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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 24, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings13%98100
3Warriors87%114114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 23.3
33.4
30.7
22
70%
8
7
2
1
0
3
2
6
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
4-9
44%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.6
27.5
28.1
12
87%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-6
5-10
83%
51%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.4
24.4
13.6
20
93%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
6-7
2-3
86%
45%
2-2
100%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
22.8
22.4
3
21%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.1
14.4
12.0
2
14%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
52%
0-0
-
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 21.0
27.5
25.0
10
45%
10
8
0
1
1
2
1
9
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.7
26.6
20.1
7
54%
4
1
0
0
1
3
2
2
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.3
25.3
11.7
8
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
38%
2-3
67%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.1
22.1
12.7
11
51%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
5-8
1-3
63%
44%
0-2
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.9
16.1
24.6
5
50%
2
3
2
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
1-1
100%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.6
25.0
1
3-7
48%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
16.5
0
1-2
50%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.5
14.8
1
2-5
44%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.2
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.1
34.0
28.3
23
60%
4
8
3
2
1
4
1
3
4-5
80%
5-8
2-5
63%
53%
3-9
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.0
33.2
29.4
27
68%
7
12
6
1
0
3
1
6
4-4
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
56%
5-11
45%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
29.8
31.3
8
29%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-7
5-9
14%
53%
2-7
29%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.1
19.0
14.9
4
41%
8
3
2
1
1
2
2
6
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.4
16.2
22.8
4
67%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.2
26.5
25.5
9
57%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
60%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.5
18.8
18.0
8
100%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.0
18.3
21.3
10
50%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
57%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.6
14.2
14.1
8
80%
3
4
1
1
3
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 37.0
13.6
20.9
2
50%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.2
11.5
10.4
9
71%
10
1
1
0
0
1
6
4
3-3
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
62%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.2
3.1
7.4
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.1
1.9
6.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.5
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.