Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Nuggets	48%	110	116	117.2	99	106.1
	13	Heat	52%	111	113	113.0	100	93.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 29	37.1	29	69%	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	5	4-4	100%	8-12	67%	3-7	43%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 23	36.8	9	38%	3	2	2	0	1	1	1	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-5	0%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 22	35.2	19	59%	10	7	2	0	1	2	1	9	1-1	100%	9-14	64%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	27.9	9	64%	3	0	3	1	3	3	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	23.0	8	44%	3	2	2	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 21	31.5	17	65%	4	9	0	1	2	2	0	4	9-10	90%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 30	31.0	19	68%	9	2	0	1	0	1	2	7	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Mason Plumlee F-C · 7'0" 254 · 27	12.7	6	50%	2	1	0	2	0	2	0	2	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 22	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	\| DND - Calf
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Will Barton #5 · F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	40	25	9	6	8	0	6	34	23-27	85%	39-67	58%	5-20	25%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 29	37.1	29	69%	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	5	4-4	100%	8-12	67%	3-7	43%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 23	36.8	9	38%	3	2	2	0	1	1	1	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-5	0%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 22	35.2	19	59%	10	7	2	0	1	2	1	9	1-1	100%	9-14	64%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	27.9	9	64%	3	0	3	1	3	3	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	23.0	8	44%	3	2	2	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 21	31.5	17	65%	4	9	0	1	2	2	0	4	9-10	90%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 30	31.0	19	68%	9	2	0	1	0	1	2	7	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Mason Plumlee F-C · 7'0" 254 · 27	12.7	6	50%	2	1	0	2	0	2	0	2	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 22	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	\| DND - Calf
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Darrell Arthur #0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Will Barton #5 · F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	40	25	9	6	8	0	6	34	23-27	85%	39-67	58%	5-20	25%

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13 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 24	37.5	17	71%	3	1	1	3	1	4	1	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	4-6	67%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	33.8	22	65%	2	6	0	0	3	4	1	1	5-6	83%	7-11	64%	1-4	25%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	33.2	16	53%	11	2	0	3	1	3	2	9	4-6	67%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 26	26.9	11	69%	6	4	0	0	1	1	0	6	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	12.6	8	100%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	30.0	15	47%	3	5	0	1	1	2	0	3	4-5	80%	1-10	10%	3-4	75%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	28.7	9	56%	3	6	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	14.8	8	57%	7	0	1	1	1	2	2	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	13.4	7	44%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Okaro White F · 6'8" 215 · 25	9.0	0	0%	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	\| DND - Sprained Left Ankle
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justise Winslow #20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	56%	41	26	3	9	10	0	7	34	16-21	76%	29-60	48%	13-27	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.16 58.0%

MIA

1.13 56.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

21

34

62%

MIA

20

35

57%

Midrange

DEN

18

33

55%

MIA

9

25

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

5

7.5

20

25%

38%

MIA

13

19.5

27

48%

72%

Free Throws

DEN

23

27

85%

MIA

16

21

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari	29	69%	14.5 / 21
N. Jokić	19	59%	9.5 / 16
W. Chandler	19	68%	9.5 / 14
E. Mudiay	17	65%	8.5 / 13
G. Harris	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Murray	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Faried	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Plumlee	6	50%	3.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dragic	22	65%	11.0 / 17
J. Richardson	17	71%	8.5 / 12
H. Whiteside	16	53%	8.0 / 15
T. Johnson	15	47%	7.5 / 16
R. McGruder	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Johnson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
L. Babbitt	8	100%	4.0 / 4
W. Reed	8	57%	4.0 / 7
W. Ellington	7	44%	3.5 / 8
O. White	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 113.2 18 108.1	DEN 117.2 +4.2 MIA 113.0
Pace	6 98.4 21 95.0	DEN 106.1 +12.3 MIA 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.4 5 15.7	DEN 13.6 −1.8 MIA 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 53.0% 15 51.2%	DEN 53.4% MIA 55.7% +2.3%
TO %	23 14.7% 8 13.2%	DEN 7.5% −2.8% MIA 10.3%
ORB %	2 27.3% 11 24.2%	DEN 15.0% MIA 17.1% +2.1%
FTrt	13 27.6 26 25.1	DEN 31.0 +6.9 MIA 24.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 61.5% 24 54.4%	DEN 56.8% MIA 61.9% +5.1%
STL %	29 7.0% 21 7.5%	DEN 9.1% +6.1% MIA 3.0%
BLK %	30 6.3% 6 9.3%	DEN 10.0% MIA 13.4% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 55.4% 20 52.8%	DEN 58.0% +1.5% MIA 56.5%
Rim FG%	11 59.4% 12 59.2%	DEN 61.8% +4.7% MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%	19 40.2% 26 39.4%	DEN 54.5% +18.5% MIA 36.0%
3P %	11 36.8% 12 36.5%	DEN 25.0% MIA 48.1% +23.1%
FT %	17 77.4% 30 70.6%	DEN 85.2% +9.0% MIA 76.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.9% 15 35.4%	DEN 39.1% MIA 40.2% +1.1%
Mid Att. %	4 26.2% 15 33.1%	DEN 37.9% MIA 28.7% −9.2%
3P Att. %	10 32.9% 14 31.4%	DEN 23.0% MIA 31.0% +8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	DEN	MIA
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	22.4	25.6
Points	116	113
Rebounds	40	41
Assists	25	26
Steals	9	3
Blocks	6	9
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	34 (2)
Field Goals	44-87	42-87
At-the-Rim FG	21-34	20-35
Midrange FG	18-33	9-25
2-Point FG	39-67	29-60
3-Point FG	5-20	13-27
Free Throws	23-27	16-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg