Final Win Prob. pScore
1356%103
97
2344%101
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
106.69187.0
DET logo Pistons
105.59195.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET97
96
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
96
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWhiteside Tip Layup Shot (17 PTS)97
96
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)95
96
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Dragic 7' Jump Shot95
96
Q4 - 0:03.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
96
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot95
96
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)95
96
Q4 - 0:14.0DETJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)95
96
Q4 - 0:14.0DETJump Ball Johnson vs. Johnson: Tip to Dragic95
96
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMcGruder Violation:Kicked Ball (B.Adams)95
96
Q4 - 0:24.0MIADragic 6' Jump Shot (28 PTS)95
96
Q4 - 0:30.0MIADragic Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)93
96
Q4 - 0:30.0DETJohnson T.FOUL (P2.PN) (M.Davis)92
96
Q4 - 0:30.0DETSUB: Drummond FOR Baynes92
96
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)92
96
Q4 - 0:30.0DETSmith 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)92
96
Q4 - 0:43.0DETSUB: Baynes FOR Drummond92
94
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMcGruder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)92
94
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)92
94
Q4 - 0:45.0DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)92
94
Q4 - 0:53.0DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
91
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS McGruder 12' Jump Shot92
91
Q4 - 1:14MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
91
Q4 - 1:15MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot92
91
Q4 - 1:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
91
Q4 - 1:33DETMISS Harris 11' Turnaround Jump Shot92
91
Q4 - 1:56MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)92
91
Q4 - 1:56MIAHeat Rebound91
91
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 291
91
Q4 - 1:56DETDrummond P.FOUL (P3.PN) (M.Davis)91
91
Q4 - 2:16DETJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T12)91
91
Q4 - 2:16DETJohnson Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN) (K.Cutler)91
91
Q4 - 2:19DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
91
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
91
Q4 - 2:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
91
Q4 - 2:45DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 291
91
Q4 - 2:45DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)91
91
Q4 - 2:45MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P4.PN) (M.Davis)91
90
Q4 - 2:58MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)91
90
Q4 - 2:58MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)90
90
Q4 - 2:58DETSUB: Johnson FOR Marc Morris89
90
Q4 - 2:58DETMarc Morris P.FOUL (P6.PN) (B.Adams)89
90
Q4 - 3:14DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 3 of 3 (22 PTS)89
90
Q4 - 3:14MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson89
89
Q4 - 3:14DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 3 (21 PTS)89
89
Q4 - 3:14DETPISTONS Rebound89
88
Q4 - 3:14DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 389
88
Q4 - 3:14MIA89
88
Q4 - 3:14MIARichardson S.FOUL (P4.T4) (K.Cutler)89
88
Q4 - 3:27MIAMcGruder 5' Driving Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)89
88
Q4 - 3:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
88
Q4 - 3:46DETMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
88
Q4 - 4:08DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
88
Q4 - 4:09MIADrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)87
88
Q4 - 4:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
88
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Richardson 14' Jump Shot87
88
Q4 - 4:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)87
88
Q4 - 4:34DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)87
88
Q4 - 4:34DETSUB: Marc Morris FOR Johnson87
87
Q4 - 4:34MIAWhiteside S.FOUL (P3.T3) (B.Adams)87
87
Q4 - 4:34DETDrummond Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)87
87
Q4 - 4:34DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
85
Q4 - 4:34DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
85
Q4 - 4:41MIADrummond STEAL (2 STL)87
85
Q4 - 4:54DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)87
85
Q4 - 5:00DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
82
Q4 - 5:00DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
82
Q4 - 5:14MIAHarris STEAL (2 STL)87
82
Q4 - 5:27DETJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)87
82
Q4 - 5:39DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)87
82
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 187
82
Q4 - 5:40DETSUB: Harris FOR Marc Morris87
82
Q4 - 5:40MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Ellington87
82
Q4 - 5:40DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)87
82
Q4 - 5:40DETMarc Morris S.FOUL (P5.PN) (B.Adams)87
82
Q4 - 5:40MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (16 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)87
82
Q4 - 6:05DETMarc Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)85
82
Q4 - 6:19MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
79
Q4 - 6:19DETSUB: Smith FOR Udrih84
79
Q4 - 6:19DETSUB: Drummond FOR Baynes84
79
Q4 - 6:19MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
79
Q4 - 6:19DETBaynes S.FOUL (P3.T4) (K.Cutler)83
79
Q4 - 6:28DETJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)83
79
Q4 - 6:41DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
79
Q4 - 6:42MIABaynes BLOCK (2 BLK)83
79
Q4 - 6:58DETBaynes P.FOUL (P2.T3) (M.Davis)83
79
Q4 - 7:11DETSUB: Caldwell-Pope FOR Harris83
79
Q4 - 7:11MIASUB: McGruder FOR Johnson83
79
Q4 - 7:11MIASUB: Dragic FOR Reed83
79
Q4 - 7:11DETBaynes L.B.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Adams)83
79
Q4 - 7:11MIAHeat Rebound83
79
Q4 - 7:11DETMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
79
Q4 - 7:28MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)83
79
Q4 - 7:43DETBaynes Dunk (4 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)80
79
Q4 - 7:52DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
77
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
77
Q4 - 8:13DETBaynes 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)80
77
Q4 - 8:2780
75
Q4 - 8:27MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)80
75
Q4 - 8:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
75
Q4 - 8:28MIABaynes BLOCK (1 BLK)80
75
Q4 - 8:53DETHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)80
75
Q4 - 9:15MIAJohnson Palming Turnover (P2.T9)80
72
Q4 - 9:32MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
72
Q4 - 9:34DETMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 280
72
Q4 - 9:34DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
72
Q4 - 9:34MIARichardson S.FOUL (P3.T2) (B.Adams)80
71
Q4 - 9:43DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
71
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
71
Q4 - 9:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
71
Q4 - 9:52DETMISS Marc Morris 5' Jump Shot80
71
Q4 - 10:09MIARichardson 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)80
71
Q4 - 10:23DETUdrih P.FOUL (P2.T1) (K.Cutler)78
71
Q4 - 10:26DETJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)78
71
Q4 - 10:31MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)78
71
Q4 - 10:52DETMarc Morris 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)78
71
Q4 - 11:04MIAReed P.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Cutler)78
69
Q4 - 11:14DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
69
Q4 - 11:14MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot78
69
Q4 - 11:21MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
69
Q4 - 11:22DETMISS Baynes 3' Jump Shot78
69
Q4 - 11:25DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
69
Q4 - 11:26DETMISS Udrih 1' Layup78
69
Q4 - 11:42DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
69
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot78
69
Q4 - 12:0078
69
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
69
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
69
Q3 - 0:03.0DETMISS Marc Morris 14' Pullup Jump Shot78
69
Q3 - 0:10.0DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
69
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
69
Q3 - 0:33.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
69
Q3 - 0:33.0DETMISS Udrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
69
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)78
69
Q3 - 1:10MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
69
Q3 - 1:11DETMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
69
Q3 - 1:22DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
69
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Richardson Layup78
69
Q3 - 1:34MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
69
Q3 - 1:34DETMISS Udrih 9' Jump Shot78
69
Q3 - 1:45DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
69
Q3 - 1:45MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
69
Q3 - 2:04DETUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
69
Q3 - 2:04DETSUB: Marc Morris FOR Caldwell-Pope78
68
Q3 - 2:04DETUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
68
Q3 - 2:04MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T4) (K.Cutler)78
67
Q3 - 2:14MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)78
67
Q3 - 2:14MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
67
Q3 - 2:14DETJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN) (M.Davis)76
67
Q3 - 2:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
67
Q3 - 2:23DETMISS Harris 14' Jump Shot76
67
Q3 - 2:32MIASUB: Reed FOR Whiteside76
67
Q3 - 2:32MIASUB: Richardson FOR Dragic76
67
Q3 - 2:37DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
67
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
67
Q3 - 2:49DETUdrih P.FOUL (P1.T4) (B.Adams)76
67
Q3 - 3:00MIASUB: Ellington FOR McGruder76
67
Q3 - 3:00MIAHeat Rebound76
67
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Dragic 10' Jump Shot76
67
Q3 - 3:12DETSUB: Udrih FOR Smith76
67
Q3 - 3:12DETSUB: Baynes FOR Drummond76
67
Q3 - 3:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
67
Q3 - 3:19DETMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot76
67
Q3 - 3:33MIAJohnson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)76
67
Q3 - 3:58DETCaldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)74
67
Q3 - 4:15MIAWhiteside Dunk (14 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)74
65
Q3 - 4:27DETDrummond P.FOUL (P2.T3) (K.Cutler)72
65
Q3 - 4:37DETSUB: Johnson FOR Marc Morris72
65
Q3 - 4:37MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)72
65
Q3 - 4:37DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)72
65
Q3 - 4:43MIADrummond STEAL (1 STL)72
63
Q3 - 4:49MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
63
Q3 - 4:49DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot72
63
Q3 - 5:02DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
63
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot72
63
Q3 - 5:14MIASUB: Johnson FOR Babbitt72
63
Q3 - 5:14MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson72
63
Q3 - 5:20MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
63
Q3 - 5:20DETMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
63
Q3 - 5:35MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T5)72
63
Q3 - 5:35MIAWhiteside OFF.Foul (P2) (B.Adams)72
63
Q3 - 5:52DETHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)72
63
Q3 - 6:08MIADragic 1' Layup (23 PTS) (McGruder 4 AST)72
60
Q3 - 6:13DETSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)70
60
Q3 - 6:26DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)70
60
Q3 - 6:34MIABabbitt 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)70
60
Q3 - 6:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
60
Q3 - 6:55DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot68
60
Q3 - 7:09MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Babbitt 3 AST)68
60
Q3 - 7:32DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
60
Q3 - 7:32DETSUB: Harris FOR Leuer66
59
Q3 - 7:32DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
59
Q3 - 7:32MIADragic S.FOUL (P3.T3) (B.Adams)66
58
Q3 - 7:36DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)66
58
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS McGruder 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
58
Q3 - 7:57DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)66
58
Q3 - 8:10MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)66
56
Q3 - 8:10DETCaldwell-Pope S.FOUL (P3.T2) (B.Adams)65
56
Q3 - 8:10MIADragic Layup (20 PTS)65
56
Q3 - 8:12MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
56
Q3 - 8:13DETMISS Leuer 15' Turnaround Jump Shot63
56
Q3 - 8:26DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
56
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
56
Q3 - 8:43MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
56
Q3 - 8:44DETMISS Marc Morris Tip Layup Shot63
56
Q3 - 8:48DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
56
Q3 - 8:49DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 263
56
Q3 - 8:49DETPISTONS Rebound63
56
Q3 - 8:49DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 263
56
Q3 - 8:49MIADragic S.FOUL (P2.T2) (M.Davis)63
56
Q3 - 8:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)63
56
Q3 - 8:50DETMISS Leuer 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
56
Q3 - 9:01DETPISTONS Rebound63
56
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw Technical63
56
Q3 - 9:0163
56
Q3 - 9:01MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGruder 3 AST)63
56
Q3 - 9:13DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)60
56
Q3 - 9:13DETPISTONS Rebound60
56
Q3 - 9:13DETMISS Drummond 5' Jump Shot60
56
Q3 - 9:37MIAWhiteside Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)60
56
Q3 - 9:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
56
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
56
Q3 - 10:00DETCaldwell-Pope 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)58
56
Q3 - 10:08MIABabbitt P.FOUL (P2.T1) (K.Cutler)58
54
Q3 - 10:14DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
54
Q3 - 10:14DETMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot58
54
Q3 - 10:27MIADragic 7' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
54
Q3 - 10:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
54
Q3 - 10:41DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 14' Jump Shot56
54
Q3 - 10:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)56
54
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot56
54
Q3 - 11:06DETSmith 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)56
54
Q3 - 11:31DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
52
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 2 of 256
52
Q3 - 11:32MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
52
Q3 - 11:32DETMarc Morris S.FOUL (P4.T1) (K.Cutler)55
52
Q3 - 11:46DETDrummond Layup (6 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)55
52
Q3 - 12:0055
50
Q2 - 0:00.0DET55
50
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound55
50
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 56' 3PT Jump Shot55
50
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMcGruder Layup (9 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)55
50
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
50
Q2 - 0:22.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
50
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMcGruder 10' Driving Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)53
50
Q2 - 0:51.0DETCaldwell-Pope 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)51
50
Q2 - 1:13DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
48
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 3 of 351
48
Q2 - 1:14MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson51
48
Q2 - 1:14DETSUB: Leuer FOR Harris51
48
Q2 - 1:14MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)51
48
Q2 - 1:14MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)50
48
Q2 - 1:14DETCaldwell-Pope S.FOUL (P2.PN) (K.Cutler)49
