20
28
6
14
2
0
1
1
1
4
10
0-2
0%
3-8
6-11
38%
55%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.7
16
24
6
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.9
28
21
16
8
2
1
0
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
7-9
3-6
78%
54%
0-2
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.8
22
12
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-3
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.9
20
22
11
4
3
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
1-5
20%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.0
17
12
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.3
16
16
8
7
0
0
0
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.6
12
5
15
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
56%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.7
12
3
0
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
9
3
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.2
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
30
28
16
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
8-9
4-7
89%
53%
0-2
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.1
29
29
14
11
10
0
1
0
3
2
9
3-5
60%
4-10
5-9
40%
50%
1-1
100%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.4
26
29
16
8
6
1
1
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
8-13
7-13
62%
51%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.4
23
30
15
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
51%
1-4
25%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26.1
21
29
18
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
5-6
83%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22.1
28
20
6
4
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
21
17
15
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
47%
3-4
75%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.9
16
13
2
0
3
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.6
16
17
4
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.4
13
15
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.5
6
4
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.2
6
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.8
6
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.