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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 27, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers35%10474
2Spurs65%110103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.2
30
36
17
8
8
0
1
0
2
3
5
3-6
50%
7-14
7-12
50%
56%
0-3
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.5
27
27
5
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-6
17%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.6
27
28
9
7
4
2
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.0
26
27
11
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
3-4
75%
4-5
3-5
80%
56%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.0
26
32
8
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-1
0%
4-11
6-13
36%
49%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
22
11
8
3
0
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.8
22
19
5
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
18
18
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.5
14
5
2
1
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
41%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
14
7
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 29.0
8
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.0
7
7
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.8
24
1
2-4
44%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.0
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 28.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
30
35
25
6
6
3
2
1
2
0
6
3-3
100%
11-14
7-12
79%
55%
0-7
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.7
29
33
14
7
4
1
1
1
2
4
3
6-6
100%
4-10
8-16
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.6
20
17
8
13
0
0
0
1
1
3
10
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
63%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.9
20
23
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
3-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.8
19
25
5
2
1
2
1
4
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-6
17%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.7
21
23
14
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
2-2
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
19
10
4
4
1
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
18
24
9
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.7
17
18
12
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
2-3
67%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
15
16
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
56%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.4
11
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
57%
1-2
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.5
11
19
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
11
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
51%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.