48
Q2 - 1:26DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)49
48
Q2 - 1:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)49
46
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot49
46
Q2 - 1:45DETHarris 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
46
Q2 - 2:04MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)49
44
Q2 - 2:21DETHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)47
44
Q2 - 2:35MIAMcGruder 8' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)47
41
Q2 - 2:55DETSmith 10' Pullup Bank Shot (10 PTS)45
41
Q2 - 3:06DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)45
39
Q2 - 3:20DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)45
39
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Dragic 15' Jump Shot45
39
Q2 - 3:32DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
39
Q2 - 3:32DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
38
Q2 - 3:32MIADragic S.FOUL (P1.T4) (M.Davis)45
37
Q2 - 3:46DETSUB: Harris FOR Leuer45
37
Q2 - 3:46DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)45
37
Q2 - 3:50MIADragic 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
37
Q2 - 3:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
37
Q2 - 3:59DETMISS Drummond 1' Reverse Layup43
37
Q2 - 4:10MIAWhiteside L.B.FOUL (P1.T3) (B.Adams)43
37
Q2 - 4:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)43
37
Q2 - 4:10DETMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot43
37
Q2 - 4:28MIADragic Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
37
Q2 - 4:47DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)41
37
Q2 - 4:53DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
35
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
35
Q2 - 5:02MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
35
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot41
35
Q2 - 5:17DETDrummond Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)41
35
Q2 - 5:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)41
35
Q2 - 5:19DETMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot41
35
Q2 - 5:26MIASUB: Johnson FOR White41
35
Q2 - 5:41MIADragic 14' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)41
35
Q2 - 5:52MIASUB: Richardson FOR Ellington39
35
Q2 - 5:52MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)39
35
Q2 - 5:56DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Leuer 2 AST)39
35
Q2 - 6:01MIALeuer STEAL (1 STL)39
33
Q2 - 6:22DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
33
Q2 - 6:32DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
31
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
31
Q2 - 6:40DETSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)39
31
Q2 - 6:52MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
31
Q2 - 6:52MIASUB: McGruder FOR Johnson38
31
Q2 - 6:52MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson38
31
Q2 - 6:52MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
31
Q2 - 6:52DETDrummond S.FOUL (P1.T4) (M.Davis)37
31
Q2 - 7:06DETJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)37
31
Q2 - 7:20MIAWhiteside 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS)37
28
Q2 - 7:43MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
28
Q2 - 7:43DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
28
Q2 - 7:55MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)35
28
Q2 - 7:55DETSUB: Smith FOR Udrih34
28
Q2 - 7:55DETLeuer S.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Cutler)34
28
Q2 - 7:55MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
28
Q2 - 7:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
28
Q2 - 8:00DETMISS Leuer 9' Jump Bank Shot32
28
Q2 - 8:13DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
28
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Whiteside Layup32
28
Q2 - 8:25DETSUB: Leuer FOR Harris32
28
Q2 - 8:25MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Reed32
28
Q2 - 8:25DETHarris Foul Turnover (P2.T4)32
28
Q2 - 8:25DETHarris Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T2) (B.Adams)32
28
Q2 - 8:35MIAReed 1' Layup (6 PTS)32
28
Q2 - 8:38MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
28
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup30
28
Q2 - 9:03DETUdrih 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
28
Q2 - 9:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
26
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Reed 9' Jump Shot30
26
Q2 - 9:33DETUdrih 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
26
Q2 - 9:43MIASUB: White FOR Richardson30
24
Q2 - 9:43DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)30
24
Q2 - 9:50MIAEllington 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
24
Q2 - 10:03MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
24
Q2 - 10:03DETMISS Harris 7' Jump Shot28
24
Q2 - 10:25MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)28
24
Q2 - 10:25MIAHeat Rebound27
24
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Ellington Free Throw Technical27
24
Q2 - 10:25DETMarc Morris T.FOUL (P3.T1) (M.Davis)27
24
Q2 - 10:25DETSUB: Caldwell-Pope FOR Marc Morris27
24
Q2 - 10:25MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)27
24
Q2 - 10:25DETMarc Morris S.FOUL (P3.T1) (M.Davis)26
24
Q2 - 10:29MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
24
Q2 - 10:29DETMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
24
Q2 - 10:37MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T2) (B.Adams)26
