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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 28, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat56%10397
23Pistons44%10196
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.9
34
31
28
4
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
9-13
69%
8-12
6-11
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.7
33
25
12
6
4
2
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
49%
1-3
33%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.5
33
33
9
5
4
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
1-5
20%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.8
30
30
17
9
1
0
1
1
1
4
5
3-4
75%
7-13
7-11
54%
59%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
14
17
5
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
1-2
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.1
33
27
16
6
2
0
1
0
4
1
5
5-6
83%
4-9
4-8
44%
55%
1-2
50%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.9
25
29
2
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
50%
0-2
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.3
17
18
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.9
16
17
6
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-0
-
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
4
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.3
8
0
1-2
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.8
3
0
0-1
47%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30.1
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 33.0
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.1
37
29
25
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
5-6
83%
7-12
3-5
58%
47%
2-10
20%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.6
34
25
9
13
2
2
1
2
2
6
7
1-3
33%
4-7
5-9
57%
54%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.7
31
26
19
4
6
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
7-12
4-9
58%
46%
0-1
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
28
30
7
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
1-3
33%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.9
17
23
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.8
33
17
5
7
1
1
1
0
5
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
30
31
19
6
2
2
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
3-6
5-9
50%
53%
4-8
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.7
17
9
6
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.3
14
19
4
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.6
5
0
1-2
55%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
4
0
0-1
45%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.2
3
0
0-1
52%
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.8
2
0
0-0
47%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26.0
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.