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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 31, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pacers42%102100
18Raptors58%105111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
39.3
35.2
28
58%
9
3
1
2
0
3
0
9
4-5
80%
6-12
5-11
50%
48%
4-10
40%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 21.0
39.1
30.9
9
60%
9
2
1
1
4
1
3
6
0-1
0%
3-6
5-9
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.8
34.1
28.0
19
71%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
9-10
90%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.4
32.6
29.5
4
18%
2
4
3
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.8
27.9
27.5
12
45%
8
2
0
1
0
1
4
4
0-1
0%
6-13
4-8
46%
52%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.0
26.9
22.0
15
50%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-8
1-3
25%
47%
3-6
50%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 28.2
16.4
16.2
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
3
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 32.2
15.2
18.1
11
56%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
8.4
10.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 32.2
6.0
0
2-3
49%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 26.6
4.6
0
1-1
48%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27.3
3.9
0
1-1
50%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
3.2
0
0-1
44%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.8
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.6
37.9
35.3
40
57%
9
4
1
1
0
3
2
7
15-20
75%
8-22
9-18
36%
49%
3-4
75%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.5
29.6
26.3
15
75%
12
2
0
0
2
1
5
7
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
54%
3-4
75%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
29.1
31.3
6
60%
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
4-8
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.9
28.4
25.6
16
62%
17
1
1
0
2
2
4
13
6-9
67%
5-9
5-9
56%
57%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.7
22.0
16.5
12
67%
1
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
4-8
50%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 31.9
26.8
26.3
8
50%
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
2-3
67%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.0
21.0
21.7
3
30%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-4
25%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.9
20.8
17.1
11
81%
2
6
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
1-1
100%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.5
14.3
12.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.8
10.1
20.0
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.1
4.2
0
1-1
46%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.7
3.7
0
0-0
67%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
3.1
0
0-1
54%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.5
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.