24
Q2 - 10:44DETSUB: Drummond FOR Baynes26
24
Q2 - 10:44MIARichardson P.FOUL (P2.T1) (B.Adams)26
24
Q2 - 10:56MIAJohnson 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)26
24
Q2 - 11:06MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
24
Q2 - 11:06DETMISS Marc Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
24
Q2 - 11:14DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
24
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
24
Q2 - 11:36MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
24
Q2 - 11:37DETMISS Baynes 1' Layup24
24
Q2 - 11:40DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
24
Q2 - 11:40DETMISS Baynes 1' Layup24
24
Q2 - 12:0024
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DET24
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
24
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Johnson Layup24
24
Q1 - 0:15.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
24
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
24
Q1 - 0:31.0DETMarc Morris Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
24
Q1 - 0:31.0DETMarc Morris Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN) (K.Cutler)24
24
Q1 - 0:38.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
24
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot24
24
Q1 - 0:52.0DETHarris Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)24
24
Q1 - 1:04MIASUB: Richardson FOR Dragic24
22
Q1 - 1:04MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
22
Q1 - 1:10MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
22
Q1 - 1:10DETMISS Udrih 14' Pullup Jump Shot24
22
Q1 - 1:20MIAReed 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)24
22
Q1 - 1:28MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22
Q1 - 1:29DETMISS Marc Morris 12' Jump Shot22
22
Q1 - 1:52DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 222
22
Q1 - 1:53MIASUB: Ellington FOR McGruder22
22
Q1 - 1:53MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
22
Q1 - 1:53DETHarris S.FOUL (P1.T4) (K.Cutler)21
22
Q1 - 1:57DETHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)21
22
Q1 - 2:03MIAUdrih STEAL (1 STL)21
22
Q1 - 2:15MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
22
Q1 - 2:15DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
22
Q1 - 2:26DETSUB: Marc Morris FOR Caldwell-Pope21
22
Q1 - 2:26MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T4) (K.Cutler)21
22
Q1 - 2:36DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
22
Q1 - 3:04DETHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)21
22
Q1 - 3:15DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
19
Q1 - 3:15DETMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot21
19
Q1 - 3:41MIAReed Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)21
19
Q1 - 3:45MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
19
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot19
19
Q1 - 3:57DETSUB: Udrih FOR Smith19
19
Q1 - 3:57DETSUB: Baynes FOR Drummond19
19
Q1 - 3:57MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
19
Q1 - 4:00DETHarris Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)19
19
Q1 - 4:04DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
17
Q1 - 4:04DETMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
17
Q1 - 4:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
17
Q1 - 4:10DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot19
17
Q1 - 4:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
17
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Reed 1' Layup19
17
Q1 - 4:31DETJohnson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
17
Q1 - 4:43DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
15
Q1 - 4:43MIADrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)19
15
Q1 - 5:04DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)19
15
Q1 - 5:04MIASUB: Johnson FOR Babbitt19
14
Q1 - 5:04MIASUB: Johnson FOR Richardson19
14
Q1 - 5:04DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)19
14
Q1 - 5:04DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)19
13
Q1 - 5:04MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.T3) (B.Adams)19
12
Q1 - 5:17MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Babbitt 2 AST)19
12
Q1 - 5:30DETSUB: Harris FOR Leuer16
12
Q1 - 5:30MIASUB: Reed FOR Whiteside16
12
Q1 - 5:30DETSUB: Johnson FOR Marc Morris16
12
Q1 - 5:30DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
12
Q1 - 5:30DETMarc Morris P.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Cutler)16
12
Q1 - 5:42DETDrummond 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)16
12
Q1 - 6:04MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)16
10
Q1 - 6:04MIAHeat Rebound15
10
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 315
10
Q1 - 6:04MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)15
10
Q1 - 6:04DETCaldwell-Pope S.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Adams)14
10
Q1 - 6:10DETDrummond 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 6:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
8
Q1 - 6:18DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 6:30MIAMcGruder P.FOUL (P1.T2) (M.Davis)14
8
Q1 - 6:39MIADragic Layup (5 PTS)14
8
Q1 - 6:46MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
8
Q1 - 6:47DETMISS Marc Morris 1' Layup12
8
Q1 - 7:05MIAMcGruder Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)12
8
Q1 - 7:20DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
8
Q1 - 7:35MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)12
6
Q1 - 7:50MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
6
Q1 - 7:51DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 21' Jump Shot10
6
Q1 - 7:56DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
6
Q1 - 7:57DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 2' Layup10
6
Q1 - 8:14MIARichardson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)10
6
Q1 - 8:29MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
6
Q1 - 8:30DETMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 8:35DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
6
Q1 - 8:36DETMISS Drummond 7' Hook Shot8
6
Q1 - 9:02MIAWhiteside Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)8
6
Q1 - 9:12DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
6
Q1 - 9:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
6
Q1 - 9:15DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 9:22DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
6
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 9:45DETLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 9:45DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
5
Q1 - 9:45MIABabbitt S.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Adams)6
4
Q1 - 9:52DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 9:52MIALeuer BLOCK (1 BLK)6
4
Q1 - 9:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
4
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Dragic 13' Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 10:08DETSmith P.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Adams)6
4
Q1 - 10:11MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 10:12DETMISS Smith 10' Jump Bank Shot6
4
Q1 - 10:33MIADragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)6
4
Q1 - 10:52DETMarc Morris 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
4
Q1 - 11:01DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
2
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot3
2
Q1 - 11:21DETCaldwell-Pope 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)3
2
Q1 - 11:39MIAMcGruder 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)3
0
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Whiteside: Tip to McGruder0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.3%
DET
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
29
62%
DET
17
27
63%
Midrange
MIA
13
29
45%
DET
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
DET
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
20
28
71%
DET
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2870%14.0 / 20
H. Whiteside1757%8.5 / 15
J. Johnson1662%8.0 / 13
R. McGruder1267%6.0 / 9
J. Richardson938%4.5 / 12
W. Reed660%3.0 / 5
L. Babbitt583%2.5 / 3
T. Johnson213%1.0 / 8
W. Ellington225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Caldwell-Pope2552%12.5 / 24
I. Smith1959%9.5 / 16
T. Harris1963%9.5 / 15
A. Drummond956%4.5 / 8
M. Morris735%3.5 / 10
B. Udrih643%3.0 / 7
S. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
A. Baynes440%2.0 / 5
J. Leuer225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+12
-12
91
DET
79
+18
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.3%
DET
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.0
MIA 106.6 +1.1
DET 105.5
Pace
95.0
95.0
MIA 87.0
DET 95.4 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.1
MIA 16.6
DET 15.1 −1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
49.2%
MIA 48.7% +1.6%
DET 47.1%
TO %
13.2%
11.9%
MIA 12.5%
DET 12.1% −0.4%
ORB %
24.2%
24.1%
MIA 23.9%
DET 32.7% +8.8%
FTrt
25.1
21.8
MIA 35.4 +10.7
DET 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
53.0%
MIA 50.0%
DET 55.6% +5.6%
STL %
7.5%
7.3%
MIA 5.5%
DET 7.7% +2.2%
BLK %
9.3%
6.6%
MIA 6.9%
DET 8.6% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.8%
MIA 53.3% +4.3%
DET 49.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.3%
MIA 62.1%
DET 63.0% +0.9%
Mid FG%
39.4%
42.6%
MIA 44.8% +9.3%
DET 35.5%
3P %
36.5%
33.0%
MIA 23.8%
DET 29.6% +5.8%
FT %
70.6%
71.9%
MIA 71.4%
DET 76.2% +4.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
30.9%
MIA 36.7% +4.9%
DET 31.8%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
42.8%
MIA 36.7%
DET 36.5% −0.2%
3P Att. %
31.4%
26.3%
MIA 26.6%
DET 31.8% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9796
Rebounds4451
Assists1820
Steals57
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)35 (0)
Field Goals36-7936-85
At-the-Rim FG18-2917-27
Midrange FG13-2911-31
2-Point FG31-5828-58
3-Point FG5-218-27
Free Throws20-2816-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
34.5
28
70%
4
4
0
1
1
3
1
3
9-13
69%
8-12
67%
1-4
25%
F · 6'4" 200 · 26
33.2
12
67%
6
4
2
0
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
33.0
9
38%
5
4
1
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-5
20%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
30.1
17
57%
9
1
0
1
1
3
4
5
3-4
75%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
13.7
5
83%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
32.9
16
62%
6
2
0
0
4
0
1
5
5-6
83%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
24.7
2
13%
4
0
0
1
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
17.4
2
25%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
16.4
6
60%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
4.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
53%
44
18
5
4
12
0
11
33
20-28
71%
31-58
53%
5-21
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.