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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 4, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic
102
5Cavaliers
122
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 26.2
33
32
12
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
2-8
25%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
32
33
12
5
0
0
1
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
53%
2-4
50%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.4
29
33
21
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
7-8
88%
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
4-8
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.4
24
29
6
10
2
1
1
1
1
1
9
0-0
-
3-9
7-13
33%
50%
0-0
-
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.1
23
32
12
4
6
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
50%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.0
25
8
9
3
6
0
0
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22.1
22
18
13
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
2
6-6
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
21
17
11
6
3
2
1
0
2
1
5
6-6
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.6
19
18
4
10
1
0
0
1
0
2
8
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Patricio Garino
G-F · 6'6" 203 · 23.9
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Georges-Hunt
G · 6'5" 226 · 23.0
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.8
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.4
12
0
1-2
44%
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.6
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.3
37
36
18
11
11
2
1
1
6
1
10
4-6
67%
7-11
8-13
64%
60%
0-3
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.6
31
31
19
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
5-8
63%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.0
30
33
24
4
8
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
7-10
7-14
70%
52%
3-5
60%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.6
28
27
28
11
2
2
1
1
1
2
9
5-6
83%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
5-9
56%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.1
28
31
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-6
33%
60%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
20
16
8
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.8
19
21
7
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
1-1
100%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.8
15
10
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
56%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.0
12
17
11
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
3-5
60%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.9
10
18
0
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 29.0
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.5
4
0
0-0
45%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.0
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.